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Amur vs. Lokomotiv: KHL Match Prediction
As part of the regular KHL championship, a match between Amur and Lokomotiv will take place on December 4. Khabarovsk residents are, of course, considered clear underdogs in this confrontation, even though they are playing on their home court. However, the Tigers were able to break their losing streak and pleased fans with a victory in the last match. Will they be able to fight back the leader of the Western Conference? What bet should you place on this event? You will find out from our forecast
Command Analysis
Amur Khabarovsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Amur remains the main outsider not only in the Eastern Conference, but in the entire championship. The team still has a chance to rise from the last line of the tournament table, since it is only four points behind Barys, but doing so, given its results, will be very, very difficult. However, recently the Khabarovsk team has at least begun to please fans with victories from time to time. Thus, they recently dealt with another underdog in the person of Barys (3:0) on the road, and after unsuccessful matches against Admiral (3:5) and SKA (5:7), they proved their superiority over Sochi with a score of 2:1 in a low-scoring fight.
The Tigers also played the previous meeting on opposite courses, but, strangely enough, they were unable to score more than two goals, although they had scored an indecently large amount before. It is curious that they scored the decisive goal at the very end of the third period, playing in a 4x5 format, and the hero was Kirill Slepets, who made great use of his opportunity.
True, the Khabarovsk team themselves continue to experience problems with the power play and occupy one of the last lines in the league in terms of the indicator, having 12.7% of the power play, but in equal compositions they began to look much more dangerous than before. The main scorers in the team are Alex Broadhurst and Alex Galchenyuk, who earned 14 and 16 points in the goal + pass system, respectively.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bobkov, Brosso and Bryntsev will not take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Amur takes 34 shots on goal on its home ice
Khabarovsk residents are not afraid to go on the attack with the support of their home stands and always try to threaten the opponent goal
- The Tigers have a 27-31 lead in goals scored and allowed in the third period.
Amur performs better in the third twenty minutes than in the other periods
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lokomotiv leads the Western Conference table and has earned a total of 56 points. The team can feel extremely comfortable, as it is ahead of its closest pursuer Spartak by ten points and, after a small decline, has once again started to please fans with good results. Let us recall that the Yaroslavl team failed to cope with Torpedo (0:3) and Dynamo Moscow (0:3), losing with a total score of 0:6, but then dealt with Traktor on home ice (4:2), and then on the road they beat Admiral dry with a score of 3:0.
By the way, the "railwaymen" arrived for the match with the Vladivostok team literally three hours before the start, so they were probably far from their optimal physical form. However, this did not prevent them from earning two points - they dealt with their opponent with class. Moreover, Daniil Isaev once again demonstrated a classy game, parrying all 19 shots in total.
It is noteworthy that Igor Nikitin team failed to take advantage of a single power play in that match, although they have been playing out their numerical advantage quite well this season and currently have a 20.8% power play conversion rate. The third period is usually the most favorable for Lokomotiv, with a 31:14 ratio of goals scored and goals conceded.
Disqualifications and injuries
Lokomotiv currently has no problems with its roster.
Interesting trends for betting
- On average, Lokomotiv takes 32 shots on target
Lokomotiv is one of the most shooting clubs in the league
- Lokomotiv wins 56.2% of faceoffs
The Yaroslavl team looks great on the spot and takes most of the face-offs
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches between the teams, the first period was unscoring
1.57Bet 3rd period: Khabarovsk will score
In the five previous meetings, Khabarovsk scored goals in the third period
1.96Tip and bets
We think that Amur cannot be completely written off, even taking into account the fact that it is playing against the leader of the Western Conference. Khabarovsk can give a worthy rebuff to its opponent at home. Plus, Lokomotiv often has problems in matches with underdogs, since it cannot approach them with maximum concentration. In previous matches, the Tigers also often imposed a fight on the Yaroslavl team, so we do not think that this time they will lose by more than one goal.
Forecast - Amur win with Asian handicap (+1.5) on goals for 1.60
Bet on individual total
In three previous matches out of five, Lokomotiv was left with a minimum number of goals scored and could not open the opponents' defense more than once. In turn, Amur got away with less than three goals in two matches out of four. In most of the previous matches against the Tigers, the Yaroslavl team also scored few goals. Considering how much energy they spent due to their tight schedule, we do not expect them to score even three goals in the upcoming confrontation.
We bet on Lokomotiv individual total of less than three goals for 1.62
Total Bet
Lokomotiv is the best club in terms of defense this season. As a rule, Yaroslavl itself concede very few goals, but in response, they rarely score more than twice. Matches between the teams are also unproductive and, as a rule, end with four or fewer goals. Yaroslavl will definitely not take unnecessary risks against Amur, since Nikitin knows exactly what style his opponent has been playing in lately. Based on this, we definitely will not expect a large number of goals in the upcoming confrontation.
We bet on total under 4.5 goals for 1.90
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