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Brighton vs Southampton: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.80
In the opening match of the 12th round of the English Premier League on November 29, Brighton will play against Southampton. The hosts are the clear favorites in the bookmakers' lines, although they have only won once in the EPL with an advantage of more than one goal. Will the Saints be able to surprise today and take points from the Seagulls? - the answer is in our forecast. Also, the star expert of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko shares his bet on the game
Command Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion
EnglandCurrent form
Brighton have earned 22 points in 12 rounds, with which they are in fifth place in the European Cup zone. The result is decent for the Seagulls, in the last five games they have suffered only one defeat from Liverpool (1:2). At the same time, it is worth noting that the team does not always have enough class to confidently deal with all opponents. Thus, at the end of October there was an unnecessary 2:2 draw with Wolverhampton. In addition, victories usually do not come easy to Fabian Hürzeler charges - they have won with a difference of more than one goal only once in the Premier League at the start of the season, when they dealt with Everton with a score of 3:0 away.
In the two previous rounds, https://www.brightonandhovealbion.com/pages/en/home target=_blank rel=noopener>Brighton had achieved hard-fought victories with the same score of 2:1 over Manchester City and Bournemouth. In the game with the Cherries, after Baleba was sent off from the 59th minute, they had to play with ten men. The opponent then only got one goal back at the very end.
Brighton have played six home games in the Premier League since the start of the season, winning three times and drawing three times with their opponents. Home games are usually very productive – at least three goals were scored in the previous five encounters.
Disqualifications and injuries
Baleba is suspended. Kadioglu, Milner, March and Webster are all out through injury. Hinshelwood, Dunk and Lamptey are doubts.
Interesting trends for betting
- Brighton have won 1-0 in the first half in three of their last five matches
- In seven of the Seagulls' previous eight matches, both teams scored goals
- At least three goals have been scored in seven of Brighton last eight Premier League games
Probable line-up: Verbruggen - Veltman, van Hecke, Julio, Estupinan - Viffer, Ayari - Rutter, Pedro, Mitoma - Welbeck.
Southampton
EnglandCurrent form
Southampton, as expected, entered the fight for survival from the first rounds. The situation is not the most rosy yet – only four points and the last place in the table. However, it should be noted that two rounds ago the Saints won their first victory in the Premier League, beating Everton at home (1:0). Then there was an unsuccessful match against Wolverhampton (0:2). At the same time, in the last match Russell Martin team put up serious resistance to Liverpool, although they lost 2:3.
The fact that Southampton have not scored a single point away from home this season is alarming ahead of the away game in Brighton. All six matches at other stadiums ended in defeats with a total score of 3:13. It is interesting that Manchester City managed to impose the closest fight - a defeat with a minimal score of 0:1 at the Etihad. In general, let us pay attention to the fact that the Saints know how to tune in to matches against the top teams, but the noticeable difference in class does not allow them to count on scoring points in such battles.
Disqualifications and injuries
Southampton have a lot of players on the sidelines: Ramsdale, Bednarek, Lallana, Bazunu, Stewart and Smallbone. Onuachu is also in doubt today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Southampton have not lost in the first half in three of their last four matches
- The Saints have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last ten away games in the Premier League
- Southampton have failed to win on fouls in nine of their last ten matches
Probable line-up: McCarthy - Walker-Peters, Harwood-Bellis, Stevens, Manning - Downes, Aribo - Dibling, Fernandes, Armstrong - Archer.
Trends
Brighton to win on corners
Brighton have won 16 of their last 21 home Premier League games on corners
1.42Brighton Total Yellow Cards Over 1.5 Bet
Brighton have received at least two yellow cards in eight of their last 10 home Premier League games
1.45Bet Exact score 2:1
The Seagulls' last two victories were achieved with this score
8.10Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet has come through in three of Southampton last five matches
1.65Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
Brighton have not scored more than one goal in the opening 45 minutes in their last five matches
1.71Tip and bets
In the bookmakers' line, Brighton is expectedly receiving the status of an obvious favorite. The Seagulls are having a much better season than their opponents, they have not lost at home yet, and in the two previous matches they have run away from their opponents. However, we would not immediately write off Southampton. The visitors are fighting in their last matches, do not recognize authorities, and do not leave the field without a fight. We think that due to their high dedication, the Saints can avoid a major defeat today, especially since Brighton has only won once in the Premier League with an advantage of more than one goal since the beginning of the season.
Our prediction is a Southampton win with an Asian handicap (+1.5) at odds of 1.81
Bet on total
Over the last five matches, taking into account all tournaments, Brighton have exchanged goals with their opponents. In defense, the Seagulls often have gaps during matches, which the visitors can easily take advantage of. However, it is unlikely that they will be able to play to zero against the Saints with their not very reliable defense.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.67
Bet on the first half
Southampton have not lost in the first half in three of their previous four matches. We think that the visitors are quite capable of holding off the opponent initial onslaught due to their high concentration.
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 2.80
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