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Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avangard: KHL Match Prediction
Magnitogorsk Metallurg will play Avangard on November 26. The Foxes usually finished their last home games against Omsk in their favor. Andrey Razin team also started the current home series of matches successfully and has already managed to win one victory. The Hawks have also shown their best side in the last games and celebrated success twice in a row. Will the hosts be able to interrupt Omsk successful series? What bet is better to make? You will find out about this from the forecast
Command Analysis
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Metallurg reached the fifth place in the Eastern Conference and earned 33 points. The team continues to demonstrate unstable results and cannot get on a long winning streak, however, recently it has rarely lost. Thus, on the road Magnitogorsk managed to deal with Lada (2:1 SO) and Salavat Yulaev (3:2 OT), but after these successful matches unexpectedly lost to Barys (1:2). Fortunately, after returning to the home court they immediately pulled themselves together and rehabilitated themselves, proving superiority over Sibir with a score of 3:1.
In the confrontation with Novosibirsk, Magnitka was very active in the opponent zone and made a total of 35 shots. It also had four opportunities to play in the majority, but it did not take advantage of any of them. In general, Andrei Razin team still has serious difficulties with the game in the 5x4 format, since at the moment it has only 17.4% of the extra man realization.
It seems that the team lacks leaders who can take the game upon themselves, which is why it often ends up with a minimum number of goals scored. Plus, on home ice, Metallurg has only won five victories within 60 minutes so far. As a rule, the second period is the worst for the club, in which it has 26:32 in goals scored and conceded and often allows the opponent to score.
Disqualifications and injuries
Metallurg currently has no problems with its roster.
Interesting trends for betting
- Metallurg gets 5.58 minutes of penalty time
Metallurg plays very disciplined and, for example, in the last match, they didn’t have a single penalty
- On average, Metallurg takes 32 shots on target
The Foxes try to play actively in the opponent zone and threaten the opponent goal at every opportunity
Avangard Omsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Avangard entered the playoff zone for the first time in a long time and found itself in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. Of course, this fact should cheer up the team, but it is definitely not worth deceiving ourselves, since it still has many problems, and victories come with great effort even against outsiders. Nevertheless, in three previous meetings out of four, the Omsk team achieved success. They dealt with Neftekhimik at home (3:2 OT), and after a failure against Minsk Dynamo (2:5), they won in matches with Admiral (2:1) and Barys (3:2 OT).
It is noteworthy that in the match with the obvious underdogs in the face of Astana, the "hawks" could have been left without a single point, since they were losing 0:2 at the start of the third period. Thanks to a double by Nikolai Prokhorkin, they returned to the game and already in overtime, Cole Cassels put the finishing touches. By the way, in that confrontation, Sergei Zvyagin team made a total of 44 shots, but still failed to score even three goals in 60 minutes.
In the East, the club is one of the least productive and is approximately at the level of Neftekhimik. On average, Avangard is not able to score more than two goals on the road, which is why it has only won two victories within regular time to date. But in the majority, unlike Metallurg, the team plays well and currently has 23.7% of the extra time.
Disqualifications and injuries
Berdin, Baikov, Grant and Stepanov will not be able to take part in the upcoming meeting.
Interesting trends for betting
- Avangard receives an average of six minutes of penalty time
According to statistics, Omsk players are sent off no more than three times per match
- Avangard has a 77% neutralization rate of the opponent majority
The Hawks have not been the best on the penalty kill and remain one of the league worst teams in terms of
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
2.10Bet 2nd period: Omsk will score
In three out of five matches, the hosts conceded in the second period
1.70Tip and bets
We think that bookmakers seriously underestimate the Omsk team in this confrontation. The Hawks are probably in their best form in the last month, even though victories come with great difficulty. Metallurg is also not distinguished by stability and rarely wins by more than one goal. Quite often, the Foxes win outside of regular time. Plus, Zvyagin team finished the last match against Magnitogorsk in their favor. We think that this time the guests will impose a close fight.
Forecast - Avangard wins with Asian handicap (+1) for goals scored for 1.67
Bet on individual total
Metallurg showed mediocre results in previous matches and usually could not score more than two goals. Avangard, in turn, in three previous matches out of four was left with less than three goals conceded. It seems that goalkeeper Pavel Khomenko has gained good shape, so if the visitors improve their defense, we do not think that Razin team will score even three goals.
We bet on Metallurg individual total of less than three goals with a coefficient of 1.70
Total Bet
Matches between the clubs are not often productive and involve six or more goals. Metallurg has played its last eight games with a minimum number of goals. Considering that the teams respect each other very much, they are unlikely to risk playing open hockey. We will expect approximately the same scenario as in the previous game, when the clubs separated with only four goals between them.
We take the total under 5.5 goals for 1.65
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