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Toronto vs. Montreal: NHL Match Prediction
Toronto will meet Montreal on home ice on November 10. The Leafs have been showing their best side lately and have celebrated success in two matches in a row, while the Tricolors are on a long losing streak and can’t seem to pull themselves together. However, this is a Canadian derby, and the hosts certainly shouldn’t expect an easy ride here. What bet should you place on this event? You’ll find out from our forecast
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto is gradually improving its position in the standings and has already reached the sixth line of the Eastern Conference, having earned a total of 16 points. The team pulled itself together and, at least at home, began to show excellent results and please the home stands with victories. The Leafs, after an away defeat to Minnesota (1:2 OT), returned to their home court and proved their superiority over Boston (4:0), and also dealt with Detroit with a score of 3:1. It is noteworthy that in all three previous meetings they managed with no more than one missed puck, although before that they conceded at least three times.
The Leafs are used to playing on the counter and are active in the opponent zone. Usually the second twenty minutes are the most successful for them, during which they score more than in all other game segments, and currently have 21:13 in goals scored and conceded. By the way, if Toronto 5x4 game has not been going well since the beginning of the season, then the club plays well in the minority and is among the top ten in the league in this indicator, currently having 85% of the opponent power play neutralization. It is also important to note that the team played the last meeting without one of its main leaders, Auston Matthews, and it is far from certain that the forward will return to the ice in the near future.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hakanpaa, Klingberg, Jarnkrok, Mermis, Matthews and Dewar will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Toronto averages 30 shots on target per game
The Leafs try to spend most of their time on the offensive and making shots from any position.
- The Leafs are winning 54.9 percent of their faceoffs.
The Leafs are doing well at the dot and taking most of the faceoffs.
Montreal Canadiens
CanadaCurrent form
Montreal is in the penultimate spot of the Eastern Conference and has earned only ten points. The team has been showing mediocre results since the start of the season and has not been able to win more than one or two games in a row. Now it is in terrible shape and is on a five-game losing streak. The Canadians can't seem to pull themselves together and have only managed to score in one game out of five. Let us recall that they previously failed to beat Washington (3:6) and Pittsburgh (1:3) on the road, lost to Calgary (2:3 OT) on home ice and lost to New Jersey again on the road with a score of 3:5.
It should be emphasized that in many previous meetings, Martin Saint-Louis' team showed a weak defensive game and allowed their opponents to score at least three or four times. As a rule, the club performs best in the second period, in which it has a good ratio of goals scored and goals conceded (15:15), but in the first and third periods it shows itself rather mediocre. It is worth mentioning that Montreal shows itself from the best side in unequal compositions and currently has a 20.8% conversion rate on the extra man, as well as 83.3% neutralization of the opponent power play. The start of the season is going very well for Cole Caufield, who has already managed to score ten goals and continues to distinguish himself with effective actions on the ice in almost every match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Price, Weidman and Laine will not take part in the upcoming fight.
Interesting trends for betting
- Montreal gets 10.5 penalty minutes per game
The "Tricolors" do not have good discipline and on average are sent off at least five or six times per game
- Montreal is averaging 24 shots on goal per game.
The Canadians spend most of their time on the defensive and only occasionally run out to counterattack.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was unscoring
2.05Bet 2nd period: guests will score
In three out of four matches, the visitors scored at least one goal in the second period
1.55Tip and bets
We think that Montreal can cause problems for Toronto in this matchup. The Leafs are not known for their consistency and often stumble in matches with such opponents when they are clear favorites. Moreover, we should not forget that this is a derby, and in a derby anything can often happen. Plus, the teams have already met at the beginning of the season, and then the Tricolors managed to deal with their counterpart with a score of 1:0. We think that this time they will fight for the victory.
Prediction - Montreal win with handicap (0) for 2.85
Bet on individual total
Toronto hasn't scored more than three goals in four of its previous five games against Montreal. The Leafs are currently without Auston Matthews, so their scoring has dropped. They also only scored three goals in their last game against Detroit. Montreal, of course, hasn't had a great defense in the past, but they didn't allow any goals in their previous encounter with the Leafs.
We bet on Toronto individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.80
Total Bet
Previous head-to-head encounters have usually been tough and low-scoring. In a derby, teams primarily focus on the defensive play and focus on their own zone. Plus, all five previous matches involving the Leafs have had five or fewer goals scored. The clubs will likely be wary of each other and won't open up much, so it makes sense to bet on the under total.
We take the total under six goals for 1.85
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