Liontips
Leipzig vs Aston Villa: Prediction and Betting Tips with Odds 2.32
Leipzig have not scored a single point in five Champions League rounds and are the main disappointment of the current tournament. Aston Villa had a strong start, but have not won in the last two rounds. How will the face-to-face confrontation between the rivals end on December 10? - the answer is in our forecast. Also, the star expert of the site Roman Pavlyuchenko shares his bet on the game
Command Analysis
RB Leipzig
GermanyCurrent form
In the previous round of the Champions League, Leipzig played away to Inter and lost with a minimal score of 0:1. The fate of that match was decided by an own goal in the middle of the first half. Thus, the Bulls suffered their fifth defeat in a row in the main European club tournament and are in the company of Young Boys and Slovan at the bottom of the standings. The gap from the playoff zone is six points. Even if they manage to win all the remaining matches, it will still be difficult to count on continuing the fight in the knockout games.
In the Bundesliga, Leipzig also had a slump and an unpleasant run of four games without a win. The run of bad luck was first broken in the cup game against Eintracht Frankfurt, who were in excellent form (3:0) at home. Then there was an away victory in the championship against Holstein with a score of 2:0. Thanks to three points, the "bulls" have remained in fourth place, have 24 points and are two points behind Bayer, who are ahead. Undoubtedly, two wins in a row allowed Marco Rose, who was threatened with dismissal, to breathe easier.
Disqualifications and injuries
Defender Castello Lukeba will miss the match due to suspension. Midfielders Xavi Simons and Elif Elmas, defenders El Shadai Bitshiabu and David Raum, and forward Yussuf Poulsen will be out due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Leipzig have not won in their last seven Champions League matches – six defeats and one draw
- In 10 of Leipzig previous 13 Champions League matches, both teams have scored goals
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of the Bulls' last 14 Champions League matches
- In three of their previous five matches in all competitions, Leipzig have won in the first half
Approximate lineup: Gulachi - Gertruyda, Orban, Seivald, Henrichs - Baumgartner, Vermeeren, Aidara, Nusa - Sheshko, Openda.
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent form
Aston Villa have collected the maximum nine points in their first three rounds of the Champions League and were leading the way along with another Premier League representative, Liverpool. However, the Birmingham club have noticeably slowed down over the distance, fell into a crisis back in October, from which they are only just beginning to emerge.
In the last two rounds of the Champions League, Unai Emery team first lost away to Brugge (0:1), and then at home they were unable to break down Juventus' defense (0:0). In the standings on the eve of the start of the sixth round, the team is in ninth place with 10 points scored. At the same time, the gap from the top 8 is only in additional indicators.
In the Premier League, https://www.avfc.co.uk target=_blank rel=noopener>Aston Villa were on a five-match winless streak. However, Unai Emery and his team managed to get out of the crisis and beat Brentford (3:1) and Southampton (1:0) in the last two rounds. Both matches were played at home. At the moment, the Birmingham team has an open series of four defeats in a row away from home.
Disqualifications and injuries
Only Ramsey will not play today.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have not lost in the first half in three of their last five matches
- There have been no goals exchanged in three of Aston Villa previous five matches
- Five of Birmingham last six European matches have seen no more than two goals scored
Probable line-up: Martinez - Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne - Onana, Tielemans - Bailey, McGinn, Rodgers - Watkins.
Trends
Bet Total yellow cards Leipzig under 2.5
In 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Champions League, Leipzig players have not received more than two yellow cards
1.55Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The stake has played in three of Leipzig last four matches
1.51Bet Exact score 3:1
Three of Leipzig last four wins have come with a two-goal advantage
19.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
Three of Aston Villa last five matches have seen goals scored in each half
1.61Bet : Leipzig to win on fouls
In 10 of the last 13 matches, Leipzig players have committed more fouls than their opponents
1.65Tip and bets
The opponents in the upcoming match have already been in a crisis, but are gradually improving. The hosts do not have a single point in the Champions League after five rounds and have nowhere to retreat, in case of another failure, even the theoretical chances of getting into the playoffs will disappear. On their home field, the "bulls" are always capable of playing at their best, which they have demonstrated more than once. Aston Villa is quite vulnerable on the road, having lost in four previous away matches, including a defeat to Brugge in the Champions League. We believe that the hosts will be closer to victory today due to their enormous motivation and the support of their fans.
Our prediction is a Leipzig victory with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 1.90
Bet on total
The hosts will only be satisfied with a win today, there is no point in playing for a draw. Leipzig will obviously go forward with a large force from the first minutes. Aston Villa is always ready to support such open football. We believe that more than two goals will be scored in the match.
The second bet is total over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.68
Bet on corners
Aston Villa play a lot on the flanks, which leads to a lot of corners. In six of their previous seven games, the Birmingham side have beaten their opponents in terms of corners, which is what we expect today, and by a decent margin.
Prediction - Aston Villa win on corners with a handicap of (-1.5) with odds of 2.32
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