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Toronto vs. Vegas: NHL Match Prediction
Toronto will face Vegas on their home court on November 21. The Leafs seem to have gained some good form recently and have won five out of six games. The Knights have not been doing well on the road this season and have a pretty mediocre record. However, stylistically, the Golden Knights are a comfortable opponent. What is the best bet on this event? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto is in sixth place in the Eastern Conference and has earned 24 points in total. The team is gradually improving its position in the standings and is trying to secure a place in the playoff zone. Compared to the start of the season, it has begun to show more stable results and win much more often. However, most of its victories still come with great effort and with a difference of one goal or in overtime. Not long ago, the Leafs' successful series of three victories was interrupted, and they lost to Ottawa at home (0:3), but then on the road in a tough fight they dealt with Washington (4:3 OT), and already on home ice they beat Edmonton with a score of 4:3, but again they did it outside of regulation time.
Of course, the team really misses Auston Matthews, who is still out with an injury, but even without the American forward, they look pretty good on offense and usually score at least three goals. It is no coincidence that Tavares and Marner get a huge amount of playing time, which they use to the maximum and rarely leave the court without earning points.
However, Craig Berube team still has problems with the power play, as even in the last matchup with the Oilers, they had four attempts but did not capitalize on any of them. Overall, Toronto has improved its conversion rate, but is still below 20%.
Disqualifications and injuries
Klingberg, Jarnkrok, Mermis, Matthews, Pacioretty, Kempf will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Toronto has a 24-19 lead in goals scored and allowed in the second period.
The Leafs are playing well in the second period and often score goals in it
- The Leafs are getting 9.47 penalty minutes.
On average, Toronto is sent off at least five times per game.
Vegas Golden Knights
USACurrent form
Vegas has big goals this season and their intentions are already visible. The team is currently in third place in the Western Conference with 24 points. They show very good results on their home ice and beat opponent after opponent, but their away game is not going well at all. However, the Knights, strangely enough, have been winning exclusively on away courts lately. So, first they dealt with Anaheim (5:2), and then proved their superiority over Utah (4:2), but in a home match with Washington they suffered a defeat with a score of 2:5.
Let us emphasize that Vegas' most vulnerable spot remains its defense, as on average it has no less than three goals in its net and it is still unable to improve this indicator. In terms of attack, the club is the best in its conference and has managed to score a total of 72 goals. Also, unlike its counterpart, it has no difficulties playing in 5x4 and 5x3 formats and currently ranks second in the league in this indicator, with a 34% conversion rate.
Bruce Cassidy team is at its strongest in the final twenty minutes, during which it scores a lot and concedes very little in return. Its ratio in this period is 31:13 in goals scored and goals conceded.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lehner, Olofsson, Stone, Hague and Hutton will be out with injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Vegas averages 5.5 minutes in penalties
The Knights are known for their good discipline and are rarely sent off more than two or three times per match.
- According to statistics, the team makes 31 shots on target
Vegas is showing an active game in attack and is trying to shoot at the opponent goal as often as possible
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.79Bet 3rd period: away team win
In four out of five games against Toronto, the visitors have been successful in the third period
2.75Tip and bets
If Vegas had its optimal lineup, it would have to be considered the favorite in this matchup. However, even without it, the team looks pretty strong and has shown itself quite well in the past. Toronto is also experiencing difficulties with its lineup and is still without several key forwards. Plus, previous matches between the clubs often ended in favor of the Golden Knights. We think that the Knights can well fight for points in the upcoming matchup, so we offer to bet on their victory for such a coefficient.
Prediction - Vegas win with handicap (0) for 2.15
Bet on individual total
In the five previous matches against Toronto, the visitors have regularly scored at least three goals. The Knights are showing an active game in the attacking zone and are making great use of their chances. At the moment, Vegas is the most productive club in the Western Conference and regularly opens up the opponents' defense more than twice. By the way, in three of the previous five matches, it also scored at least three times.
We bet on Vegas' individual total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.75
Total Bet
Many previous head-to-head meetings between the teams have been highly productive. The clubs are not afraid to miss an extra puck, as they make great use of their moments. In addition, we should not forget that Vegas is great at realizing the majority, but at the same time, it does not play well in the minority. It is quite possible that the game will be played on opposite courses and this time we will also see at least six goals.
We take the total over 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 1.70
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