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CSKA vs. Lada: KHL Match Prediction
On November 10, CSKA will host a battle against Lada on home ice. The army team is in good shape and recently managed to produce a series of three victories, but the Togliatti team also gained excellent momentum and won three matches in a row. The clubs have not met yet this season, so it will be interesting to watch how the battle between them unfolds. However, bookmakers leave virtually no chance for the visitors to have a favorable outcome. Is it worth betting on CSKA success with such odds? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
CSKA Moscow
Russian FederationCurrent form
CSKA is in sixth place in the Western Conference and has earned a total of 27 points. The team has not been left without points in eight of the previous nine games and has consistently brought the game to overtime, even when losing. After a series of failures, the Army team has seriously improved and has already had a series of three victories, having dealt with Amur (7:0), Kunlun (4:3 OT), and also dealt with Torpedo on the road with a score of 3:1. However, in the final confrontation with Spartak they still could not cope and for the first time since the beginning of last month lost in regulation time - 1:2.
Let us emphasize that this season Ilya Vorobyov team often has difficulties with the game in defense, and the goalkeepers do not cope with their duties in the best way, which is why on average about three pucks end up in the net of his goal. But in attack, in general, the Muscovites act well and create many dangerous moments at the opponent goal.
Plus, they play great in the 5x4 format and currently occupy the second line in the league in this indicator, with 26.6% of the extra man conversion rate. Maxim Sorkin and Vitaly Abramov remain the main scorers in the team and have already earned 19 and 20 points in the goal + pass system, respectively. However, the home arena does not help CSKA much, because before this, it has won only six victories in 12 matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Afanasyev will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- CSKA has a 20:14 ratio of goals scored and conceded in the first period
The army team performs well in the opening twenty minutes and often achieves an advantage in this period
- Muscovites receive 7.68 minutes of penalty time
CSKA is not one of the most disciplined clubs in the league, but rarely gets sent off more than four times in a match
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lada is in seventh place in the Eastern Conference and has earned 23 points in total. Overall, the team should be satisfied with the current state of affairs, since it is within the playoff zone and, if desired, can improve its position, since the density in the table is quite high. We emphasize that in the four previous matches, the Togliatti team has been regularly earning points and is now on a series of three victories. In the current series of away matches, they managed to deal with Neftekhimik (3:0), Avangard (3:1), and in the last meeting they even proved their superiority over Dynamo Moscow with a score of 3:2.
In the previous game, Oleg Bratash team was considered a clear underdog, but they were able to play reliably in defense, and Vladislav Pod'yapolsky was also reliable, having blocked 35 shots. Lada often scores a little, so it is very important for them to miss no more than two pucks in order to achieve success. Oddly enough, they achieve most of their victories on other teams' courts, and perform very poorly on home ice.
Unlike their counterpart, the team has difficulties with the majority and poorly uses the numerical advantage, having only 12.7% of the extra man conversion rate and occupying one of the last places in the league in this indicator. But things are very good with the minority game, because the Togliatti team has 84% of the opponent majority neutralization rate.
Disqualifications and injuries
Altybarmakyan and Chervonenko will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada has a 20:13 record in goals scored and conceded in the third period
The Togliatti players are great at adding momentum in the third period and often end it in their favor
- Lada averages 26 shots per game
Bratash team acts as the second number and spends very little time in the enemy zone
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches involving Togliatti players, the first period was unproductive
1.67Bet 2nd period: guests will score
In four out of five matches, Togliatti scored in the second period
1.88Tip and bets
In our opinion, bookmakers significantly underestimate Lada in this confrontation. The Togliatti team has looked great lately and finished most of the matches in their favor. In addition, they caused problems for CSKA last season and have not lost to them since returning to the KHL. The army team won most of their victories outside of regular time and rarely dealt with opponents by a difference of several goals. Of course, Bratash team left a lot of strength in three away matches, but if they play the same way as they did against Dynamo, they are unlikely to lose with a rout.
Forecast - Lada win with Asian handicap (+1.5) on goals for 1.75
Bet on individual total
In previous encounters, CSKA, as a rule, did not have an abundance of goals scored and paid more attention to defense. Lada, in general, plays closed hockey and rarely misses more than one or two goals, especially when playing away. The Togliatti team held out even against the white-blues and missed only twice. In addition, in the last two matches against the army team, the guests also managed with less than four goals conceded, so it makes sense to take the individual total of the Muscovites.
We bet on the individual total of CSKA under 3.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.60
Total Bet
Many matches involving Lada are played with a minimum number of goals. The team is used to playing closed hockey and closely monitors the actions in its own zone. In addition, Vladislav Pod'yapolsky often plays well, saving the Togliatti team. CSKA has also played its last matches with a total under. It is quite possible that we will not see a spectacular game in this confrontation either.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 1.55
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