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Aston Villa vs Juventus: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.32
In the fifth round of the Champions League on November 27, Aston Villa will play Juventus at home. The Birmingham team has noticeably slowed down after a strong start and has not won a single match in all tournaments in the last six matches. Nevertheless, today bookmakers give the advantage to the hosts. Will the Turin team be able to take advantage of their opponent slump? - the answer is in our forecast. Also, the star expert of the site Alexander Mostovoy shares his bet on the game
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent form
Aston Villa went three rounds in the Champions League without losing any points, and during this period they even won a home victory over Bayern (1:0). They failed to maintain the momentum, and the failure came in a match against a far from formidable opponent. The Birmingham team lost away to Brugge with a minimal score of 0:1. It is alarming that in that match they made only one shot on target.
In general, the failure in Belgium was quite natural, since taking into account all the tournaments, Unai Emery charges have not won in six matches in a row. During this period, they managed to fly out of the League Cup, losing 1:2 to Crystal Palace, there were also defeats without a chance of points in the Premier League from Tottenham (1:4) and Liverpool (0:2). In the last round, there seemed to be a chance to interrupt the series of failures, but they failed to beat Crystal Palace on their home field (2:2). In the Premier League standings, against the backdrop of failures, Aston Villa after 12 rounds occupies only eighth place.
Birmingham hopes are now largely tied to the home field factor. At Villa Park, the team has suffered only two defeats since the start of the season, when they were not playing with their main squad in the League Cup against Crystal Palace, and also at the start of the domestic championship against Arsenal (0:2).
Disqualifications and injuries
The injured list includes Konsa, Onana, Kamara and Ramsey, with the most noticeable loss being Amadou Onana, who plays an important role in the defensive midfield.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have not won in the first half in their last three matches
- No more than two goals have been scored in Birmingham previous three Champions League matches
- In Aston Villa last four Champions League games, at least one team has failed to score
Probable line-up: Martinez - Cash, Carlos, Torres, Digne - Bailey, Barkley, Tielemans, McGinn - Rodgers - Watkins.
Juventus
ItalyCurrent form
Juventus have secured two victories in the Champions League at the start – against PSV (3:1) and Leipzig (3:2), and they managed to beat the Bulls while playing with a man down. They failed to build on their winning streak in the main European club tournament, with a 0:1 home defeat to Stuttgart and a 1:1 away draw with Lille. Nevertheless, seven points earned leave a good chance of finishing in the top 8.
In Serie A, 13 rounds have passed, in which the "Old Lady" has scored 25 points and occupies an intermediate sixth place. https://www.juventus.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>"Juventus" remains the only team in the championship that has not yet suffered a single defeat. However, Thiago Motta charges play a draw too often - in 7 out of 13 matches in Serie A, they have ended in a draw with their opponents.
It should be noted that Juventus most often strives to play pragmatically, not to let the opponent show anything on the field. This is exactly what happened in the last match in the national championship away against Milan (0:0). In that meeting, the teams made only three shots on target and demonstrated rather boring football. Note that in 10 out of 13 matches in Serie A, Juve kept their goal intact.
Disqualifications and injuries
The participation of Dusan Vlahovic, who was injured in a game for the national team and continues to train according to an individual program, is in doubt. Milik, Bremer, Gonzalez, Luis, Cabal and Adji will also not take to the field today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Juventus have failed to win in regular time in six of their last seven Champions League away games
- In five of the last six away matches in the Champions League involving the Turin club, both teams scored goals
- In the last four matches of Juventus, taking into account all tournaments, the bet on the total under 2.5 goals was successful
Tentative line-up: Di Gregorio - Savona, Kalulyu, Gatti, Cambiaso - Locatelli, Thuram - Conceicao, McKennie, Yildiz - Copmeiners.
Trends
Total under 3.5 yellow cards bet
In six of Juventus' previous seven Champions League away games, no more than three yellow cards have been shown
3.20Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in Juventus' last three matches
1.35Bet Exact score 0:1
Juventus have won their last three games with a clean sheet
8.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In two of the last four matches the visitors failed to score in either half
1.68Aston Villa to win on offsides
This bet has been successful in three of the hosts' previous four matches
2.60Aston Villa won't score
Juventus have kept clean sheets in three of their previous four matches
3.50Tip and bets
Aston Villa had already experienced a significant slump before the international break, which, as the match against Crystal Palace showed, they were unable to interrupt after the break. Today they will play Juventus, who are tactically able to adapt to any opponent and do not allow themselves to show their attacking potential. We do not think that the Birmingham team will be able to surprise Thiago Motta charges with anything. In our opinion, the chances of winning in this pair are largely equal, bookmakers are clearly overestimating the current capabilities of Unai Emery team.
Our prediction is a Juventus victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.32
Bet on total
Since the start of the season, Juventus have played 17 matches in Serie A and the Champions League. In only three of them have their opponents managed to score more than once. Given the hosts' far from optimal form, we don't expect Aston Villa to crack the Old Lady defence at least twice.
The second bet is Aston Villa individual total goals under 1.5 with odds of 1.64
Betting on offsides
Let note a promising statistical trend that can be used when choosing bets. In seven of the last eight away matches involving Juventus in the Champions League, there have not been more than three offsides.
Forecast - total under 3.5 offsides with odds of 1.67
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