Liontips
Severstal vs. Barys: KHL Match Prediction
On December 6, Severstal will begin a long home series of games in Cherepovets. This time, Andrei Kozyrev charges will play six matches on their home ice. The hosts need to improve their position in the table, because now the "steelworkers" can drop as far as eighth place in the conference. Barys is unlikely to be able to fight for a place in the playoffs, but recently the "cats" have looked better and have begun to win more often. Will they be able to give the "black and yellow" a fight? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal cannot get out of the current crisis and continues to lose points after a strong stretch in early November. The Cherepovets team has lost seven of the previous ten matches, with all the games involving the club from the Vologda Region ending in regulation time. Andrei Kozyrev charges have dropped to sixth place in the West and may soon find themselves even lower, since their competitors from Minsk and Nizhny Novgorod are very close to the positions of the "black and yellows". After a terrible series of games on home ice, Adam Liszka team went on an away tour. They won a strong-willed victory in Omsk (4:2), but a day later they were again unable to hit the goal of Lada (0:1). The "steelworkers" made 33 shots, but still failed to score on Vladislav Pod'yapolsky.
Due to poor results in November, Severstal became the lowest scoring team in the top eight in the West. In four previous starts, it has only four hits, while leaving the ice without scoring goals in three games. Kirill Pilipenko remains the leading scorer of the Cherepovets club with 26 points (14+12), but he has left the top ten scoring players in the league.
The hosts have worsened their performance and now have a negative goal difference of 88:89. Konstantin Shostak and Aleksandr Samoilov have reflected 90.2% of shots this season, while the goalkeeper from Belarus has recently taken on the role of the team first goalkeeper.
Disqualifications and injuries
All of the home team players are fit and ready to hit the ice on Friday.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal takes 33 shots on goal per game
The Black and Yellows put enormous pressure on their opponents' goalkeepers in every game.
- The Steelers are winning just 46.6 percent of their faceoffs.
So far, the team centers have not been so successful at the point and have lost more often.
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys has long been at the bottom of the conference table, but now the Astana team has consolidated its position in 11th place in the East with 21 points after 34 games. The Kazakhs have not been able to win for six games in a row, but they have been very close to success several times. In an away series at the end of November, Galym Mambetaliyev team lost to Sibir (0:2), Metallurg (0:2) and CSKA (1:3). Returning home, the Barsy looked good in the game against Spartak, but were unable to achieve a positive result. The Cats started the match terribly and in the third period reduced the gap to a minimum in a little over a minute, but Roman Starchenko team was not enough for more.
Barys' offense remains the weakest in the league throughout the regular season. Over three months, the visitors have scored only 45 goals, which is only 1.32 goals per game. Alikhan Omirbekov is the most productive player of the team from Kazakhstan today. The young forward has scored 14 points (6+8) in the goal+pass system and is three points ahead of the experienced Anton Burdasov (6+5).
The Astana team has started to play a little better in defense, but has conceded 14 times in the last five matches. The appearance of Andrey Shutov in the main lineup did not help the "Bars" play more reliably. The goalkeeper played six games in the starting lineup and reflected 91.93% of shots. Nikita Boyarkin has slightly stronger figures based on the results of three months of the regular season.
Disqualifications and injuries
Viktor Antipin, Roman Starchenko and Damir Zhafyarov will not come to Cherepovets.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys wins 48.8% of faceoffs
Astana is currently one of the worst clubs in the league in this regard.
- Barys has 13:37 in goals scored and conceded in the second period
The Bars are mediocre in the second twenty minutes and often allow their opponents to score in it
Trends
Bet 1st period: total under 1.5 goals
In the last six matches involving Barys, no more than one goal was scored in the first period
1.68Bet 2nd period: Severstal will not score
Cherepovets residents have not been able to score in the second period of the game for four matches in a row
2.90Tip and bets
Severstal is clearly out of sorts, and this is clearly evident from the team recent results. Andrey Kozyrev charges have seriously slumped in terms of scoring and have won three games out of ten previously played. The Cherepovets team looked rather lackluster even in matches against mid-table and underdog teams, and it is not entirely clear when the hosts will come to their senses. Barys has not been playing so badly in defense since the appointment of Galym Mambetaliyev as head coach. The "Cats" score little, but rarely lose by a landslide. We believe that the visitors will be able to maintain a positive handicap in the Vologda Region.
Our prediction is a victory for Barys with an Asian handicap (+2) for 1.62
Bet on individual total
The Steelworkers have been playing poorly in attack for a long time and have failed to score in three of the previous four games. Barys has brought back Andrey Shutov, who should eventually get into shape and play a little more reliably. Nikita Boyarkin has also demonstrated good performance in terms of reliability, so it is unlikely that the hosts will score four times.
Forecast - Severstal individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.68
Bet on total
The last matches involving Severstal were not productive due to problems with converting chances for the "black and yellows". Barys is the lowest scoring team in the league, and the visitors are currently also losing personnel. We do not expect more than four accurate shots from the teams. Let play a bet on the total under goals.
Forecast - total under five goals for 1.75
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