Liontips
Amur vs. Admiral: KHL Match Prediction
On December 8, another Far Eastern derby will take place - Amur will host a fight on home ice against Admiral. The previous match between the clubs, which took place in Vladivostok, ended with a confident victory for the Vladivostok team. However, recently the Tigers have improved and started earning points more often than before. Will the home stands help them take revenge and get their first victory over the Sailors this season? What should you bet on this confrontation? Find the answers to these questions in the forecast
Command Analysis
Amur Khabarovsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Amur is in the last position of the Eastern Conference and it will be difficult for it to improve its position in the standings in the near future. However, the team has noticeably improved and has begun to reduce the gap with its main competitor this season, Barys, which it is already only three points behind. Note that not long ago, having returned to the home court, the Tigers proved their superiority over Sochi (2:1), and also imposed a tough fight on Lokomotiv (3:4 OT), but after such great matches, they unexpectedly lost to Dinamo Minsk with a rout - 2:5.
Khabarovsk players have improved their efficiency and in many games have started to score at least three goals, but now they often concede at least three times in response. True, in the last confrontation, Viktor Kostyuchenko team was not as active in the opponent zone as before, and made only 14 shots, while allowing the opponent to make 52 shots at their goal. Of course, with such mediocre activity, it is almost impossible to count on a favorable outcome.
Let us emphasize that the Tigers themselves rarely manage to avoid conceding goals in the second twenty minutes, which is their most disastrous performance. By the way, even on their home court, Amur was able to win only three victories in regular time, and they themselves have already lost within 60 minutes 13 times.
Disqualifications and injuries
Bobkov, Brosso and Bryntsev will not be able to take part in the match due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Amur gets 7.65 minutes of penalty time per match
On average, Khabarovsk players are sent off at least four times per game
- Amur has 12.9% of the majority sales
The Tigers are making little use of their numerical advantage and can't even convert every sixth attempt
Admiral Vladivostok
Russian FederationCurrent form
Admiral is doing much better this season than its Khabarovsk rival. The team is in sixth place in the Eastern Conference standings and has earned a total of 37 points. It is actively fighting to strengthen its position and may soon be able to claim fifth place, which it is literally one point behind. Note that last month the Vladivostok team faced an unpleasant series of five defeats, but after that they pulled themselves together and were able to win four victories in five matches.
On their home ice, the "sailors" even dealt with SKA (3:2 SO) and beat Sochi (4:3), and after a "dry" defeat from Lokomotiv (0:3), they literally crushed Minsk Dynamo with a score of 4:0. Of course, Leonid Tambiev team has been much more successful this year at home than away. So, if on their home court they earned 75% of the points, then on the road they earned only 29% of the points.
Let us emphasize that in the current season, Vladivostok residents play more open hockey and are not afraid to miss an extra puck, since they themselves have become much better at using their moments. True, on the road up to this point they have scored no more than one or two goals on average. Nevertheless, Admiral had the opportunity to fully recover after the previous match, because it received three full days of rest, which can seriously help it in the upcoming confrontation.
Disqualifications and injuries
Grman and Sokolov will not take part in the upcoming fight due to injury
Interesting trends for betting
- Admiral has a 33:34 ratio of goals scored and goals conceded in the second period
The Vladivostok team is productive in the second twenty minutes and scores a lot in it
- Admiral wins 25.2% of power plays
The Mariners are averaging one out of every four power play attempts.
Interesting trends for betting
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of five matches between the teams, the first period was productive
2.20Bet 2nd period: Vladivostok will score
In four out of five matches, the visitors scored goals in the second period
1.60Tip and bets
It is impossible to give a clear preference to one of the teams in this confrontation. Of course, Admiral looks preferable against Khabarovsk this season, but the team performs very poorly on the road and often loses in regulation time. Amur, in turn, experiences many problems even on its home ice, but in previous meetings it looked very good. In face-to-face matches between these teams, we have not seen a draw for a long time. Since it is impossible to single out a favorite in this match, it makes sense to bet on a draw.
Prediction - draw for 3.75
Bet on individual total
"Admiral" shows weak efficiency on the road and in most cases scores no more than two goals. Vladivostok residents in two of the last four matches also ended up with less than three goals in the asset. It is possible that the clubs will hold the upcoming match in a closed style, and the "sailors" will not have as many chances as usual, so we suggest betting on their individual total.
We take the individual total of “Admiral” less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.72
Total Bet
Many meetings between the clubs are ineffective and take place with no more than five goals scored. The last three out of four matches Admiral also played with a total under. The teams will be wary of each other and not force the events in the upcoming confrontation. There are also problems with implementation. Based on this, we take the total under.
We bet on a total of less than five goals with a coefficient of 1.62
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