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Toronto vs. Detroit: NHL Match Prediction
On November 9, the NHL championship will feature a match between Toronto and Detroit. The Leafs continue to show inconsistent results and cannot get on a long winning streak. The Wings, unlike their opponent, have won two victories in a row. However, the hosts are still considered the favorites of this confrontation and, according to bookmakers, should deal with their opponent within 60 minutes. What bet should you place on this event? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto is in sixth place in the Eastern Conference and has 16 points. The team has not been able to win more than two games in a row for a long period of time and, as a rule, alternates successful matches with defeats. Before that, it lost to St. Louis (2:4) and Minnesota (1:2 O)T on the road, but on home ice, despite problems in previous matches, it literally crushed Boston with a score of 4:0, for the first time this season remaining without conceding goals.
Against the Bruins, the Leafs played very well in the 5v4 format and converted three of their eight attempts, so the power play was a key factor in this matchup. Although Toronto had previously played very poorly on the power play and still has only a 14.8% power play percentage.
It is impossible not to note the actions of Anthony Stollarz, who parried a total of 29 shots and for the first time played such a perfect game. Incidentally, Craig Berube team performs much better at home than on the road, and celebrated success in five out of seven games. However, the club does not always manage to demonstrate decent results and open the opponent defense more than two or three times. Moreover, in the near future the "Leafs" may have even more difficulties in converting moments - if Auston Matthews, who was injured, is unable to take part in the upcoming matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hakanpaa, Klingberg, Jarnkrok, Mermis and Dewar will not take part in the upcoming match, while Matthews' participation remains in question.
Interesting trends for betting
- Toronto averages at least 31 shots per game
The Leafs try to spend most of their time in the opponent zone and take shots from any position.
- Statistically, Toronto wins 55.7% of faceoffs
The Leafs are very strong at the dot and take most of the faceoffs
Detroit Red Wings
USACurrent form
Detroit is still outside the playoff zone and currently occupies the tenth place in the East. The team has been playing in series lately and not long ago was on a three-game losing streak. Fortunately, after another disastrous match against Edmonton (2:3 OT) and Winnipeg (2:6), it was able to pull itself together and first dealt with Buffalo at home in a tough fight (2:1), and then went on the road, where it has already managed to beat Chicago with a score of 4:1. We emphasize that often the Red Wings are not particularly productive in games, since they themselves have problems with their attack, so they try to concede no more than two goals.
At the same time, the "wings" have serious difficulties with the game in the 4x5 format. Today, they occupy one of the last lines in the league in this indicator and have only 69.4% of the opponent power play neutralization. However, unlike Toronto, Derek Lalonde team makes excellent use of the numerical advantage on the court and has a 25% power play conversion rate.
The team leading scorers are Dylan Larkin, Alex DaBrincat and Lucas Raymond, who absolutely must not get injured, otherwise Detroit scoring will drop significantly. Incidentally, the team looks very lively and fresh during the second twenty minutes and has regularly scored at least one goal in it in the five previous games.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are currently no injured or disqualified players on the roster.
Interesting trends for betting
- Detroit averages 24 shots on goal
Detroit plays second fiddle most of the time and, of course, spends very little time in the opponent zone.
- According to statistics, the Wings receive 7.92 minutes of penalty time per match
Detroit tries to play with enough discipline and not break the rules more than four times per game
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches between the clubs, the first period was unscoring
2.00Bet 2nd period: guests will score
In the five previous meetings, the visitors regularly scored a goal in the second period
1.55Tip and bets
We think that this matchup should not be so obvious. Detroit is an inconvenient opponent for Toronto and has often caused them problems in previous matches. At the same time, the Leafs are always considered the favorite in a meeting with this opponent, but they very rarely win confidently. In addition, the hosts have previously experienced many problems, and the Wings are now in a good mood and are on a series of two victories. Plus, it is still unclear whether Auston Matthews will take part in this match, because without him, Berube team will play much weaker in attack. Based on this, we suggest betting on the guests' handicap.
Prediction - Detroit win with handicap (0) for 2.60
Bet on individual total
In previous encounters, Toronto often ended up with a minimum number of goals scored and, for example, in two matches out of three, could not open the opponents' defense more than once. Detroit, in turn, tries to play reliably in defense, so in three previous matches out of four, it managed with less than three goals conceded. By the way, only in one previous match out of five, the Leafs were able to score four goals against the Red Wings, so it makes sense to bet on their individual total this time.
We take the individual total of Toronto under 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.75
Total Bet
Previous games involving Toronto have not been particularly productive. If Auston Matthews does not play in the upcoming game, then it is unlikely that a large number of goals will be scored. Detroit also plays many away games with a minimum number of goals. This game is of fundamental importance for both clubs, so they are unlikely to dare to play open hockey.
We bet on total under 5.5 goals with odds of 2.20
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