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Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Barys: KHL Match Forecast
Magnitogorsk Metallurg will host a home arena match against Barys on November 29. The Astana team has played well in many previous matches and is no longer such an easy opponent as it was a month ago. Magnitogorsk loses a lot of points in front of home fans, but is still the favorite in the upcoming match. However, the previous face-to-face match between the teams ended in favor of the visitors. Will the Foxes be able to take revenge on their offender? What bet should you place on this event? Find the answers to these questions in our forecast
Command Analysis
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Metallurg is currently in fifth place in the Eastern Conference and can only be relatively happy with its current position. Overall, the team has been looking ambiguous this season and has not shown consistent results, and many believe that it will be virtually impossible for it to defend its Gagarin Cup title. However, Magnitogorsk has been earning points quite often lately. They have celebrated success in three of their previous five games. Thus, the club dealt with Salavat Yulaev (3:2 OT) on the road, then lost to Barys (1:2), after which it returned to its home court and dealt with Sibir (3:1), but lost to Avangard (1:2 SO).
Most of the recent meetings involving the "foxes" have been ineffective and have been held with a minimum number of goals. By the way, they themselves are experiencing serious difficulties in creating and realizing moments and often cannot open up the opponent defense more than once or twice. Also, Andrei Razin team is rather mediocre in using the numerical advantage and currently has a 17% conversion rate.
It is noteworthy that none of the attacking leaders have yet reached the 20-point mark in the goal+pass system, and Dmitry Silantyev has earned the most (18 points). Due to poor performance, many victories come to Metallurg with great effort - they win them with a difference of one puck or outside of regulation time.
Disqualifications and injuries
There are currently no injured or disqualified players on the roster.
Interesting trends for betting
- Metallurg has 26:32 in goals scored and goals conceded in the second period
The Foxes are not having the best time in the second period and often concede goals
- Magnitogorsk receives 5.47 minutes of penalty time
Metallurg shows good discipline and rarely gets sent off more than three times per game
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys has failed for most of the season, so it is not surprising that it is still in the penultimate line of the Eastern Conference. However, after a long series of defeats, the team was able to pull itself together and began to give its opponents a worthy fight, thanks to which it earned 21 points in total. However, at the moment it is again on a losing streak and has encountered certain difficulties. Let us recall that on home ice it failed to cope with Amur (0:3) and Avangard (2:3 OT), and in the first away match it lost to Sibir with a score of 0:2.
At the same time, the "Bars" have serious problems with their attacking play, and they often demonstrate mediocre results, sometimes even remaining without a single goal scored. Note that Galym Mambetaliyev team differs the least in the third game segment, in which the ratio is 10:33 in goals scored and goals conceded.
However, Barys should be given credit for the fact that it usually manages without crushing defeats and always tries to fight to the end. Incidentally, the games with its participation also usually turn out to be "low-scoring". This is also due to the fact that the team currently has only 7% of the majority and is not progressing in this regard.
Disqualifications and injuries
Antipin, Smith, Starchenko and Zhafyarov will not play in the upcoming match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys has 16:21 in goals scored and conceded in the first period
The Barça are performing better in the opening twenty minutes than in other periods
- On average, Barys takes 25 shots on goal per match
Astana residents continue to play second fiddle and usually demonstrate low shooting activity
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches involving visitors, the first period was unproductive
1.65Bet 2nd period: Astana team will score
In three out of five matches, the visitors scored goals in the second period
2.10Tip and bets
We think that Barys will also be able to impose a tough fight on Magnitogorsk in the upcoming match. Metallurg wins with great difficulty, and it often achieves success only with a difference of one goal or outside of regulation time. Moreover, the Barsy finished the two previous matches against Magnitogorsk in their favor, so they definitely cannot be written off. This season, Astana is one of the outsiders in the East, but at the same time they rarely lose with a rout, so it makes sense to bet on their victory with a handicap.
Forecast - Barys win with handicap (+2.5) on goals for 1.55
Bet on individual total
In previous meetings, Magnitka showed a rather low efficiency and usually could not score more than one or two goals. Metallurg plays a rather closed hockey and has difficulties with the implementation of moments. Barys, in turn, usually ends up with a minimum number of goals conceded and even on the road concedes on average no more than three times. Considering the current trends, a bet on the individual total of the hosts looks good.
We bet on Metallurg individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.70
Total Bet
Previous meetings between the clubs were low-scoring. The previous match, which took place just over a week ago, also ended with only three goals scored. It is quite possible that we will see a similar scenario in the upcoming confrontation. The teams will spend a lot of time in a power struggle and will not give space in their own zone, so it makes sense to bet on the total under.
We take the total under 4.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.15
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