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Sochi vs. Sibir: KHL Match Prediction
On November 22, Sochi will host a home court battle against Sibir. The Leopards are considered underdogs in the upcoming match, even though they are playing on their home court, and their opponent is on a long losing streak. The teams have played one match against each other this season, and then the Novosibirsk team achieved success in regular time. What should you bet on this time? You will find out the answer from the forecast
Command Analysis
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sochi remains the main outsider of the Western Conference and currently has 22 points. The team has almost no chance of fighting for a place in the playoffs, since even now it is nine points behind the top eight. However, in recent matches it has often achieved victory and celebrated success in three matches out of five. True, the Leopards lost with a rout on the road to Torpedo (1:7), after which they pulled themselves together and dealt with Kunlun (6:5 OT), but in the last match they unexpectedly lost to Barys with a score of 3:6, although they were considered the favorite in that confrontation.
The main goalkeeper, Sergei Ivanov, did not take part in the match with the "Bars", because of which the second goalkeeper, Evgeniy Volokhin, took the place in the goal, and then Nikita Tulinov replaced him. However, both of them failed to cope with their duties and conceded six goals in literally 14 shots. Sergei Zubov, the head coach of the club, noted at the post-match press conference that the team "let down by discipline", and also emphasized that "the opponent outplayed them on counterattacks".
Fortunately, after that match, the Sochi players had a chance to catch their breath and fully recover, because they had four full days of rest and will probably be in optimal physical shape. However, there is another side to the coin, because rest can throw players off track, and they will not be able to immediately "find" the rhythm of the game. Moreover, on their home ice this season they have only won four victories within 60 minutes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vengrizhanovsky will not take part in the upcoming meeting due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Sochi allows 32 shots on goal
The Leopards spend a lot of time on defense and are unable to cover most of their opponents' shots
- Sochi has 18.2% power play realization
The Sochi team makes good use of their numerical advantage and, on average, converts every fifth attempt
Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sibir continues to worsen its position in the Eastern Conference standings and is already in ninth place. The team can improve its position only if it pulls itself together in the near future. However, it is worth mentioning that over the past month it was able to achieve only one victory against Metallurg (4:3), and after that it again suffered five defeats in a row. Let us recall that the Novosibirsk team ended its home series of matches with defeats from SKA (0:1 SO) and Dynamo Moscow (1:2), and on the road they again lost to the white-blues with a score of 2:4.
The "Snowmen" were not helped in the game with the Muscovites even by a minimal advantage of one goal, which they quickly lost and were left without a single point, having missed three goals at the very end. At the same time, in most cases, Vadim Epanchintsev team continues to show poor performance and cannot score more than two goals. By the way, even in the previous confrontation they made only 16 shots at the opponent goal.
However, if in equal compositions the "snowflakes" do not currently pose a serious threat to the opponent, then they still make great use of the numerical advantage. At the moment, the club occupies a leading position in the league in this indicator and has 27.3% of the extra man conversion. However, in the minority, "Sibir" plays mediocrely and has only 74.7% of the majority neutralization.
Disqualifications and injuries
"Sibir" currently has no problems with its roster
Interesting trends for betting
- Sibir has 24:31 in goals scored and conceded in the third period
Novosibirsk players are the most productive in the third period
- The Snowmen are receiving 6.69 penalty minutes.
"Snowflakes" are usually removed no more than three times per match
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
2.10Bet 2nd period: Novosibirsk win
In four out of five matches against Sochi, the visitors achieved success in the second period
2.50Tip and bets
In our opinion, Sibir should earn two points in this match. The Snowmen have been disastrous in most of their recent matches, but they are still superior in class to their counterpart. Plus, the visitors are in good shape, unlike Sochi, who rested a lot, and it is far from certain that they will be able to immediately catch the rhythm of the game. We should also note that many face-to-face matches ended in favor of Novosibirsk in regular time. If they improve their attack a little, the Leopards will certainly not cope with them.
We bet on Siberia to win with a handicap of (0) for 1.60
Bet on individual total
In previous meetings with Sochi, Novosibirsk demonstrated good efficiency and usually distinguished themselves by no less than three goals scored. The Leopards are one of the most conceding clubs not only in the West, but also in the entire league as a whole, and on average, even on their own ice, they quite often concede three times. It is also worth noting that Epanchintsev team makes great use of their majority, so it makes sense to take his individual total.
We bet on the individual total of "Siberia" over 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.80
Total Bet
The last matches between the clubs were quite spectacular and often had five or more goals. Novosibirsk has been missing a lot lately, and Sochi has been sticking to a counter-attack style of play throughout the season. They operate exclusively on counterattacks. The "Snowmen", in turn, also have many away matches with a large number of goals. Based on this, we bet on the total over.
We take the total over 4.5 pucks with a coefficient of 1.72
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