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Belgium vs Italy: Prediction and Betting Odds 4.50
In the first round of the Nations League, the national teams of Belgium and Italy pleased with their productive football and drew 2:2. In the fifth round on November 14, the teams will play each other again. Should we expect an abundance of goals scored today and what bets should we pay attention to? We recommend that you read our forecast for the game
Command Analysis
Belgium
BelgiumCurrent form
Belgium has earned four points in four rounds of the Nations League. Three of them were earned in the first round against the clearly weakest team in the quartet, Israel (3:1). Against the backdrop of Italy and France, Domenico Tedesco charges looked unconvincing. They lost to the French 0:2 away and 1:2 at home. They were losing to the Italians 0:2 by the 24th minute, and managed to come back largely due to the opponent expulsion (2:2).
Belgium chances of making it to the playoffs, even from second place, are slim, as they are five points behind the second-placed French. They will most likely have to play playoff matches for the right to stay in League A.
The current https://www.rbfa.be/nl target=_blank rel=noopener>Belgian national team has many problems in defense. They have not managed to keep a clean sheet even once, and have conceded two goals each from Italy and France. The team has young players in defense, and a generational change is underway. This time, Lukaku, who is traditionally the subject of great hopes, is already in the attacking lineup.
Disqualifications and injuries
De Bruyne and Tielemans have not been called up to the national team. De Ketelaere will not play due to injury. Doku appearance on the field is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Belgium have not won in the first half in their last five matches
- Belgium have won eight of their previous ten home matches in the Nations League
- Belgium have scored at least three goals in their last six home Nations League games
- Belgium have taken more corners than their opponents in five of their last six matches
Estimated line-up: Castells - Debast, Fas, Teate, Castagne - Engels, Onana, Mangala - Lukebakio, Openda, Trossard.
Italy
ItalyCurrent form
Italy are having a strong run in the current Nations League, demonstrating a bright and bold attacking game. The clearly renewed squad of the "squadra azzura" under the leadership of the experienced Luciano Spalletti is capable of much in the tournament, including fighting for the trophy.
After four rounds, the Italians have not lost a single game – three wins and a draw. Interestingly, only Belgium has taken points from the team so far (2:2), although in that match Pellegrini removal in the 38th minute greatly helped the opponent. The Italians demonstrated their decent current potential in the first round, when they confidently beat France with a score of 3:1 away. Two victories over Israel did not cause any surprise, the advantage in class (2:1 and 4:1) had an effect in those matches.
It should be noted that the Italians now do not at all resemble the team that was famous for its defensive football. Spalletti relies on attack, fast football, high speed in decision-making. The team is not afraid to concede goals, as the players are confident in their attacking capabilities. The "squadra azzura" have scored 11 goals - this is the best result in the elite division. It should be noted that seven players managed to score goals, that is, threats to opponents can be expected from anyone, and not from one or two leaders.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ricci and Calafiori will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- In the last three matches, the Italian team won in the first half
- In nine of their previous ten away matches in the Nations League, the Italians have not lost in regulation time (seven wins and two draws)
- In four of the team last five away games in the Nations League, both opponents have scored goals
- At least three goals have been scored in Italy previous six matches in the tournament
Tentative line-up: Donnarumma - Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni - Cambiasso, Frattesi, Barella, Tonali, Dimarco - Raspadori - Retegui.
Trends
Belgium Win on Corners Bet
Belgium have won nine of their last ten home games in the Nations League on corners
1.85Bet 1st half: total over 1.5 goals
The bet has played in two of the three previous personal meetings
2.80Bet Exact score 1:2
Italy have won two of their last four games with this scoreline
10.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In the last five matches of the Italians, goals were scored in each half
1.82Bet Italy Team Will Not Lose on Yellow Cards
In four of Italy last five matches, this bet has paid off
1.55Tip and bets
Belgium has had problems in defense throughout the tournament, while the attack is not always effective, which could be seen in the matches with France. The Italians play all their matches powerfully, play boldly and quickly in attack, which brings success. Under Spalletti leadership, the team demonstrates team play, you can expect a threat from almost any player. In the first round, Italy could easily take three points in a face-to-face confrontation, but then a dismissal prevented it. We think that at the moment, the guests are stronger than the Belgians in all game parameters and are capable of winning even on the road.
Our prediction is Italy victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 1.98
Bet on total
None of the teams managed to keep a clean sheet in four rounds. At the same time, the attack regularly scores goals for both the Belgians and the Italians. It is unlikely that the opponents will "dry up" the game today, especially for the hosts, who are definitely not satisfied with a draw. We expect at least three goals scored.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 2.00
Bet on the exact difference in the score
It cannot be said that there is a noticeable difference in class between the opponents to expect a confident victory. In addition, the Italians have won three of their last five victories with a one-goal advantage, which is what we expect today.
Prediction: Italy win by one goal with odds of 4.50
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