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Lille vs Sturm: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.90
Lille are having a fantastic season in the Champions League and are aiming for a place in the top eight after five rounds. Sturm managed to win their first victory in the tournament only in their fifth match and still have a chance to reach the playoffs. How will the face-to-face meeting between the rivals on December 11 go? We recommend that you read our forecast and choose reliable bets
Command Analysis
Lille
FranceCurrent form
Lille has become one of the revelations of the current Champions League. The "dogs" managed to make several sensations in the five rounds they played. Undoubtedly, it is worth noting the victories over the Spanish giants from Madrid, Real (1:0) and Atletico (3:1). The team only defeat was at the start, away from Sporting with a score of 0:2. In the last round, Lille won an important away victory over Bologna (2:1).
In the tournament table on the eve of the sixth round matches, Bruno Genesio charges occupy 12th place, but they are behind the top eight only by additional indicators. It should be noted that Lille demonstrates a very balanced game, in which there are practically no weak points. Plus, the squad is very even, a fusion of experience and youth.
Based on the results of 14 rounds in Ligue 1, https://www.losc.fr target=_blank rel=noopener>the "dogs" with 26 points occupy the fourth place. The gap from the leading "Marseille" and "Monaco" is three points. In the last round on their home field they managed to confidently win "Brest" (3:1). Taking into account all tournaments, "Lille" is currently on an unbeaten streak of 14 matches and clearly does not plan to slow down.
Disqualifications and injuries
Gomez, Santos, Mbappe, Bentaleb and Umtiti will not play today due to injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lille have not lost in the first half in their last five matches
- Lille are unbeaten in seven of their last eight Champions League home games
- The Great Danes have not conceded more than one goal at home in seven of their last eight Champions League matches.
Probable line-up: Chevalier - Mandi, Diakite, Alexandro, Gudmundsson - Mukau, Andre - Zhegrova, Haraldsson, Fernandez-Pardo - David.
Sturm Graz
AustriaCurrent form
During the season, Sturm changed its coach, Ilzer left for the German Bundesliga, and Jurgen Seumel took over the team. It was under him that the Austrians earned their first points in the Champions League in the last round. They managed to beat Girona with a minimum score of 1:0 on their home field. Three points earned allow them to count on a place in the playoffs, while there is practically no room for error. It should be noted that before the victory over the Primera representative, Sturm lost in four rounds, scoring only one goal. One of the few positive moments is that they manage to work on defense without failures, they did not concede more than two goals, and even withstood the onslaught of Borussia Dortmund, suffering a defeat with a minimum score of 0:1.
In the national championship, Sturm leads the standings after 16 rounds, having scored 36 points. The closest pursuer, Vienna Austria, is three points away. In the last round, Jurgen Seumel team left Tirol no chance (0:3) away. In the local Bundesliga, the team stands out for its powerful attacking play, having scored 40 goals.
Disqualifications and injuries
Goalkeeper Kjell Scherpen and defender Aleksandar Borkovic will miss the match due to injury. Defender Jusuf Gazibegovic is suspended.
Interesting trends for betting
- "Sturm" has not lost in the first half in five previous matches
- Sturm have not won in their last 10 away matches in the Champions League – two draws and eight defeats
- In seven previous away matches in the Champions League, Sturm have not scored more than one goal
Estimated line-up: Khudyakov – Wüthrich, Aivu, Geirhofer, Lavale – Chukvuani, Yalkuye, Kiteishvili, Boving, Bierit – Yatta.
Trends
Bet: Sturm wins on corners with handicap (+2.5)
Lille have lost on corners in 9 of their last 12 matches
1.75Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The stake has played in the last three matches of Sturm
1.50Bet Exact score 3:1
Lille have won two of their last five games with this scoreline
12.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of Lille last five matches, goals have been scored in each half
1.64Lille not to lose on yellow cards
In three of the previous four matches, Lille players have received more yellow cards than their opponents
2.20Tip and bets
Throughout the tournament, Lille has been performing much better than its upcoming opponent, which is reflected in the standings. The "Dogs" have victories over Real Madrid and Atletico, are currently on an open unbeaten streak of 14 matches and are vying for a place in the top 8. After the change of coach, Sturm has started playing more actively in attack, but it is too early to talk about stability, especially on the road in a confrontation with Lille, which has gained great momentum. We believe that the hosts will not experience any particular problems today.
Our prediction is a Lille victory with an Asian handicap (-1) at odds of 1.85
Bet on total
Under Seumel leadership, Sturm has noticeably improved its attack and is quite capable of scoring a goal, especially considering that Lille have only kept one clean sheet in the Champions League. However, it is unlikely that the visitors will be able to keep a clean sheet, given the strength of the opponent attack.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.90
Bet on the exact difference in the score
It should be noted that Lille have won three of their last five games by a two-goal margin. We expect the Great Danes to secure a comfortable win at home to avoid a tense ending.
Prediction: Lille win by two or three goals with odds of 2.90
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