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Barys vs. Spartak: KHL Match Prediction
On December 4, Barys will settle the score with Spartak on their home court. The Bars are still in poor shape and are on a long losing streak, while the Muscovites were able to break their losing streak and probably came to Astana with only one goal - to earn two points. The previous matches between the clubs did indeed end in favor of the visitors within regular time. However, is it worth betting on their success now? You will find out from the forecast
Command Analysis
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys is in the penultimate spot in the Eastern Conference standings and has earned only 21 points. The team cannot claim anything serious this season, but it may not allow Amur to overtake it. It should be noted that after a successful period, the Astana team is again on a long losing streak and cannot find the game that brought them results. They lost to Amur (0:3) and Avangard (2:3 OT) on their home ice, and on the road they lost to Sibir (0:2), Metallurg (0:3) and CSKA (1:3). At the same time, they remained without a single goal for seven periods.
This is not particularly surprising, since the club has been showing a weak attack throughout the season and has had huge problems converting chances. Incidentally, it remains the least productive team in the league to date, having scored only 43 goals in total. Galym Mambetaliyev team has also been unable to improve its power play, with a power play conversion rate of 6.9%.
By the way, on their home ice, the "Bars" were able to win only three victories in regulation time, and they themselves have already lost within 60 minutes 10 times. The positive thing is that, at least, the team often manages without crushing defeats and usually ends up with no more than three missed pucks.
Disqualifications and injuries
Antipin, Starchenko and Zhafyarov will not be able to help their team in the upcoming match.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys has 11:36 in goals scored and conceded in the third period
Astana players have a terrible third period and rarely remain without conceding goals
- According to statistics, Barys makes 24 shots on target
The team always plays second fiddle, so, as a rule, it poses little threat to the opponent goal
Spartak Moscow
Russian FederationCurrent form
Spartak keeps the second line of the Western Conference under its control and is ahead of its closest pursuer, Dynamo Moscow, by three points. That is why the team can feel more or less comfortable, because it has a small reserve. However, if it continues to show such results as in the last matches, it can worsen its position. Let us recall that the red-whites faced a series of three defeats, which began with a home match against Torpedo (0:6), and continued on the road in meetings with Neftekhimik (3:4 OT) and Salavat Yulaev (1:5).
Fortunately, after another defeat by the Ufa team, Alexey Zhamnov team managed to pull themselves together and still beat Avtomobilist away with a score of 5:4 in a shootout. However, even in that confrontation, they encountered great difficulties, although by the end of the second period they had a maximally comfortable advantage of three goals, but they played very poorly in the third period, during which they allowed their opponent to score three goals in a row. Only thanks to a successful shootout by Pavel Poryadin, Spartak avoided an offensive defeat.
In general, in all previous meetings, the Muscovites have conceded a lot, and now they can’t improve their game in defense. In addition, they played rather mediocrely in the 4x5 format and because of this, they already have less than 80% neutralization of the majority of the opponent.
Disqualifications and injuries
- Mironov will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury
Interesting trends for betting
- Spartak receives an average of 6.55 minutes of penalty time per match
Muscovites rarely get sent off more than three times per game this season
- Spartak has 40:39 in goals scored and goals conceded in the second period
The Muscovites spend the second period on opposite courses, so it turns out to be the most effective in their performance
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches between the clubs, the first period was productive
2.05Bet 3rd period: Muscovites win
In three out of four matches against Astana, the visitors kept the third period for themselves
2.00Tip and bets
In our opinion, Spartak should get two points in this match without any problems. The red-and-whites will definitely take this match seriously, since their game hasn't been going well lately and they definitely don't plan to lose points out of the blue. The guests are significantly superior in class to their opponent, so Astana needs to do something incredible to bring the matter even to overtime. In addition, the clubs have already met this season, and then Zhamnov team celebrated success with a score of 4:2. We expect to see something similar in the upcoming match.
Prediction - Spartak win for 1.60
Bet on individual total
Spartak has often scored more than two goals in recent matches. The team, in general, is one of the most productive in the league at the moment, unlike Barys, which only counts on closed hockey. The Astana team concede about three times on average on its home ice. Plus, in the four previous face-to-face meetings, the red-and-whites regularly opened up the opponent defense three times.
We bet on Spartak individual total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.52
Total Bet
Many matches involving Barys are "low-scoring" and have a minimum number of goals. The Bars usually concede at least three goals to the leaders, but in response either fail to score a single goal or end up with one goal scored. By the way, three of the previous five meetings between the teams also had fewer than six goals scored. Spartak will most likely try to win with class, so we would not expect a large number of goals.
We take the total under 5.5 goals for 1.62
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