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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory: Australian Championship Match Prediction
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory will play in the fifth round of the Australian A-League. The visitors are the sole leaders of the tournament table after four rounds, but the hosts are not far behind - in fourth position and only three points behind their competitor. Which of the rivals will be able to score tournament points on November 24? The answer is in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Wellington Phoenix
New ZealandCurrent form
Wellington Phoenix has been quite successful in the Australian league, but has never won a championship. The team has not been able to take the final step towards the trophy. Last season, the New Zealand club finished the regular season in second place, but lost to today opponent, Melbourne Victory (1:2) in the semi-finals. This season, the hosts are currently in fourth place in the table, having scored seven points in four matches. The Wellington team managed to win away victories over Perth Glory (2:0) and Central Coast Mariners (3:0), but they have not been able to win at home yet - first there was a draw with Western United (1:1), and then a defeat to their compatriots from Auckland (0:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Finn Cionchi and Lucas Kelly will miss the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- The hosts have not won in their last three home games
- The Wellington club has managed to keep a clean sheet in two of its last three matches
Tentative line-up: Oluwayemi - Payne, Wootton, Hughes, Sutton - Roofer, Nagasawa, Retre - Sheridan, Ishige - Barbarouses
Melbourne Victory
AustraliaCurrent form
Melbourne Victory finished the last regular season only in third place, but this did not prevent the team from performing better in the playoffs than today opponent. The visitors reached the final, where in extra time the winner of the regular season, Central Coast Mariners (1:3) turned out to be stronger. Before the start of the A-League season, the Melbourne team fought for the Australian Cup. In this tournament, they easily beat NBC Spirit (4:0), Moreton City Excelsior (4:0) and Adelaide United (1:0), but in the final confrontation, Victory lost to Macarthur (0:1). Patrick Kisnorbo team began the new A-League season with victories over Melbourne City (3:1), Macarthur (2:1) and Brisbane Roar (2:0), and managed to draw with the current champion, Central Coast Mariners (0:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
The visitors have no problems with their squad at the moment.
Interesting trends for betting
- The visitors have won three victories in a row
- The team has not lost a single game this season.
Probable lineup: Duncan - Bosz, Roderick, Hamill, Geria - Teague, Valadon - Piscopo, Mashash, Velupille - Vergos
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:1
Three of the last five head-to-head matches ended with this score
7.50Bet Both Teams to Score
This bet has played in two of the last three away matches
1.87Bet Number 1 in the final score
This pattern has worked in 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches
1.64Tip and bets
At the start of the season, the opponents are doing well in defense. The hosts have conceded only three goals in four matches, while the visitors have conceded two. The teams will probably be serious about the face-to-face match, so no one will allow failures near their goal. We don’t think that there will be many dangerous moments in this game, so we suggest betting on the total under.
Our prediction is total under 2.5 goals for 1.88
Bet on the outcome
The hosts will try to finally get their first home win of the season, but it will be difficult to beat Melbourne Victory - it is not for nothing that the team is leading the standings. It is also not worth betting on the visitors - the team has won only one victory in the last five face-to-face matches, and that was in extra time. We do not see a clear favorite in this confrontation, so we will bet on a draw.
Our prediction is a draw at 3.75
Bet on corners
We don't expect the opponents to go forward in force immediately after the starting whistle. It will obviously take time to get to know each other. In this scenario, a draw at the end of the first half is likely.
Our prediction is a draw in the first half at 2.20
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