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St. Pauli – Werder Bremen: forecast for the Bundesliga match
As part of the 14th round of the Bundesliga, St. Pauli and Werder will play on December 14. The opponents are in different parts of the tournament table, but nevertheless we see almost equal odds for the winner in the bookmakers' line. Who has a better chance of winning today and what bets to choose? - the answer is in our forecast
Command Analysis
St. Pauli
GermanyCurrent form
St. Pauli had not won a home game in the Bundesliga until the 12th round. They managed to break the losing streak with a 3-1 win over Holstein. The Pirates then played a good away game against Bayer, but still lost 1-2. Alexander Blessin men are in a safe 15th place in the standings with 11 points. It should be noted that St. Pauli has been playing uncertainly in attack at home, scoring only three goals, all of which were against Holstein, and in the other five games they failed to hit the opponent goal.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ahlers, Burchert, Zoller, Voll, Wagner, Metcalf, Saad and Banks are all out with injuries. Guilavogui is booked.
Interesting trends for betting
- In three of the last five matches, St. Pauli have not won in the first half
- In five of the Pirates' previous six home games, no more than three goals were scored
Probable line-up: Vasil - Val, Nemeth, Smith - Saliakas, Bukhalfa, Irvin, Troy - Sinani, Eggestein, Afolayan.
Werder Bremen
GermanyCurrent form
Werder are having a successful season and have a good chance of fighting for a place in the Eurocup zone. After 13 rounds, Bremen has 19 points and is in tenth place in the table, while the gap to sixth-placed Wolfsburg is only two points. Ole Werner charges play most comfortably away from home, and clearly act as second fiddle. They have scored 13 of their total 19 points away from home. In the last round, they managed to beat Bochum away from home, although it was not easy, as the opponent played defensively (1:0).
Disqualifications and injuries
Agu, Njinma and Topp are all out with injuries, with Veljkovic questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Six of Werder last eight away games have seen goals exchanged
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Bremen previous seven away matches
Estimated line-up: Zetterer – Stark, Friedl, Jung – Weiser, Stage, Lienen, Kehn – Grüll, Schmidt – Ducksch.
Trends
Bet: Werder will score in the second half
In their last three matches, Werder have scored goals in the second 45 minutes
1.61Bet Total first half under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in four of the guests' previous five games
1.44Bet Exact score 1:2
Werder have won their last three games by a one-goal margin
9.70Tip and bets
There is no favorite in the bookmakers' line for the upcoming match. In our opinion, it is still too early to say that St. Pauli is ready to regularly take points at home. The "pirates" have only one victory on their home field over the crisis "Holstein", while in five matches they have not even managed to hit the opponent goal. Werder is good on the road, and in general, is having a better season than the upcoming opponent. Taking into account the odds, we recommend the forecast for the visitors in this pair.
Our prediction is a Werder win with an Asian handicap (0) at odds of 1.88
Bet on total
St. Pauli have failed to score in five of their six home games. It is unlikely that they will be able to score even two goals against Werder, who are in good shape.
The second bet is the individual total goals of St. Pauli under 1.5 with odds of 1.59
Bet on the first half
In three matches in a row involving Werder, a draw was recorded in the first half. We believe that the opponents will not force the events on the field today.
Prediction - draw in the first half with odds of 2.20
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