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Bologna vs Lille: Prediction and Betting Odds 3.50
In one of the matches of the fifth round of the Champions League on November 27, Bologna will play Lille on its home field. The guests have already managed to make several sensations in the tournament and have good prospects to fight even for a place in the top 8. The hosts have lost three rounds in a row and will clearly bet on breaking the losing streak at home. Who has a better chance of winning today? - the answer is in our expert forecast
Command Analysis
Bologna
ItalyCurrent form
It is quite expected that Bologna is doing much worse this season than last. The squad has noticeably weakened, they have to play in a very difficult schedule, where experience and opportunities for rotation are important. It seems that the Italians have problems with this. In the Champions League, Vincenzo Italiano charges have only scored one point in four rounds, when they played a 0:0 draw with Shakhtar at the start. Later, they recorded defeats from Liverpool and Aston Villa with the same score of 0:2 and from Monaco (0:1).
As you can see, the "red-blues" are absolutely unable to do anything in attack - they have not scored a single goal in four games. It is characteristic that https://www.bolognafc.it target=_blank rel=noopener>Bologna does not shine with high efficiency in Serie A either - only 15 goals scored in 12 rounds, which is the worst indicator in the top 8. The team is in a modest eighth position and it will clearly be difficult to fight for a place in the European Cups next season. In the last round, they were unable to counter Lazio - an away defeat 0:3.
In addition to the attack, the goalkeeper position is also a concern. Due to illness, the main goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski, who played all the matches in the Champions League with dignity, will not be able to play. Instead, Federico Ravaglia, who has little experience of important matches, will most likely play.
Disqualifications and injuries
Skorupski, El-Azzouzi, Abicher, Ndoye will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Three of Bologna last four matches have seen a 0-0 first half score
- Bologna last four Champions League matches have seen no more than two goals scored
- Bologna have not scored a single goal in four rounds of the Champions League
Estimated line-up: Ravaglia – Posch, Bekema, Lukumi, Miranda – Pobega, Freuler, Odgaard – Orsolini, Castro, Karlsson.
Lille
FranceCurrent form
At the start of the Champions League, Lille suffered a completely expected away defeat 0:2 from Sporting. The team then had a difficult schedule and hardly anyone could have given an accurate forecast that the French would score seven points in the next three rounds. However, Bruno Genesio charges pleasantly surprised. They managed to beat two Spanish giants - Real Madrid at home (1:0) and Atletico away (2:1). In the fourth round, Lille took points from Juventus in Turin (1:1). The "dogs" are approaching the upcoming away match in 17th place in the table, but in case of victory they can get closer to the top 8.
In Ligue 1, Lille is also doing well. After 12 rounds, the team is in fourth place, with 22 points. Interestingly, after the defeat to Sporting in the Champions League, the "dogs" have played 11 matches, taking into account all tournaments, in which they have not suffered a single defeat - six wins and five draws.
Lille played their last match in the national championship on their home field against Rennes. At the end of the first half, they managed to score a goal, which became the winning one (1:0), scored by Zhegrova. Note that the team completely "dried up" the game, allowing the opponent to make only one shot on target.
Disqualifications and injuries
Today, Umtiti, Andre Gomes, Bentaleb, Santos and I. Mbappe will not be able to help their team due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lille have won in the first half in their last four matches
- In three of the four previous matches, the "dogs" played to a draw
- Lille have failed to win in nine of their last 12 away matches in the Champions League
Probable line-up: Chevalier - Diakite, Alexandro, Gudmundsson - Bakker, Andre, Bouhaddi, Mandi - Zhegrova, Cabella - David.
Trends
Bet Total corners "Lille" under 4.5
Lille have not had more than four corners in eight of their last ten Champions League away games
1.78Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in the last five away matches
1.36Bet Exact score 0:1
Lille have won their last two games with a clean sheet
8.70Bet Goals in both halves – no
In four of the hosts' last five matches, goals were not scored in either half
1.65Bet Total over 4.5 yellow cards
In seven of Lille previous eight away games, this bet has paid off
1.85Bet Lille to score in the first half
In the four previous matches, the visitors scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
2.40Tip and bets
Bologna have very modest results in the Champions League after four rounds - only one point, not a single goal scored. Only due to the home field factor, it will be difficult to count on success in the confrontation with Lille, which has gained excellent momentum and has a good chance of reaching the playoffs. We do not think that with such a weak attack, the hosts can take even one point. Taking into account the odds, we recommend a forecast for the "dogs".
Our prediction is a Lille victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.20
Bet on total
Bologna have failed to score a single goal in the Champions League for four rounds. Lille is reliable in defense, only conceded two goals against Sporting, in other matches with difficult opponents the “dogs” did not concede more than one goal. Accordingly, a bet on the individual total of the hosts suggests itself.
The second bet is Bologna individual total goals under 1.5 with odds of 1.61
Bet on the exact difference in the score
Lille plays a fairly pragmatic football, does not strive to score as many goals as possible at any cost, knows how to "dry up" the game and maintain the necessary score. It is unlikely that the visitors will be able to win a crushing victory today.
Prediction: Lille win by one or two goals with odds of 3.50
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