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Bayer vs Salzburg: Prediction and bets with odds of 2.44
Bayer and Salzburg will meet in one of the matches of the fifth round of the Champions League on November 26. During the season, both teams have not been distinguished by stable play, but often please with an abundance of goals scored. Should we expect a productive game today and what exact bets should we choose? - the answer is in our expert forecast
Command Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen
GermanyCurrent form
Bayer is not currently showing such a stable and powerful game as it was in the last championship season. However, it cannot be said that Xabi Alonso team is in a serious decline. Especially after the crushing 5:2 victory over Heidenheim in the last round of the Bundesliga. For the first time in a long time, we saw the usual Bayer, which creates difficulties for itself, but "squeezes" its opponents due to its classy attacking game. By the 21st minute, the "pharmacists" were losing 0:2, but they tied the score in the first half, and scored three more goals in the second 45 minutes.
The victory over Hadenheim allowed them to consolidate their fourth place in the Bundesliga. The gap to third-placed Leipzig is only one point. However, the problems in defense have not gone away. https://www.bayer04.de/de-de target=_blank rel=noopener>Bayer have conceded 18 goals in the championship – the worst result in the top 4.
In the Champions League, Xabi Alonso men have seven points after four rounds, and the entire fight for a place in the playoffs is still ahead. The only defeat was from Liverpool in the last round with a crushing score of 0:4. The defense in the main European club tournament clearly worked with Feyenoord (4:0) and Milan (1:0). At the same time, Bayer had a far from best match against Brest (1:1).
Disqualifications and injuries
Bayer will be without Belosyan, Mukiele, Adli, Hofmann, Terje, Boniface due to injuries today. Tapsob and Frimpong are in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayer have failed to win in the first half in three of their last four matches
- Bayer have not lost in 12 of their last 16 home matches in the Champions League
- Bayer have not scored more than three goals in their previous seven home matches in the Champions League
Estimated line-up: Hradecky – Andrich, Ta, Incapie – Tella, Xhaka, Palacios, Grimaldo – Garcia, Wirtz – Schick.
Salzburg
AustriaCurrent form
Salzburg are clearly in decline. Even in the domestic championship, the "bulls" are unable to dominate. In the Austrian Bundesliga, the multiple champion has only 18 points in 12 matches played and is in sixth place. Of course, their opponents have two more matches, but nevertheless, a series of four games without a win is at least alarming, as are only 16 goals scored, which is clearly not enough for such a team.
In the Champions League, Pepijn Lijnders' men failed to score a single point in three rounds. Moreover, the Austrians had opponents of similar class in many ways – Sparta, Brest, Dinamo Zagreb. Nevertheless, the Bulls lost three matches with a total score of 0:9. When there was nowhere to retreat, Salzburg achieved a largely unexpected away victory over Feyenoord with a score of 3:1 in the fourth round. Three points earned leave the team in the fight for a place in the playoffs.
Israeli striker Oskar Gluch stands out in Salzburg. He has played 19 matches this season, scoring five goals and making five assists. The victory over Feyenoord was not achieved without his participation – two accurate assists.
Disqualifications and injuries
Oko, Morgalla, Kawamura and Kjaergaard will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Three of Salzburg last four matches ended in a 0-0 draw at half-time
- The Bulls have not won in 11 of their last 14 away matches in the Champions League
- Salzburg have not conceded more than two goals in five of their last seven away matches in the Champions League.
Approximate composition: Schlager - Dedich, Pentkovsky, Baidu, Terzic - Clark, Gurna-Duat, Diambu - Dorzheles, Konate, Glukh.
Trends
Bayer will not lose on yellow cards
Bayer have not lost in nine of their last ten matches due to yellow cards
1.95Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The stake has played in Salzburg last five matches
1.83Bet Exact score 4:1
Bayer last two victories were won by three goals
8.70Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In Bayer last two matches, goals were scored in each half
1.41Bet: Bayer to win due to offsides
Bayer have won three of their last four matches on offsides
1.85Salzburg to score bet
Bayer have conceded in their last two Champions League matches
1.71Tip and bets
Bayer is the obvious favorite in this pair in the bookmakers' line. Given the results in the current Champions League, there is nothing surprising about this. However, as the main bet, we still recommend the option with an exchange of goals scored. The problems in the defense of the "pharmacists" have not disappeared, as the match against Heidenheim showed. Salzburg has Konate and Glukh up front, who are capable of playing for their goal. At the same time, the "bulls" themselves are vulnerable in defense, they have not played to zero in any of the four matches in the Champions League.
Our prediction is both teams to score at odds of 1.81
Bet on the outcome
Bayer is not particularly stable, but on its home field it can show itself in attack. Moreover, the current Salzburg is in a decent decline and cannot dominate even in the home championship.
The second bet is Bayer victory with an Asian handicap (-1.5) with odds of 1.62
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Bayer have won their last two games with a three-goal lead. Salzburg defense regularly makes mistakes, and we think the hosts will be able to secure a comfortable win today.
Prediction: Bayer win by two or three goals with odds of 2.44
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