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Sochi vs. Barys: KHL Match Prediction
On November 17, the KHL championship will feature a match between Barys and Sochi. The Leopards are outsiders in the Western Conference, while the Snow Leopards are outsiders in the East. The upcoming match promises to be very unpredictable, but bookmakers consider the hosts to be the favorites in this confrontation, even though they have already lost to the Astana team this season. Is it worth betting on their success? Find the answer in our forecast
Command Analysis
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sochi is in tenth place in the Western Conference and has 22 points. Despite such a performance, Sergei Zubov still remains the head coach, and there is no talk of replacing him. The Leopards have shown themselves well in recent matches and celebrated success in three out of four matches. Their only defeat was in the confrontation with Torpedo (1:7), but before that they managed to deal with SKA (5:2) and Vityaz (3:1), and after an unsuccessful match they beat Kunlun in a tough fight with a score of 6:5 in overtime.
Sochi still counts on open hockey and is often forced to act as the second number, because they are very tight in their zone. However, this year the club is not the most conceding in the league and has worked on its game in defense, becoming better at neutralizing threats at its goal.
True, Sochi still places a big bet on the game in the second period and tries to squeeze the maximum out of itself in it, but the first period often goes badly for it, since the team has a 16:30 ratio in goals scored and goals conceded. It is also worth mentioning that the Leopards do not use the numerical advantage in the best way and currently have only 17.4% of the extra man conversion rate. Nevertheless, from time to time they experience serious difficulties in creating moments.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vengrizhanovsky will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sochi allows 33 shots on goal
The Sochi team spends a lot of time in their own zone and allows a lot of shots to be made on their goal
- According to Sochi statistics, there are 7.84 minutes of penalty time
On average, Sochi players are sent off at least three or four times per game
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys is still in the penultimate line of the Eastern Conference, but has recently started earning points, although it can hardly count on the playoffs this season, because at the moment it is already eight points behind the eighth position. The team, after the change of head coach and radical changes in the roster, began to look good. At least, it began to earn points and from time to time distinguished itself with more than one goal. However, of course, there are still many, many problems.
For example, in the seven previous meetings, the "Bars" could not score more than one goal within 60 minutes, but they were able to win two victories. So, after an unsuccessful match with "Neftekhimik" (1:4), they pulled themselves together and in the return match with Nizhnekamsk celebrated success with a score of 2:1 in overtime. However, in the last match with "Salavat Yulaev", Mambetaliyev team still lost with a score of 1:4, failing to impose a close fight.
By the way, Galym Baubekovich failed to improve the game of his players in the majority. According to this indicator, the club is still in the last line in the championship and has only 6.5% of the extra man implementation. Judging by this percentage, it is absolutely not surprising why Barys has such problems with the effectiveness in general.
Disqualifications and injuries
Antipin, Smith, Starchenko and Zhafyarov will not take part in the upcoming meeting.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys has 8:30 in goals scored and conceded in the third period
The Bars are the worst at the third twenty minutes and usually do not manage without conceding goals
- The team averages 23 shots on target when playing away from home
Barys plays mostly second fiddle on the road and counts on counterattacks
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
2.20Bet 3rd period: guests will score
In four out of five matches, Sochi conceded in the third period
1.77Tip and bets
We think that the upcoming match cannot be so clear-cut. Sochi, of course, has shown itself better in recent matches than Barys, but it can hardly be considered the favorite of this confrontation. Still, the Leopards have not been stable this season and even on their home ice they can face serious difficulties, as, for example, in the last confrontation with Kunlun. The Astana team finished the last face-to-face meeting, which took place at the end of September, in their favor with a minimal advantage, so this time they should not lose in regular time.
Forecast - Barys will not lose for 1.80
Bet on individual total
Barys adheres to a closed style of play, because it itself has serious problems with scoring. That is why in matches with teams outside the playoff zone, Astana often misses no more than two goals. Sochi in the two previous matches against the "Bars" also could not score more than two goals. Most likely, in the upcoming confrontation, the hosts may have difficulties scoring.
We bet on Sochi individual total under 2.5 goals for 1.90
Total Bet
All recent matches involving the visitors have been unproductive and ended with a maximum of five goals scored. Barys rarely concede, but also scores very little in response. Sochi also plays low-scoring hockey with such teams, so we would not expect a large number of goals.
We take the total under five goals with a coefficient of 1.62
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