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Severstal vs. Lada: KHL Match Prediction
On November 27, Severstal will finish its home series with a match against Lada. Both teams are not in the best shape and have lost many points this month. The visitors were not helped by a change of coach and so far the "owls" have not won a single match under the leadership of Pavel Zubov. Will the Togliatti team manage to beat the "steelworkers"? Read about it in our forecast for the confrontation
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal continues to fall and has been on the decline for quite a long time. The hosts have fallen to seventh place in the Western Conference standings, having scored 34 points after 29 games. In the current series of games at home, Andrei Kozyrev team was first routed by Vityaz (1:7), but then pulled themselves together and beat Admiral (2:1), and two days later won a comeback victory over Ak Bars (7:5). Before the meeting with the "Filin", the Cherepovets team lost to Salavat Yulaev (0:2), showing very weak implementation of moments. The "steelworkers" made 34 shots at Alexander Samonov goal, but none of them reached the desired goal. For the second time this season, the Vologda team left the ice without scoring goals.
The Black and Yellows have not been at their best in attack in recent games. In the previous five games, Severstal has made only 11 accurate shots, seven of which were on the Ak Bars goal. Kirill Pilipenko remains one of the league top ten scorers. The forward has 26 points (14+12) in the goal+pass system.
Konstantin Shostak and Alexander Samoilov have blocked 90.2% of shots in their possessions and often replace each other during the season. On average, the hosts have conceded 2.86 goals per game in this regular season, which is not the worst indicator.
Disqualifications and injuries
Aleksandr Skorenov and Aleksey Kruchinin were injured and will not play against Lada this Wednesday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal takes 32 shots on goal per game
The Black and Yellows put enormous pressure on their opponents' goalkeepers in every game.
- The Steelers are winning just 45.5 percent of their faceoffs.
So far, the team centers have not been so successful at the point and have lost more often.
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lada is currently only in tenth place in the Eastern Conference table. The team from the Samara Region has earned a modest 25 points, having played 28 games on the ice. After the change of head coach, the visitors' affairs are not exactly on the rise. The Togliatti team has suffered six defeats in a row, while only being able to score two points since November 10. The Filiny have lost all three games on their home ice, failing to cope with the onslaught of Metallurg (1:2, B), CSKA (1:4) and Salavat Yulaev (1:2, B). In the opening game of the away series, Pavel Zubov charges failed to put the squeeze on Sochi (2:3). Mikhail Fisenko team was twice in the lead during the match, but ultimately ended up empty-handed.
The Volzhane team is showing a weak attack and has not scored more than two goals in six games. In the last six starts, Lada has only scored seven accurate hits, and with such a statistic it is very difficult to win in the KHL. Ostap Safin has scored 14 points (4+10) in the goal+pass system and is the club top scorer at the moment.
In the five previous matches, the Togliatti team missed 12 goals in regulation time. Vladislav Pod'yapolsky remains the team number one without an alternative, reflecting 93.8% of shots. Alexander Trushkov and Maxim Tretyak are always ready to replace their partner, but so far there are fewer questions about the visiting goalie than about players of other positions.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rafael Bikmullin, Roman Chervonenko, Nikita Popugaev will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada wins 44.7% of faceoffs
Togliatti is currently one of the worst clubs in the league in this regard.
- Lada has 21:29 in goals scored and conceded in the second period
The "Filins" play mediocrely in the second twenty minutes and often allow their opponents to score in it
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In five of the previous six matches involving Lada, the first period was not productive
1.67Bet 3rd period: home team to score
In the last three games, Lada has conceded in the third period
1.45Tip and bets
Severstal needs to improve, because the team from Cherepovets is gradually moving down and may leave the playoff zone in the very near future. Andrey Kozyrev charges must improve their scoring ability, and the game against Lada is a great opportunity for this. Yes, the visitors play confidently in defense, but they are not doing well in the front. We think that the "black and yellow" will achieve victory over their opponent within regular time. We suggest betting on the victory of the "steelworkers" within 60 minutes.
Our prediction is a victory for Severstal at 1.80
Bet on individual total
Severstal scores 3.43 goals per game in Cherepovets on average and rarely leaves the court without at least two goals. Lada plays a little better in defense on the road, but it is unlikely that this will help the "owls" contain the attack of the hosts. The hosts managed to score seven accurate shots on the Togliatti team in two matches between the rivals last season. We think that this time the "black and yellow" will hit the Volga team goal at least three times.
Forecast - Severstal individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.70
Bet on total
In the seven previous matches between the teams, at least five goals were always scored. Lada is not showing productive hockey now, but in the match against Severstal it may well open up. Andrey Kozyrev charges need to move forward to rehabilitate themselves before their fans for the recent defeat to Salavat Yulaev. We expect at least five accurate shots from the clubs.
Forecast - total over 4.5 goals for 1.75
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