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Real Madrid vs Getafe: Prediction and Betting Odds 4.25
Real Madrid will play the 15th round match on December 1 at their home stadium against Getafe. Last year, this match ended in favor of the Los Blancos. How well have the opponents prepared for this game? Our experts have assessed the teams' chances and prepared the most optimal bets on the game. Our star expert Alexander Mostovoy shared his opinion on the upcoming duel
Command Analysis
Real Madrid
SpainCurrent form
Kylian Mbappe move to the left seemed to revive Real Madrid in their 3-0 win at Leganes last weekend, but he and they were far less effective in Wednesday 2-0 UEFA Champions League defeat to Liverpool. Carlo Ancelotti men head into this round of La Liga fixtures four points behind leaders Barcelona, albeit with a game in hand.
Eduardo Camavinga limped off against Liverpool following news that Vinicius Junior will spend some time on the sidelines, and with the Whites still forced to field a makeshift defence due to absences, their squad will be tested again when they host Getafe. https://www.realmadrid.com/en-US target=_blank rel=noopener>Los Blancos have won their last 15 home meetings and if that isn’t enough to inspire confidence, the fact that only Barcelona have beaten them at the Santiago Bernabeu in the league since April 2023 should surely be enough.
Disqualifications and injuries
Alaba (knee injury), Carvajal (ankle injury), Courtois (muscle injury) and Valverde (back injury) are out.
Interesting trends for betting
- Real Madrid are the only team to have not conceded a goal in La Liga before the break at home this season
The legendary defense of the "creamy" has conceded seven goals in the last two games, which has cast doubt on the ranks of fans, but not on Carlo Ancelotti, who is able to set his team up for any opponent and it is unlikely that Getafe will have many opportunities to upset the "whites" goalkeeper.
- Five of Mbappe last six goals for Real have come at the Santiago Bernabeu
- Jude Bellingham scored the winner in the corresponding fixture last season and scored this season against Osasuna in Real final home game - both goals were his side second of the match.
Ancelotti is keen to freshen up his attacking options - both of the Brazilian recent goals have come after the break
Probable line-up: Lunin - Modric, Rudiger, Militao, Ceballos - Tchouameni, Diaz, Bellingham, Rodrygo - Mbappe, Vinicius.
Getafe
SpainCurrent form
Getafe make the very short trip north having ended a five-game winless run in La Liga with a 2-0 win at Valladolid last Friday. Their comfortable 3-0 Copa del Rey win at Manises in midweek should also be a morale boost, although they have their own depth issues, with manager José Bordalás recently criticising the board for not signing enough attacking players in the summer.
He may be right, as they have failed to score in three of their four away league games this season, all by one goal. Their recent abysmal away record also counts against them, while Bordalás himself has lost all five of his managerial duels against his rival Ancelotti and 11 of his 13 appearances on the bench against Real Madrid.
Disqualifications and injuries
Out of the game are Mayor (muscle injury), Yildirim (excess of yellow cards) and Alena (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- It took Allan Nyom 233 La Liga appearances to do what he did in Getafe final game, scoring and providing an assist in the same game
The player adventures and exploits did not end there - Allan has two yellow cards in the last four games, which speaks to the extraordinary activity of this footballer.
- Mauro Arambarri could make an impact late in the match
The footballer has scored three goals in his last six La Liga matches for Getafe, with two of those strikes coming after the 85th minute.
Estimated line-up: Garcia - Terejo, El Hilili, Gomez, Carbero, Romero - Milla, Graguera, Lozano - Puado, Roca.
Trends
Bet Exact score 4:1
Two of the last four head-to-head matches have seen this score
6.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In 3 of Real Madrid last 5 matches, goals were scored in both halves
1.82Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
In 3 of the last 5 matches of the hosts such a bet took place
1.88Bet Number 1 in the score
In three of the last six matches this bet has played out
1.65Tip and bets
Last season, Real Madrid beat their compatriots twice easily, and they did it softly and effortlessly. Today, we are on the side of a different scenario, which could bring an abundance of attacks and scoring chances, while the Blues' defensive problems could ultimately prove decisive. We expect an abundance of dangerous moments and a high conversion rate.
Forecast - total over 2.5 goals and we bet on it for 2.12
Bet on the outcome
Real Madrid is a cut above in any combination of lineups, but the statistics of the last face-to-face matches showed that the Los Blancos will not crush their fellow countrymen and will try to get their points easily and with minimal losses. In addition, there are matches in the middle of the week ahead, so they need to conserve their strength.
Prediction: Real Madrid win by two goals and we bet on it for 4.25
Bet on corners
Most likely, the abundance of attacks and the desire to get to the goal will bring a lot of set pieces. In addition, we believe that breakthroughs through the flanks will lead to a large number of corner kicks.
Forecast - total corners over nine. This option can be found for 1.94
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