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Lada vs. Severstal: KHL Match Prediction
After a long trip, Lada returns home and will play Severstal on its home court on December 3. The Cherepovets team started the month and the away tour with a victory, but lately they have not been able to please their fans with consistently strong results. Most recently, the teams met each other in the Vologda region and then the Togliatti team thrashed the steelworkers dry. Will they be able to take revenge? We tell you about this in the forecast for the confrontation
Command Analysis
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent form
The Togliatti club had been unable to win for a long time, but at the end of November they finally broke their losing streak. Thanks to two wins last week, Pavel Zubov team returned to the playoff zone and currently occupies the eighth line in the Eastern Conference table. The hosts earned 29 points, having played 30 matches on the ice. Before returning to their home arena, the "owls" lost to Sochi (2:3), but then got down to business and crushed Severstal (3:0), and then in a tough fight snatched two points from Kunlun in Mytishchi (2:1). Only at the very end of the match did the then guests manage to capitalize on the majority and take the lead, determining the winner of the match.
Lada offense is not going through the best of times. In the last five games, the hosts have scored only nine times, with five goals scored in the last two games. The club top scorer is not even in the league top 100 most productive hockey players. Ostap Safin has only 15 points (5+10) and occupies a modest 114th place. Overall, the hosts have not been able to please their fans with an abundance of goals scored during the season.
Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy remains the team number one. The goalkeeper has only proven his status in recent matches and has only let in two goals in 180 minutes. In this situation, all that left for Alexander Trushkov to do is train and watch his partner play.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ostap Safin, Vladislav Chervonenko and Nikita Popugaev will not take part in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada receives an average of 6.93 minutes of penalty time
Togliatti residents show good discipline and are rarely sent off more than three times per match.
- According to statistics, the team allows 34 shots on its goal
Lada is often forced to act as second fiddle.
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal has seriously worsened its position in the conference table with its weak results in the second half of November. The team led by Andrei Kozyrev is in sixth place in the West with 36 points after 31 games. The Cherepovets team leads the group of pursuers of the leaders, but only one point separates them from eighth place. After a crushing defeat to Vityaz at home (1:7), the steelmakers pulled themselves together and won against Admiral (2:1) and Ak Bars (7:5), breaking a terrible losing streak, but then immediately lost to Salavat Yulaev (0:2) and Lada (0:3). Adam Liszka team began their away tour with a victory in Omsk (4:2). The "black and yellow" were losing 0:2 already at the start of the first period, but then scored four unanswered goals and took away two points.
The club from the Vologda Region has been experiencing major problems in attack lately. In the last five games, Severstal has made only 13 accurate shots, with the visitors hitting the Ak Bars goal seven times. Kirill Pilipenko remains the visitors' top scorer. The forward has scored 26 points (14+12) in the goal+pass system and is in 12th place in the league top scoring players race.
The Black and Yellows have slightly improved their defensive performance and have conceded only 11 goals in their previous five games. Despite all this, Seva has allowed five goals from Ak Bars and has looked much more reliable in other games. Konstantin Shostak has been playing rather poorly lately and now Alexander Samoilov will get his chance to prove himself once again. He played 18 games in the starting lineup and made two shutouts, reflecting 91.03% of shots.
Disqualifications and injuries
The Cherepovets team will come to Tolyatti in full force.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal has 34:25 in goals scored and goals conceded in the second period
The visitors made great use of the free space and had a strong second period.
- Seva shoots 33 times per game on average
The Cherepovets players try to shoot from any position and put pressure on the opposing goalies as often as possible.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In the last four matches involving Lada, no more than one goal was scored in the first period
1.70Bet 3rd period: Severstal will score
In three of the previous four home games, Lada conceded in the third period
1.50Tip and bets
In our opinion, Severstal should beat Lada in the upcoming match. The Tolttin team is not converting its chances well, and now they are without the club best scorer Ostap Safin, who was injured and is in the infirmary. The Cherepovets team is going through hard times, but they cannot lose points in games against the championship mid-table and outsiders if Andrey Kozyrev team wants to finish the regular season among the five strongest clubs in the conference. We believe in the visitors and offer a bet on the steelworkers' victory, taking into account overtime and shootouts.
Prediction - Severstal wins the match for 1.70
Bet on individual total
Severstal defense can hardly be called reliable, but in the five previous matches the steelworkers have only once conceded more than three goals. Lada plays extremely poorly in attack and the last time they scored more than three goals in a match was on October 17 against Admiral. Without the club top scorer, scoring at least three times will be even more difficult.
We take the individual total of Lada under 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.63
Total Bet
Last season, the match between the rivals in the Samara region was not very productive and the teams scored only five accurate shots between them. They recently met each other in Cherepovets and then the "owls" managed to dry out Severstal on its ice. Now the hosts will again act defensively, and matches in Tolyatti are rarely spectacular.
We bet on total under 5.5 goals with odds of 1.58
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