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Hungary vs Germany: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.40
Hungary and Germany will meet in the final round of the League of Nations on November 19 in Budapest. Both teams have no tournament motivation. The hosts will finish third regardless of the outcome of today game, and the German team has secured first place in the quartet. How will the upcoming meeting go and what bets to choose? - the answer is in our forecast. Also, the site star expert Alexander Mostovoy shares his opinion on the game
Command Analysis
Hungary
HungaryCurrent form
In the last round, https://www.mlsz.hu target=_blank rel=noopener>Hungary lost to the Netherlands 0:4 away without a chance and lost even theoretical chances for second place, since the gap from the "orange" is three points, and in personal meetings, the competitor has better indicators. At the same time, Marco Rossi team will also fall back to fourth place, since they have a four-point advantage over Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Overall, the Hungarian team performed at their level, did not exceed their abilities, and did not compete with the leaders of the quartet, Germany and the Netherlands. On the positive side, we note that they managed to avoid losing to the "orange" at home (1:1). In the first round, they suffered a crushing 0:5 defeat away from home against Germany. Then, Hungary failed to demonstrate anything in attack - only one shot on target. The situation with the Netherlands (0:4) was similar - only two shots on target and only 28% ball possession. The difference in class in confrontations with such top teams is clearly evident, and it is not possible to hold out and achieve a positive result only through defense.
There is certainly hope for the home field factor today. The national team has not lost in 12 matches in a row at home, and in these matches they have never conceded more than one goal. Of course, there were practically no top opponents.
Disqualifications and injuries
Kerkez and Toth will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Hungary have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches.
- In four previous matches in the League of Nations on their home field, the team did not win in regular time (three draws and one defeat)
- Both teams have failed to score in seven of Hungary previous eight Nations League home matches.
Estimated line-up: Dibus – Dardai, Fiola, Orban – Zsolt Nagy, Shafer, Nikischer, Nego – Szallai, Varga, Szoboszlai.
Germany
GermanyCurrent form
Germany, one might say, breezed through the group stage of the League of Nations. There were expectations that the Netherlands team would put up a worthy fight against the Bundesteam in the fight for first place, but this did not happen. Julian Nagelsmann charges only drew with the "orange" away (2:2), and beat them on their home field with a minimal score of 1:0.
As expected, the German team had no problems with Hungary and Bosnia and Herzegovina. They beat the Bosnians 2:1 and 7:0, and dealt with the Hungarians in the first round with a score of 5:0. The attacking play is impressive – 17 goals scored, which is the best result among all teams in League A.
It should be noted that the current German national team is distinguished by its team play. Thus, five players have scored at least twice in the tournament. You can expect a threat from anyone, there is a decent fight for a place in the starting lineup, it is unlikely that the hosts should expect the opponent to play carelessly today. At present, Wirtz and Musiala have proven themselves as the leaders of the squad, and the rest of the players are following them.
Disqualifications and injuries
Defender Jonathan Tah will miss the upcoming game due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Ter Stegen, Füllkrug, Undav and Stiller are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- In four of the last five matches, the German team won at the end of the first half
- Germany have conceded in their last ten away matches in the Nations League
- Five of the last seven away games involving the German national team have seen more than two goals scored
Probable line-up: Baumann - Kimmich, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Gosens - Nmecha, Gross - Gnabry, Brandt, Sane - Kleindiste.
Trends
Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet played in the last two head-to-head matches
1.58Bet Exact score 0:3
Germany have won their last two head-to-head matches with a clean sheet
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of Germany previous five matches, goals were scored in each half
1.49Bet Total corners under 9.5
The stake has won 9 of Hungary last 11 home games in the Nations League
1.57Bet Total yellow cards over 2.5
Hungary have been shown at least three yellow cards in their last seven home matches in the Nations League
1.67Tip and bets
Over the past year, the opponents have played each other twice. At the European Championship, the German team won with a score of 2:0, and in the League of Nations in the first round, they completely routed the Hungarians (5:0). Obviously, the difference in class has an effect; Marco Rossi defensive tactics do not work in confrontations with top teams, which was confirmed a few days ago in the game with the Netherlands. At the moment, Hungary has nothing in its arsenal to count on even a draw.
Our prediction is a victory for Germany with an Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.82
Bet on total
Hungary is having trouble attacking top teams. They only had two shots at the Netherlands, and rarely crossed the middle of the field. It is unlikely that anything will change in the confrontation with the German team. In the last two face-to-face encounters, Germany won with a "dry" score, which is what we expect today.
Second bet - Hungary will not score with odds of 2.40
Bet on the first half
In the League of Nations, the German national team played five matches and won four of them at the end of the first half. We believe that today the guests will try to show their advantage at the start and they will succeed.
Prediction: Germany wins in the first half with odds of 1.97
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