Liontips
“Kunlun” - “Sochi”: forecast for the KHL match
On December 6, two Western Conference outsiders will play in Mytishchi. Kunlun beat Sochi thanks to strong results at the end of autumn, but the southerners are unlikely to agree with this situation. During the current season, the teams have played two games against each other and both times it was the Tigers who celebrated success. The club from the city of the same name has four defeats in a row. Will they be able to win in the Moscow region? Find the answer to this question in our forecast
Command Analysis
HC Red Star Kunlun
ChinaCurrent form
Kunlun is in tenth place in the conference table and has not lost hope of getting into the playoffs. The team from China has earned only 28 points in 34 starts and is seven points behind Torpedo from Nizhny Novgorod, which is in eighth place, but has played two more games. At the end of November, Mikhail Kravets' team had a series of four victories, but ended their away tour with an offensive defeat to Lada (1:2). Returning home, the Beijing team lost at home to Dynamo Moscow (4:5, OT), and two days later suffered a defeat to Neftekhimik (2:5). The hosts were in the lead twice, but fell apart at the end and conceded four goals in six minutes.
The club from the capital of the People Republic of China remains the worst in the KHL in terms of defense. On average, the Chinese allow 3.59 goals per game, while at home this indicator is even worse - four goals per match. Jeremy Smith remains the team undisputed number one. The goalie has reflected 90.74% of shots and made two shutouts this season, having spent 23 games on the ice. It should be noted that the "stars" have been doing well in defense lately and have allowed 13 goals in the last five games.
Tomáš Jurčo has been Kunlun top scorer throughout the regular season. The Slovakian forward has scored 19 goals (8+11) and is 66th on the KHL list of goal scorers. Spencer Fu has scored two points less (7+10) and is also among the league top 100 offensive players.
Disqualifications and injuries
Semyon Sinyatkin was injured and will not play against the Tigers.
Interesting trends for betting
- According to statistics, Kunlun allows at least 34 shots on their goal
Red Star usually doesn't play the best defense and doesn't have time to block shots
- Kunlun gets 7.85 minutes of penalty time
A team usually doesn't get sent off more than four times in a match.
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sochi is at the bottom of the conference table, but the team from the south of Russia still has a theoretical chance of making it to the playoffs this season. Pavel Zubov team has 25 points after 32 games, while the Tigers are currently the lowest scoring club in the West. The southerners won only four games in November, but now they have a series of four defeats in a row. The Sochi team away series began with defeats in the Far East. They lost to Admiral in Vladivostok (3:4) and Amur in Khabarovsk (1:2), and were then routed in Omsk (0:6). Avangard completely controlled the game and did not allow the visitors to beat Pavel Khomchenko.
In three away games, Sochi has scored only four goals, and on average during the regular season it scores 2.38 goals. Despite this, Artur Tyanulin has demonstrated excellent performance and is in 18th place on the league list of scorers. The Russian has scored 26 points (7+19) and is by far the team most productive hockey player.
Timur Khafizov team is weak on its own half of the ice and has conceded 16 goals in the last five games. Sergei Ivanov is the most frequent starter and currently has two shutouts in 24 games. The goalie is generally good on the line and reflects 91.17% of shots on his own territory.
Disqualifications and injuries
Andrey Nikonov and Egor Spiridonov will not come to Mytishchi this Friday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sochi wins 48.5% of faceoffs
The Southerners look weak at the point and often lose in this important aspect.
- The Tigers are averaging just 28 shots per game.
The visitors try to throw as many shots as possible, but many attempts are blocked by the opponents.
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In the last three matches between the teams, at least two goals were scored in the first period.
1.85Bet 3rd period: Kunlun will not lose
The Chinese have not lost to Sochi in the third period for five games
1.35Tip and bets
Kunlun still plays well and the last defeats on their home court were connected with a large number of mistakes in defense. The Chinese score a lot and consistently score at least twice per game. The Sochi team plays poorly in attack and concedes quite a lot during the season. In the two previous games between the rivals, the southerners won, although many believed in the victory of Mikhail Kravets team. We think that the "dragons" will beat Timur Khafizov team on the third try. We suggest taking the hosts' success with insurance for a zero handicap.
Prediction - Kunlun win with Asian handicap (0) for 1.65
Bet on individual total
Kunlun must cope with Sochi weak defense, which rarely leaves the court without conceding a large number of goals. Yes, Sergei Ivanov does not make ridiculous mistakes, but the field players often allow their goal to be attacked. The hosts have scored six goals in regulation time in the past two games. We think that this time they will score at least three times.
We bet on the individual total of Kunlun over 2.5 goals for 1.65
Total Bet
Matches between the teams are rarely boring and often delight with their effectiveness. Three times in the four previous meetings, the teams scored at least six times between them. Now the situation should repeat itself, so we will offer a bet on the total more goals.
We take the total over 5.5 pucks with a coefficient of 1.92
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