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Lada vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk: KHL match forecast
On December 5, Magnitogorsk Metallurg will continue its trip with a game in Tolyatti. Andrey Razin team recently achieved success in the Samara Region, but this was only achieved after extra time. Lada, on the other hand, won against Severstal after returning home. For Mikhail Fisenko team, it was only the second win this season within 60 minutes. Will the hosts be able to win four games in a row for the first time in the regular season? Read about it in our forecast
Command Analysis
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lada returned to the playoff zone and occupies the eighth line in the Eastern Conference table. Togliatti earned 31 points in 31 games and still has a negative difference in goals scored and conceded - 66:70. Not long ago, the "owls" lost five games in a row, and during the losing streak, Oleg Bratash was fired and Pavel Zubov took his place. Together with the new coach, the "Avtozavodchane" lost in Sochi (2:3), but then achieved success in Cherepovets (3:0) and Mytishchi (2:1). In the first match of December, Mikhail Fisenko team won at home against Severstal (1:0) and again did not allow the "steelworkers" to score. The hosts scored twice, but one of the goals was disallowed after review.
The club from the Samara region cannot boast of good realization of moments and scores only 2.13 goals per match. The Volzhane do not play the best in the majority, realizing a modest 12.8% of the opponents' penalties. The main hope of "Lada" in the attack remains Ostap Safin, who scored 15 (5+10) points in the "goal+pass" system. Now this forward is in the infirmary and this will seriously weaken the already not very strong attack of the hosts.
Vladislav Podjapolsky remains the team starting goalie without any alternative. The goalie has started 26 games for his team this season and has stopped 94.5% of the shots on goal, making four shutouts.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vladislav Chervonenko, Nikita Popugaev and Ostap Safin will not be able to help their team in the game against Metallurg.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada takes 27 shots on goal per game
The hosts don't shoot much, trying to concede as few goals as possible, so their attacking performance is quite modest.
- Togliatti players earn 7.03 penalty minutes per match on average
The "Owls" are often sent off, but neutralize 85% of their opponents' attempts to convert the extra man.
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Metallurg is trying to correct the mistakes that Andrey Razin team made at the beginning of the current season. The Foxes currently occupy a modest fifth place in the East. The Ural club has only 38 points after 34 games and so far the visitors can only claim fourth place in the conference. The Steelworkers have not shown stable results in this part of the regular season and cannot produce a long series of victories. Not long ago, Magnitogorsk won at home against Sibir (3:1) and Barys (2:0), but lost to Avangard (1:2, B). The current series of away games for the club from the Chelyabinsk Region began with a major victory in Nizhny Novgorod (5:3). The visitors were in the role of catch-up throughout the entire meeting, but turned the match around and scored three goals at the end of regulation time.
Magnitka offense is not going through its best period and is scoring only 2.59 goals this season. Metallurg has only made 12 accurate shots in the last six games, and the club three best scorers have scored fewer points this fall. Dmitry Silantyev has become the leader in points (8+11) and has surpassed Robin Press (3+15) and Nikita Mikhailis (7+10).
Ilya Nabokov has stopped only 92.46% of shots this season and has yet to prove his high status. Perhaps Alexander Smolin will try to displace the last playoff MVP from the main team, but for now Nabokov has his past achievements and authority among his teammates. Recently, the team second goalie has been taking to the ice more often.
Disqualifications and injuries
The team from Magnitogorsk will arrive in Tolyatti with its optimal composition.
Interesting trends for betting
- Metallurg shoots 32 times per game on average
The visitors are very active in each of their matches. Despite the huge number of shots, they manage to bring 7.9% of their attacks to the target.
- Magnitogorsk wins 47.5% of faceoffs
The Ural centers try to win as many puck faceoffs as possible in each match, but so far they have not been very successful in this.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In five matches involving Lada, the first period was not productive
1.63Bet 2nd period: Metallurg will score
Metallurg scores against Lada in the second period in three out of four games
1.55Tip and bets
For the second time this season, Lada won three games in a row and for the first time since early September, they won in regulation time at the start of a home series. The hosts are strong in defense and Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy is in excellent shape. The Filins are seriously lacking in attack, and the Samara team top scorer, Ostap Safin, is currently in the infirmary. Metallurg has a lot of problems, but overall, the Foxes have at least started to concede fewer goals and are making good use of their chances in attack. We suggest taking the visitors' victory into account, taking into account overtime and shootouts.
Our prediction is Metallurg victory in the match for 1.60
Bet on total
Matches involving Lada are often extremely dry and rarely entertaining. Since the end of October, the "owls" have not played a single game in which at least six goals were scored. Metallurg plays well in defense, but the visitors have problems in terms of converting moments. The teams usually play rather boringly against each other. Let play a bet on the total under in goals scored.
Forecast - total under five goals for 1.65
Bet on individual total
"Lada" is not the most convenient opponent for "Metallurg" and regularly takes points from the famous club. Now the "foxes" play a little better at their goal and rarely concede in large quantities. We do not think that in the current state the "owls" are capable of upsetting Ilya Nabokov at least three times. We bet on the individual total of the first under goals.
Forecast - individual total of "Lada" less than two goals for 1.85
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