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Severstal vs. Traktor: KHL Match Forecast
Severstal and Traktor will go on a break after a face-to-face match in Cherepovets on December 8. Andrey Kozyrev charges have been demonstrating rather lackluster hockey for a long time and only occasionally won in late autumn. The Bears may lose their leadership in the East in the very near future, so now they are maximally focused and ready to give their all. What will this match be like? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal is trying hard to stay at least in sixth place in the conference table. Andrey Kozyrev team has 38 points after 33 games, and they are seriously behind their competitors. Since about mid-November, the hosts have been demonstrating a weak level of play and lost a huge number of points at the end of autumn. Before the start of the final home series, the Cherepovets team won in Omsk (4:2), but then lost dry in Tolyatti (0:1). On December 6, Adam Liszka team came to the Vologda Region and not very confidently beat Barys (5:3).
The Steelworkers played poorly in attack before the pause and scored only nine goals in the last five games, four of which were against the defensively weak Barys. Kirill Pilipenko is still the club top scorer and has now risen to ninth place in the league list of the most productive players. The forward scored 28 points (15+13) in the goal+pass system.
The Black and Yellows have been good in defense and have conceded only 11 times since the end of November. Konstantin Shostak had a very weak match against the Astana team and only saved 80% of the shots. His place will probably be taken by Alexander Samoilov.
Disqualifications and injuries
Nikolai Burenov will not play in the last home game before the break.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal takes 33 shots on goal per game
The Black and Yellows put enormous pressure on their opponents' goalkeepers in every game.
- The Steelers are winning just 46.8 percent of their faceoffs.
So far, the team centers have not been so successful at the point and have lost more often.
Traktor
Russian FederationCurrent form
Traktor has been the undisputed leader in the East for a long time, but now the Bears may give up their place to Salavat Yulaev, which has already surpassed the guests in lost points. Benoit Groux charges earned 48 points in 34 starts and generally failed in November. Since the middle of the last month of autumn, the Chelyabinsk team has been alternating victories and losses and cannot produce a stable series of victories. Before the trip to Cherepovets, Vladimir Tkachev team lost away in Ufa (1:4), after which they confidently dealt with Avtomobilist on home ice (3:1), although they conceded first.
Maxim Shabanov made 33 effective actions (13+20) and is carrying the guests up on his shoulders. The team other forwards look much worse, and thanks to the young talent, Traktor scores 3.24 goals per game. In the last five starts, the "bears" have only scored 14 accurate hits.
Zachary Fucale has aged and hasn't been as good as he was at the start of the regular season. The Canadian has dropped his save percentage to 92.76%, although he still has five shutouts after 23 games. Sergei Mylnikov gets his chance amid the less than confident performances of his North American colleague.
Disqualifications and injuries
All visiting leaders will come to Cherepovets.
Interesting trends for betting
- Traktor wins 53% of faceoffs
Chelyabinsk is currently one of the best clubs in the league in this indicator.
- The Bears have a 33:24 lead in goals scored and conceded in the second period.
The Bears play well in the second twenty minutes, but often allow their opponents to score in it
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In four of the five previous matches between the teams, the second period was productive
1.70Bet 1st period: Traktor will score
Chelyabinsk players have distinguished themselves in the opening stages of matches for three games in a row
1.63Tip and bets
Severstal continues to demonstrate an uncertain game and often holds unimpressive matches against weak teams. Andrey Kozyrev charges have slowed down in terms of implementation and have not been able to defeat their opponents for a long time. Traktor alternates victories and defeats, but in terms of the quality of the game and the composition, the guests look stronger. Now they have additional motivation, because in case of defeat they will not be able to maintain leadership in the East. We offer a bet on the victory of the guests with a zero handicap.
Our prediction is a Traktor victory with an Asian handicap (0) for 1.67
Bet on individual total
"Traktor" consistently played on the opponent half of the ice throughout the regular season and rarely left the rink without at least three goals scored. "Severstal" missed three times from "Barys" and the home team goalies can hardly be called reliable. Maxim Shabanov and company should leave for the break slamming the door, so we will play three goals from the Chelyabinsk team.
Forecast - individual total of "Traktor" over 2.5 goals for 1.75
Bet on total
Both teams are not the best in defense and often make mistakes. At the same time, the opponents have someone to score against and the last matches between the clubs were often productive. In four of the five previous games, the teams scored at least six goals between them. We think that this time they will be able to please the stands with spectacular hockey.
Forecast - total over five goals for 1.75
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