Liontips
"Ak Bars" - "Neftekhimik": forecast for the KHL match
Another derby between the "cats" and "wolves" will take place in Kazan on November 20. Not long ago, the teams met each other in Nizhnekamsk, and then Anvar Gatiyatullin charges won a confident victory. In the last game, Ak Bars did not score a single goal against CSKA, but Neftekhimik took two points from Yekaterinburg at the start of the away tour. What will this match be like? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
Ak Bars Kazan
Russian FederationCurrent form
In November, Ak Bars plays a very tight schedule and hardly rests. The team from the Republic of Tatarstan got a few days to rest after a fairly successful away series, where they managed to earn four points out of six possible. On November 13, Anvar Gatiyatullin charges returned home and won against Kunlun (5:0), and then finally finished off SKA (3:2, OT), although they lost a two-goal advantage at the very end of regulation time. Before the game against Neftekhimik, the Kazan team lost to CSKA dry (0:3). The hosts put pressure on Ivan Prosvetov goal throughout the entire match, but were unable to beat the young goalie. Now the "greens" have dropped to fourth place in the East and have 33 points in their bank after 25 starts.
It is worth noting the game of Ak Bars in defense. Dmitry Yashkin team plays well on their half of the ice and since October 16 did not allow more than two goals per game until the meeting with the "army men". On average for the season, the "greens" take the puck out of their goal only 2.08 times per match. Amir Miftakhov remains the team number one and only starts for the most important matches. The goalkeeper has blocked 95.33% of shots and is the best in the league in this indicator. In the match against the "army men" from Moscow, Timur Bilyalov took to the ice, he failed at the end, but was still very good.
Kirill Semenov has become the leader in points scored (9+14) and has overtaken Alexander Barabanov (8+13). Both forwards are equally good at the tip of the attack and regularly make a significant contribution to the result. Not far from the leaders are Artem Galimov (9+11) and the leading sniper and captain Dmitry Yashkin (10+8).
Disqualifications and injuries
Egor Babenko was injured and will not be able to play against the Wolves.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Kazan players take at least 35 shots per match
Ak Bars tries to play actively in the opponent zone and shoots a lot at the goal, but only 8.4% of attempts become goals.
- Ak Bars has 15:14 in goals scored and conceded in the second period
Kazan usually has an ineffective second period, but recently they have started to let more goals into their own net.
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Neftekhimik is in seventh place in the conference table and has earned 28 points in 29 games. The Wolves had a disastrous October, but have been looking better lately and often score points. After losing to Ak Bars (1:4) at the start of the home series, the visitors confidently beat Barys (4:1), but lost to the Kazakhs in overtime a day later (1:2, OT). The team under the command of Oleg Leontyev began the road trip with a defeat in Omsk (2:3, OT), but did not give up and took two points in Yekaterinburg (3:1). The Nizhnekamsk team controlled the course of the meeting in the Urals and were able to secure a comfortable advantage by the beginning of the second period. Despite all of Avto attempts to recoup, the Machinists scored only one puck against the club from the Republic of Tatarstan.
Evgeny Mityakin team has become more reliable in defense and this has borne fruit. In the last five starts, Neftekhimik has conceded only nine times, and Filipp Dolganov has improved his performance in terms of reflected shots. The visiting goalie has made 93.59% of saves and has two shutouts in 20 games this season. His backup Artem Zagidullin does not yet have much of a chance to become the Wolves' number one.
The captain of Nizhnekamsk is the team top scorer. Evgeny Mityakin made 16 effective actions (7+9) and so far only Andrey Belozerov, who scored 15 points (6+9), has really helped him.
Disqualifications and injuries
Roman Abrasimov and Alexander Dergachev will not come to Kazan this Wednesday.
Interesting trends for betting
- According to statistics, the "wolves" receive seven minutes of penalty time per match
Nizhnekamsk residents do not always play with sufficient discipline and often break the rules.
- Neftekhimik wins 52.4% of faceoffs
The visitors play better at the point than many other teams and regularly win the puck from their opponents.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three of the four previous matches involving Neftekhimik, no more than one goal was scored in the first period
1.64Bet 2nd period: Ak Bars will score
Kazan scored against Neftekhimik in the second period in the last two matches
1.40Tip and bets
Ak Bars failed to break through CSKA defense in the last match, but it is unlikely that the Kazan team losing streak will last. Anvar Gatiyatullin team confidently beats the league mid-table and outsiders and rarely gives up points, especially on home ice. Neftekhimik has improved its defense a bit, but the visitors still create very few chances at the opponents' goal. The teams recently played each other in Nizhnekamsk, and then Kazan won a confident victory. We believe that Dmitry Yashkin team will beat the Wolves without any problems. We offer a bet on the hosts' victory with a minus handicap.
Forecast - Ak Bars win with Asian handicap (-1.5) for 1.90
Individual total bet
Ak Bars rarely fails in defense and on average over the season concedes only 2.08 goals per game. CSKA managed to punish the Greens for their mistakes, but Neftekhimik, which looks very weak in the lead, is unlikely to succeed. Nizhnekamsk scored only 11 goals in the previous five games. We don’t think they will be able to score even twice.
We bet on Neftekhimik individual total under 1.5 goals for 1.80
Bet on total
The recent match between the clubs was not very productive, but Ak Bars managed to score four goals against the Wolves. The visitors have improved in terms of reliability and should not fail in Kazan. In the five previous meetings between these teams, only once were more than five goals scored. Let bet on the total under.
We take the total under five goals for 1.65
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