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Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.50
In the last eight head-to-head encounters, Liverpool have never managed to defeat Real Madrid. On November 27, the tournament fate brought the two giants of European football together again in the Champions League. Will the Merseysiders be able to break the streak of unsuccessful matches against the Los Blancos today? – the answer is in our forecast. The site’s star expert Alexander Mostovoy also shares his bet on the match
Command Analysis
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
Liverpool are having a great season, and Jurgen Klopp departure has certainly not weakened the team. Under Arne Sloth, the Merseysiders have suffered only one defeat in all the tournaments they play in. That was back in September in a home Premier League match against Nottingham Forest (0:1). The Liverpool team is approaching the upcoming crucial battle against Real Madrid on a five-game winning streak.
In the Premier League, Arne Sloth team took advantage of Manchester City slump and created an eight-point lead after 12 rounds, sitting in first place. The last away match against Southampton was not easy. Only in the 83rd minute of the game, thanks to a goal from Salah, did they manage to snatch a 3-2 victory.
In the Champions League, after four rounds, https://www.liverpoolfc.com target=_blank rel=noopener>Liverpool is the only participant who has not lost a single point. With 12 points, the Reds are leading the standings. The difference between goals scored and conceded is impressive – 10:1. In the last round, a crushing 4:0 home victory was recorded against Bayer. Then Diaz showed himself great, scoring a hat-trick.
Disqualifications and injuries
Alexander-Arnold, Jota, Alisson, Elliott, Chiesa will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Liverpool have won 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches, with two defeats coming against Real Madrid
- In three of the previous five matches, the Merseysiders have drawn with their opponents at the end of the first half
- In six of Liverpool last eight Champions League games, at least one team has failed to score
Probable line-up: Kelleher - Bradley, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson - Gravenberg, McAllister - Salah, Szoboszlai, Diaz - Nunez.
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Real Madrid have been playing with certain ups and downs since the start of the season. Moreover, there have been some outright failures. The most painful was the 0:4 home defeat to Barcelona in El Clasico. However, after that failure, the Los Blancos have won two rounds in a row in La Liga, while the Catalans have lost points twice in this period. As a result, after 14 rounds, the gap between the Madrid team and their archrival has been reduced to four points, and Real Madrid still has a game in hand.
In the Champions League, the current winner of the tournament, as in the national championship, is not demonstrating a stable game. So far, Carlo Ancelotti charges alternate victories and defeats. They earned all six of their points at home, beating Stuttgart (3:1) and Borussia Dortmund (5:2). It is characteristic that in each of these matches, the "creamy" began the game uncertainly, but in the second 45 minutes they turned on full speed and achieved success. However, they were unable to do the same with Lille (0:1) and Milan (1:3).
Overall, Real Madrid has clearly not reached its peak form this season. Among the main reasons for such instability, it is worth noting the end of Toni Kroos' career, the appearance of Kylian Mbappe, who is having a hard time fitting into the team. Plus, we can see constant injuries among the Madrid players. This time, it would seem, there is good news - goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois will return to action. On the other hand, Vinicius was injured and will now be out for three weeks.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vinicius, Carvajal, Alaba, Rodrygo, Tchouameni, Militao and Vazquez are injured and will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid have failed to win in the first half in three of their last five matches.
- In eight of Madrid previous ten Champions League matches, both teams have scored goals
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in six of their last seven away games in the Champions League (four wins and two draws)
Probable line-up: Courtois - Garcia, Asensio, Rudiger, Mendy - Valverde, Camavinga, Modric, Bellingham - Mbappe, Guler.
Trends
Bet Liverpool to win on corners
Liverpool have had more corners than their opponents in 13 of their last 14 Champions League home games
1.55Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has won in three of the last four head-to-head matches
1.64Bet Exact score 2:0
Liverpool have won their last three Champions League victories with a clean sheet
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – no
In three of the last four head-to-head matches, goals were not scored in either half
1.92Liverpool to win on shots on target
This bet has been successful in 23 of the hosts' last 26 matches
1.65Liverpool to score in the second half
In the previous five matches, the Merseysiders scored goals in the second 45 minutes
1.43Tip and bets
We think it time for Liverpool to break the streak of unsuccessful encounters with the Madrid team. The Merseysiders are playing at home, are on a winning streak of five matches, and have won all four matches in the Champions League. Plus, Real has been in a pretty rough patch since the start of the season, with constant injuries to key players preventing the team from going on a decent winning streak or using optimal combinations of players. We're inclined to think that the hosts will pick up another three points.
Our prediction is a Liverpool win at odds of 1.90
Bet on total
In the current Champions League draw, Liverpool have conceded only one goal, it will clearly be difficult for the visitors to overcome the Merseysiders' defense. In addition, in three of the four previous personal meetings, more than one goal was not scored. We do not expect a very open game today.
The second bet is total under three goals with odds of 1.95
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Two of the strongest teams in Europe are meeting, there is no difference in class between them, given the selection of players. It is unlikely that a crushing victory should be expected in such a game.
Prediction: Liverpool win by one or two goals with odds of 2.50
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