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Severstal - Ak Bars: forecast for the KHL match
Severstal will try to extend their winning streak in a home game against Ak Bars on November 23. The Steelworkers have lost four games in a row and only recently broke their losing streak. Kazan has lost only three points in Tatarstan this month, losing to Lokomotiv and CSKA. Last season, the Cherepovets team beat the Cats twice with the same score of 4:1. What will the first match between the rivals this fall be like? Read about it in our forecast for the meeting
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal had a strong October and significantly improved its position in the West. After a series of victories, Andrei Kozyrev team lost shape and lost four games in a row. Today, the club from Cherepovets is in sixth place in the conference and can get closer to the top five in case of a victory. The Steelworkers have scored 32 points in 27 starts and are unlikely to fail to make it to the playoffs with such results at the end of two and a half months of the regular season. The Black and Yellows did not have a good last away game, although they started it with a victory in Mytishchi (4:3). After that, Adam Liszka team lost in Minsk (1:3), Balashikha (0:2) and could not cope with the onslaught of Spartak in the capital (1:4). Returning home, Andrei Kozyrev team was routed by Vityaz (1:7), but snatched a victory from Admiral (2:1). Throughout the entire match with the sailors, the hosts were very active in front, but scored only two goals.
The Cherepovets team has significantly worsened its offensive performance. In the five previous games, they have only made five accurate shots and have never scored more than twice in a match. Kirill Pilipenko remains the best forward of Seva and has 24 points (12+12). The forward is in eighth place on the list of the most productive hockey players in the KHL.
The team from the Vologda region has conceded 17 goals in the last five games and has generally been terrible on its own half of the ice. Goalies Konstantin Shostak and Aleksandr Samoilov have dropped their save percentage to 90.5% per game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Aleksandr Skorenov and Aleksey Kruchinin were injured and will not play against Ak Bars this Saturday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal takes 32 shots on goal per game
The Black and Yellows put enormous pressure on their opponents' goalkeepers in every game.
- The Steelers are winning just 45.5 percent of their faceoffs.
So far, the team centers have not been so successful at the point and have lost more often.
Ak Bars Kazan
Russian FederationCurrent form
Ak Bars rarely loses points after the October break in its calendar, but is currently only in fourth place in the conference table. The team from the Republic of Tatarstan is only two points behind second place in the East and has one game in hand. Anvar Gatiyatullin charges have 35 points in their bank after 26 games. The Kazan team is heading to the Vologda Region after a series of meetings at the Tatneft Arena. There, Dmitry Yashkin team won against Kunlun (5:0) and SKA (3:2, OT), but could not cope with the defense of the army men from the capital (0:3). In the final match, the "cats" dealt with their archrival from Nizhnekamsk (2:0) without scoring.
Timur Bilyalov was unable to finish the match against Neftekhimik, so he was replaced by Amir Miftakhov. He is the best goalkeeper in the league in terms of save percentage. On average, the young Ak Bars goalkeeper only lets in 1.23 goals per 60 minutes, and in 12 starts he left the ice three times with a shutout.
Kirill Semenov continues to hold the status of the "Bars" top scorer. The forward made 23 effective actions (9+14) and assists his partners better than others. Artem Galimov (10+11) and Alexander Barabanov (8+13) are not too far from the attack leader, but so far they are not even among the 20 best attacking hockey players in the KHL.
Disqualifications and injuries
Egor Babenko will not play in the upcoming match in Cherepovets.
Interesting trends for betting
- Ak Bars shoots 35 times per game on average
Kazan shoots a lot, but converts 8.3% of their chances.
- The visitors only make 18 power moves per game.
The Bars try to avoid physical struggles and prefer technical hockey, but this does not always work out.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In the last five matches involving Ak Bars, the first period was not productive
1.75Bet 3rd period: Severstal will not lose
Cherepovets have not lost to Kazan in the third period for four games in a row
1.47Tip and bets
Severstal has finally broken its terrible losing streak. The Cherepovets team has been playing very well at home this season and has suffered only three defeats on home ice throughout the regular season. Ak Bars is not as dangerous on the road as it is in Kazan. Anvar Gatiyatullin team scores much less on the road and is not as reliable on their half of the ice. Since 2020, the Bars have not been able to beat the Steelworkers in regulation time in official matches. We think this streak will continue on Saturday. We suggest betting on the hosts' double chance.
Our prediction is Severstal will not lose at 1.67
Bet on individual total
Severstal scores 3.42 goals per game in Cherepovets on average and rarely leaves the court without at least two goals. Ak Bars is not very good in away defense and allows 2.42 goals per game away. The hosts managed to score eight accurate shots on the Cats' goal in two games between the rivals last season. We think that this time the Black and Yellows will hit the Bars' goal at least three times.
Forecast - Severstal individual total is more than two goals for 1.55
Bet on total
Ak Bars is going to Cherepovets as the favorite of the match. Very rarely do matches involving Anvar Gatiyatullin team turn out to be spectacular and too productive. Severstal will try to play as strictly as possible on its half of the court. In our opinion, the teams will score no more than five goals between them. The last time there were six goals in this pair was in 2021. Let play a bet on the total under.
Forecast - total under 5.5 goals for 1.70
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