Liontips
Ottawa vs. Philadelphia: NHL Match Prediction
On November 15, the NHL championship will feature a match between Ottawa and Philadelphia. The Senators were able to win a couple of victories in a row for the first time in a long time, but the Flyers continue to alternate successful matches with defeats. The Canadians have finished most of their face-to-face meetings with the Flyers in their favor, so they are slight favorites in this matchup. Is it worth betting on their success this time? You will find out from our forecast
Command Analysis
Ottawa Senators
CanadaCurrent form
Ottawa is in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and has 16 points in total. The team has a real chance of making the playoffs this season, unlike last year, when it was consistently in 14th place. From time to time, it even deals with clear leaders and shows decent play in most matches. For example, after losses to Buffalo (1:5) and the Islanders (2:4), the Canadians were able to pull themselves together and first proved their superiority over Boston on the road (3:2 OT), and then snatched a confident victory in the derby with Toronto, winning 3:0 and for the third time this season without conceding goals, and Linus Ullmark made his first shutout this year, parrying all 27 shots.
The Senators often prefer to play on the opposite course, but they still improved significantly in defense and began to allow much fewer dangerous moments near their goal. The club also makes great use of the numerical advantage on the ice and ranks fourth in the league in this indicator, currently having 29.2% of the extra man conversion. Usually, the most successful performance of Travis Green squad is the starting game segment, which they perform at a high level and act very actively in the opponent zone, thanks to which they have 18:9 in goals scored and conceded.
On home ice, Ottawa rarely lets its opponents leave it without a single point and has only lost twice within 60 minutes in seven games. Tim Stuetzle remains the team leading scorer, having already earned 20 points in the goal+assist system - he has only failed to score points in two games.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are no injured or disqualified players on the team.
Interesting trends for betting
- Ottawa averages 29 hits per game
The Senators don't forget about physical hockey and don't give their opponents space on the ice
- Ottawa averages 8.13 penalty minutes per game.
Canadians rarely get sent off more than four times in a game.
Philadelphia Flyers
USACurrent form
Philadelphia is in 12th place in the Eastern Conference and is literally two points behind its opponent. The team has had a hard time winning this season, and recently it has only achieved them outside of 60 minutes. At the same time, the Flyers have alternated successful matches with defeats and have not yet managed to get on a winning streak and win more than two victories in a row this season.
It should be noted that before this they had three away games, in which they lost to Carolina (4:6), then in a tough fight they beat Tampa (2:1 SO) and lost to Florida with a score of 3:4 in a shootout. Fortunately, upon returning to their home court, the Flyers still dealt with San Jose, but again did so in a series of post-game shots (4:3 SO). By the way, away victories are very difficult for them, because in nine away games they were able to get two points in regulation time only once, so they certainly cannot be called a serious threat to the hosts.
However, this season, John Tortorella team has significantly improved in the game in the minority and currently ranks second in this indicator, having 90.4% of the opponent majority neutralization. It is also worth mentioning the return of one of the main scorers, Matvey Michkov. The Russian forward got the opportunity to play in the last match with the "sharks", and his comeback was bright, because he scored a goal and converted a penalty shot, so there is no doubt that he will take part in the upcoming match.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ellis, Johansen, York, Drysdale and Kolosov will not take part in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Philadelphia has a 19.2% power play percentage.
The Flyers are averaging one in every five power play attempts.
- Philadelphia averages 27 shots on goal
The Flyers spend a lot of time in their own zone and play on the counterattack, so they take few shots.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.85Bet 2nd period: home team win
In four out of five matches, the visitors lost in the second period
2.35Tip and bets
In our opinion, Ottawa can be considered the favorite of this confrontation. The Senators looked great in previous matches and victories against more difficult opponents were easier for them than for Philadelphia. The Flyers, in addition, have had a very difficult schedule of games recently and literally the day before finished their home match against San Jose, while the Canadians had the opportunity to recover. In addition, many previous face-to-face meetings between the clubs ended in favor of the home team. We think that this time they will please their fans and earn two points. Prediction - Ottawa win for 2.05
Bet on individual total Ottawa shows a powerful game in attack, especially when playing in front of home fans. On average, the team scores at least four goals on home ice. Plus, the Flyers themselves do not demonstrate a reliable game in defense and usually miss at least three or four goals. In face-to-face meetings with the Flyers, the Canadians almost always score at least four times. Considering the opponent fatigue, they can show good results in the upcoming match. We take the individual total of Ottawa more than three goals with a coefficient of 1.75 Total Bet
It is quite possible that this match will be played on opposite courses and will end with a large number of goals scored. The teams like to play open hockey, so most of the meetings between them end with six goals. The clubs make a lot of mistakes in their zone and know how to use them perfectly, so it makes sense to play the total over. We bet on total over 5.5 goals for 1.75
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