Liontips
Boston vs. Pittsburgh: NHL Match Prediction
Boston will play a home game against Pittsburgh on November 30. The Bruins have had a lot of trouble lately, but the Pens have not had good or consistent results either. Previous meetings between the teams were tough, but often ended in favor of the Bears. This time, they are also considered favorites, according to the bookmaker. What bet should you place on the upcoming confrontation? You will find the answer in our forecast
Command Analysis
Boston Bruins
USACurrent form
Boston is in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. Things have clearly not been going well for them since the start of the season and not as they had originally planned. The club management had to fire head coach Jim Montgomery to somehow shake up the team. Apparently, this move worked. Under the leadership of Joe Sacco, the acting coach, the Bruins managed to play four games, three of which they celebrated success. They were able to deal with Utah (1:0), Detroit (2:1), and after a dry defeat to Vancouver (0:2), they proved their superiority over the Islanders with a score of 6:3.
Of course, the Bears still win most of their games in close battles and by a single goal. Even in the game against the Islanders, where they won by a large margin, they scored all the decisive goals at the end of the third period, while only taking 21 shots on goal. It is surprising that they had a successful third period, since statistically this period is Boston worst, with a 13:22 goal-to-goal ratio.
It also worth mentioning that the team has only managed three victories within 60 minutes on their home court all season. They also continue to have serious problems with the power play and are last in the league in this indicator, with a power play percentage of 12.4%.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lindholm will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Statistically, Boston receives 10.79 penalty minutes per game.
The Bruins remain one of the most undisciplined teams in the league right now.
- On average, the Bears take 27 shots at the opponent goal
Boston has shown low shooting activity this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins
USACurrent form
Pittsburgh is in the penultimate line of the Eastern Conference and has only 20 points. The team, of course, can still significantly improve its position in the table, but it will be very difficult for it to gain a foothold in the playoff zone, especially considering that since the beginning of the season it has not had any long winning streaks and at best has limited itself to two wins in a row. Incidentally, the Pens themselves have recently faced a series of three failures. They lost on their home court to Tampa (2:3 OT), Winnipeg (1:4) and Utah (1:6), but in the last meeting they finally pulled themselves together and beat Vancouver with a score of 5:4.
Oddly enough, even leading 5:1 against the Canucks, the Penguins had a real adventure for themselves and almost allowed their opponent to make a full-fledged comeback. This is happening because of weak defense. The club currently remains the league worst-performing team, with an average of no less than three or four pucks in its net. And it still hasn't shown any progress in this regard.
At the same time, Mike Sullivan team concede most of their goals at even strength, while they look pretty good when short-handed and are ranked 15th in the league in this indicator, with 78.9% neutralization. It should be noted that Pittsburgh plays just as badly on the road as they do at home, and up to this point they have managed to win only three victories within 60 minutes in 11 games played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Glass and Pickering will not take part in the upcoming confrontation
Interesting trends for betting
- According to statistics, Pittsburgh receives 7.08 minutes of penalty time
The Pens typically get sent off no more than three or four times per game.
- Pittsburgh has a 20-34 third-quarter goal-scoring record
The Penwings have a weak third period and rarely go clean in it.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
1.85Bet 3rd period: Boston will score
In the last five meetings against the Pens, the hosts scored in the third period
1.37Tip and bets
Be that as it may, Boston still looks preferable against its counterpart. The Bruins have started showing more successful results after the resignation of the head coach, although nothing has changed globally in their game. Pittsburgh continues to show a rather weak performance and often loses in regular time. Plus, the Bears often ended previous face-to-face matches in their favor, and this fact cannot be ignored. We should also note that the hosts play much better on defense and only due to this indicator can earn two points in the upcoming confrontation.
Progoz - Boston victory in 2.00
Bet on individual total
Pittsburgh has been a low-scoring team for most of the season and usually can't break down the opponent defense more than twice. The Bruins have recently rebuilt and have started to concede much less than before. As a rule, the "bears" are left with fewer than three goals conceded, especially when playing against opponents like the Penguins. We think that this time the visitors will not be able to score four times.
We bet on Pittsburgh individual total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.80
Total Bet
Boston has finished many previous matches with a minimum number of goals scored. The hosts spend a lot of time on defense, and sometimes they themselves have difficulty creating and converting chances. Pittsburgh also does not play as effectively on the road as at home. Almost 70% of the last matches with the Bruins have been under the total, so it definitely makes sense to bet on this outcome now.
We take the total under 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 2.00
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