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Avtomobilist vs. Neftekhimik: KHL match forecast
On November 18, a duel will take place in Yekaterinburg between the local Avtomobilist and Nizhnekamsk Neftekhimik. The hosts have not known the bitterness of defeat for a long time and continue their brilliant winning streak, so they are unlikely to give in, especially at home. The Wolves have recently demonstrated very unsuccessful results and often lost. What is the best bet on the upcoming confrontation? You will find out about this from our forecast
Command Analysis
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Russian FederationCurrent form
Avtomobilist is second in the Eastern Conference and currently has 36 points. It should be noted that the team last lost almost a month ago and since then has extended its series to seven victories. It continues to deal with many opponents in regulation time, but often achieves success with a difference of only one goal. The Yekaterinburg team recently returned from a tense away series, during which they had to go to the Far East. There they dealt with Amur (2:1) and Admiral (4:3 SO), and on home ice they once again beat the Vladivostok team with a score of 1:0.
It is noteworthy that the club is still four points behind the conference leader, although it has two games in reserve. Nikolai Zavarukhin team adheres to a rather closed style of hockey, so it is rare to see more than two pucks in its net. It is surprising that it concedes the least during the second twenty minutes and has a ratio of 22:11 in goals scored and conceded in this period.
Also, we can't help but mention the great performance of Stefan Da Costa, who at 35 years old is the leading scorer on the team and has already earned 23 points in the goal+assist system. He literally has to take the game into his own hands sometimes, since Anatoly Golyshev is still absent due to injury and it is not entirely clear when he will be able to return to the ice.
Disqualifications and injuries
Golyshev, Ishimnikov, Romantsev and Volk will not play in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Auto wins 45.4% of faceoffs
The Yekaterinburg team has problems with this aspect and allows the opponent to keep most of the face-offs
- Avtomobilist has 17.5% of the majority sales
The team has not been making the best use of its numerical advantage this season
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Neftekhimik is in seventh place in the Eastern Conference and has 26 points. However, the team continues to show unsatisfactory results and worsen its position in the table. It may soon find itself outside the playoff zone if it continues to play in the same spirit. It should be emphasized that in the eight previous meetings, Nizhnekamsk has won only one victory in the confrontation with Barys (4:1), but lost to it in the return match with a score of 3:4 (OT), and also began the current away series of matches with a defeat to Avangard (2:3 OT).
Let us emphasize that Oleg Leontyev charges have often had problems creating and converting chances this year, which is why they have not been able to score more than two goals and now remain one of the conference least productive clubs. The top scorers who have reached the 15-point mark in the goal+pass system are Andrei Belozerov and Evgeni Mityakin, whose efforts are clearly not enough to significantly improve their attacking play.
By the way, the most disastrous performance of Nizhnekamsk is the starting game segment, during which they concede a lot and score few themselves. Also, Neftekhimik is not doing well on the road at all, and to date they have only one victory in regular time, although they have already managed to play 14 matches.
Disqualifications and injuries
Abrasimov and Dergachev will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Neftekhimik allows 33 shots on goal
The Wolves spend most of their time on the defensive and play second fiddle
- Neftekhimik receives an average of 7.14 penalty minutes per match
Nizhnekamsk players very rarely get sent off more than three or four times per game
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In the four previous matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
2.25Bet 1st period: victory of Ekaterinburg
In three out of five head-to-head meetings, the hosts kept the first period for themselves
2.35Tip and bets
Avtomobilist has been putting on a great performance for a long period of time and has not suffered any defeats. Moreover, it has won many matches in its favor in regulation time. Neftekhimik has been playing very poorly away from home this season and has only managed to win once within 60 minutes. Previous head-to-head meetings between the teams have also usually been in favor of the home team, and they have pleased the home stands with two points earned. We think that the difference in class will be felt in this confrontation, and Avto will succeed again.
Prediction - Avtomobilist win for 1.65
Total Bet
Previous meetings between the clubs were unproductive and often ended with no more than four goals scored. Both Avtomobilist and Neftekhimik show rather low efficiency. The Yekaterinburg team adheres to a closed style of play and usually plays its matches with a minimum number of goals scored and conceded. By the way, eight of the previous ten games involving Avto ended with a total under, so it makes sense to bet on this outcome again.
We bet on a total of less than five goals with a coefficient of 1.60
Bet on individual total
Neftekhimik showed a weak attack and had difficulty penetrating the opponent defense. Avtomobilist has a minimal number of goals conceded in matches with such opponents and usually does not let them in even twice. In addition, the Wolves have only scored one goal in their last three out of five matches, so it is unlikely that they will score twice in the upcoming match.
We take the individual total of Neftekhimik less than 1.5 goals for 2.00
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