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Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.55
Since the start of the season, Borussia Dortmund has not suffered a single defeat on its home field in all tournaments. Barcelona has noticeably slowed down, winning only two of the previous six matches. Will the hosts be able to extend their successful streak at their home stadium, Signal Iduna Park, on December 11? You can find out from our forecast. The site star expert, Alexander Mostovoy, also shares his bet on the game
Command Analysis
Borussia Dortmund
GermanyCurrent form
In the Champions League, Borussia allowed themselves to lose points only in the away match of the third round against Real Madrid (2:5), and in that match they were leading 2:0 after the first half. In the other four matches, Dortmund beat Brugge, Celtic, Sturm and Dinamo Zagreb, conceding only one goal in these games. With 12 points, the Bumblebees approach the start of the sixth round in fourth place in the table, losing third place to their opponent today only by goal difference.
The Bundesliga standings are far from being as successful. After 13 rounds, Borussia is in sixth place with 21 points. It will be tough to fight for the title, as the gap to Bayern is 12 points, but Nuri Sahin team will clearly still be fighting for a place in the top three - Bayer, in third place, is five points ahead. In the last round, there was an away draw 1:1 with Borussia Mönchengladbach, and before that, the Bumblebees drew with Bayern on their home field with the same score.
It is certainly worth noting Borussia home successes. Taking into account all tournaments, the team has won eight matches on its home field, losing points only with Bayern.
Disqualifications and injuries
Anton, Sule, Adeyemi and Brandt are injured and will not play today. Bayer participation is in doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Borussia have not lost in the first half in their last four matches
- Borussia have won seven of their last nine Champions League matches
- In nine of Dortmund last 11 home matches in the Champions League, more than two goals have not been scored
Estimated line-up: Kobel – Ruerson, Jan, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini – Nmecha, Gross – Malen, Sabitzer, Gittens – Guirassy.
Barcelona
SpainCurrent form
Barcelona started the Champions League with an unexpected 1-2 away defeat to Monaco. They had to play with ten men for more than half a half, which clearly affected the final result. The Catalans did not allow themselves a single slip-up in the next four rounds, primarily achieving success thanks to a powerful attack, and sometimes due to their superiority in class. Young Boys, Bayern, Crvena Zvezda and Brest were defeated in turn. With 12 points, Hansi Flick team is approaching the start of the sixth round in third place.
In La Liga, https://www.fcbarcelona.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Barcelona took the lead straight away, but slowed down a bit over the distance and allowed two Madrid giants, Real and Atletico, to get very close. At the moment, the Catalans have 38 points, the gap from Real is two points, from Atletico - three points. At the same time, the competitors have played one match less. In the last five rounds in Primera, Barcelona has only won once. In the last round, a 2:2 draw with Betis was recorded.
It should be noted that the Catalans have recently been having difficulties in away matches. In the four previous matches, they have only managed to beat Mallorca with a score of 5:1.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ter Stegen, Christensen, Bernal, Araujo and Fati will be out of action today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barcelona have not lost in the first half in their last five matches
- At least three goals have been scored in the Catalans' eight previous Champions League matches
- In 9 of Barcelona previous 11 Champions League matches, both teams have scored goals
Estimated line-up: Pena – Kunde, Kubarsi, Martinez, Balde – Pedri, Casado – Yamal, Olmo, Rafinha – Lewandowski.
Trends
Bet Borussia to win on corners
Dortmund have had more corners than their opponents in six of their last seven Champions League home games
1.88Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in Borussia last three matches
1.90Bet Exact score 1:1
The hosts' last two matches ended with this score
7.20Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of Barcelona last five matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.42Bet Barcelona to win by fouls
In seven of their previous nine matches, Borussia players have committed fewer fouls than their opponents
2.35Tip and bets
The neighbors in the tournament table are meeting, both teams are doing well in the Champions League. Bookmakers in this pair are leading the guests as favorites, which is not to be disagreed with. Borussia has not lost at home yet this season, the recent draw with Bayern confirmed that Dortmund know how to tune in to any opponent on their way and play at their best. Plus, Barcelona has seen a decent decline, which so far has only manifested itself in Primera, but in the Champions League in the last rounds there have been no very formidable opponents. We believe that Nuri Sahin charges, with the right attitude and dedication, can score at least one point today.
Our prediction is that Borussia will not lose at odds of 1.82
Bet on total
In the recent home match against Bayern, Dortmund allowed their opponents to create little in front of their goal. It is unlikely that the hosts will play open football against Barcelona today; in such a scenario, they will definitely not be able to cope with the powerful attack of the Catalans. We expect Borussia to play cautious football, with a lot of tactical struggle in the center of the field.
The second bet is total under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.85
Yellow Card Betting
Let take a look at a possible high-odds bet on yellow cards based on statistics. Barcelona have received at least three yellow cards in six of their last eight Champions League away games.
Forecast - Barcelona total yellow cards over 2.5 with odds of 2.55
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