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Sochi vs. Lada: KHL Match Prediction
On November 25, we will have a match within the regular KHL championship, in which Sochi will take on Lada on its home ice. Both teams are on a losing streak and can’t seem to recover. All previous meetings between the clubs were tense and ended either in favor of the Leopards or the Eagle Owls. Who will have the strength to break the losing streak? What is the best bet? Find the answers to these questions in our forecast
Command Analysis
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sochi is in the last position of the Western Conference and has in its assets. The team still has a chance to get out of the current situation and rise to the tenth line, but it has practically said goodbye to the chances of getting into the playoffs, since it is 11 points behind the top eight and with such results it is unlikely to be able to somehow get closer to it. Note that in three previous meetings out of four it suffered defeat. Sochi dealt only with Kunlun (6:5 OT), but lost with a rout on the road to Torpedo (1:7), and on home ice they could not cope with Barys (3:6) and Sibir (2:4).
By the way, in the confrontation with Novosibirsk, they had a comfortable advantage of two goals, which they were able to secure for themselves in the starting segment, but the "leopards" failed the remaining two periods and were unable to score more. Problems with the game in defense, as a rule, prevail over their capabilities in attack, so often in the net of their goal you can see at least three goals.
Also, if in the last game Sergei Zubov team played the opening twenty minutes with dignity, then usually it is the most disastrous in its assets, and the club has a ratio of 19:32 in goals scored and goals conceded. The coach often says that Sochi is led by discipline, and "the guys who have repeatedly done this are letting us down."
Disqualifications and injuries
Nikonov and Vengryzhanovsky will not take part in the upcoming meeting due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sochi has a 17.6% power play percentage
Sochi residents are not making the best use of their numerical advantage
- Sochi gets 6.14 minutes of penalty time on its ice
The Leopards rarely get sent off more than three times when playing at home
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lada is not having as good a season as the previous one. It is currently in tenth place in the Eastern Conference and has earned a total of 25 points. It is literally one point away from the playoff zone, so it can find itself in the top eight again at any moment, but for that it needs to end its losing streak. Let us emphasize that after the change of head coach, Oleg Bratash, the team affairs have not improved, but rather, on the contrary, it has lost the thread of the game. So, at the moment, the Togliatti team is on a streak of five defeats.
On the road, they failed to cope with CSKA (1:4) and Salavat Yulaev (1:3), and upon returning to their home arena, they lost to Metallurg (1:2 SO), the Moscow army team (1:4) and the same Ufa team with a score of 1:2 in a shootout. In all cases, the "owls" showed a weak attack and were left with no more than one goal scored.
Of course, in such a situation, it is very difficult to count on a favorable outcome, even taking into account the excellent play in goal by Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy. However, the acting head coach, Pavel Zubov, is confident that the situation will soon improve, because there are "no indifferent people" in the team. For now, judging by his words, the team "lacks freshness" and there are "difficulties with rotation."
Disqualifications and injuries
Bikmullin, Chervonenko, Popugaev will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada wins 44.6% of faceoffs
Togliatti is currently one of the worst clubs in the league in this regard.
- Lada has 20:27 in goals scored and conceded in the second period
The "Filins" play mediocrely in the second twenty minutes and often allow their opponents to score in it
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In four out of five games involving away teams, the first period was unproductive
1.62Bet 2nd period: Sochi will score
In three out of five matches, the hosts scored goals in the second period
1.67Tip and bets
In our opinion, it is impossible to single out a clear favorite in this confrontation. The teams are approximately equal in level and are currently both outside the playoff zone. Previous meetings between them, as a rule, went to overtime and often ended in favor of the home team, so it is quite surprising that bookmakers consider them the underdogs of this match. Plus, the visitors have not been playing well in attack lately, which is why they are currently on a long streak of failures. Based on this, it makes sense to bet on the "leopards".
Forecast - Sochi will not lose for 1.70
Bet on individual total
This season, Lada has been quite mediocre in terms of scoring and in most cases ends up with two or fewer goals scored. In the last five games, Togliatti has not been able to break through the opponents' defense more than once. Of course, Sochi plays poorly in defense, but we must take into account the fact that it is always more difficult to score than to concede, so we do not think that the "owls" will manage to score three times this time.
We take the individual total of Lada under 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.85
Total Bet
Many matches involving Lada are "low-scoring" and end with a minimum number of goals. Goalkeeper Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy does a great job of his direct responsibilities and often saves his team, but the team itself does not use its chances well. It is no coincidence that three of the four previous matches involving the guests ended with fewer than five goals scored. It is quite possible that the upcoming match will also be ineffective.
We bet on total under 4.5 goals with odds of 2.05
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