Liontips
“Union” – “Bayer”: forecast for the Bundesliga match
In the 12th round of the German Bundesliga on November 30, Union will play Bayer on its home field. Bookmakers give a significant advantage to the guests in this pair, who have not lost to the Berliners since 2021. Will Xabi Alonso charges be able to take three points today? - the answer is in our forecast. What are the best bets to choose for the game?
Command Analysis
Union Berlin
GermanyCurrent form
Since the beginning of the season, Union has established itself as a team with a reliable defense. Due to this, it was possible to achieve success and even be in the top 6 of the tournament table. However, due to a frankly weak attack, the results began to decline. In the last four rounds, the "iron ones" did not win a single victory, and scored only one goal in this period. In just 11 rounds, Bo Svensson charges scored nine times and conceded the same number of goals. In the last round, Union lost away to Wolfsburg (0:1), demonstrating a weak attack.
Disqualifications and injuries
Stein and Ilic are out today due to injuries, while Leite is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Union have not scored more than three goals in their last 12 Bundesliga matches
- Both teams have failed to score in five of the Berliners' previous seven league matches
Estimated line-up: Rennow - Duki, Vogt, Querfeld - Trimmel, Khedira, Kemlein, Rothe - Yehn, Hollerbach, Vertessen.
Bayer Leverkusen
GermanyCurrent form
After some less than impressive matches in the championship and the Champions League, Bayer played two great home games, scoring five goals each. First, they thrashed Heidenheim 5-2 in the Bundesliga, then left Salzburg with no chance in the Champions League (5-0). After 11 rounds, Xabi Alonso men are in fourth place in the standings, just one point behind third-placed Leipzig. It should be noted that the "pharmacists" currently have a nine-game unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga.
Disqualifications and injuries
Due to injuries, Belosyan, Mukiele, Adli, Hofmann, Terje and Boniface will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Bayer have drawn in the first half in three of their last five matches
- Bayer have scored at least two goals in five of their last seven Bundesliga away games
Estimated line-up: Hradecky – Tapsoba, Ta, Inkapie – Frimpong, Xhaka, Andrich, Grimaldo – Tella, Wirtz – Schick.
Trends
Bet Bayer to score in the first half
Bayer have scored in the opening 45 minutes in their last three matches
1.75Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four previous head-to-head meetings
1.45Bet Exact score 0:2
Bayer have won their last three head-to-head matches with a clean sheet
7.90Tip and bets
Union defensive tactics have started to fail, and it is not possible to reorganize and play more actively in attack, as the same match against Wolfsburg showed. Without a more or less confident and courageous game in attack, it will be difficult to counter Bayer, which, moreover, has warmed up and is currently in excellent shape. We believe that the guests will score three points today.
Our prediction is a Bayer victory with odds of 1.78
Bet on total
Union have scored only nine goals since the start of the season, and in the four previous matches, including the cup game against Arminia, they have not scored at all. Against this background, a bet on the individual total of the hosts suggests itself.
The second bet is the individual total of goals for Union under one with odds of 1.62
Bet on the first half
It should be noted that Bayer have drawn in the first half in three of their previous five matches. We think that today the visitors will not be able to immediately open up Union dense defense.
Forecast - draw in the first half with odds of 2.30
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