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Dynamo Moscow vs. Barys: KHL Match Prediction
On December 17, Moscow Dynamo will come out after a break and continue a series of games in the capital of Russia. The first opponent of Alexey Kudashov team will be Astana Barys, which did not send a large number of players to the Channel One Cup and was preparing for the second stage of the season. In September, the "white-blues" achieved confident success in Kazakhstan and calmly took two points. Will they be able to repeat this achievement at home? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
HC Dynamo Moscow
Russian FederationCurrent form
Dynamo have secured third place in the Western Conference standings and have 47 points. The Muscovites are three points behind Spartak, who are in second place, although both teams have played the same number of games. Alexey Kudashov charges have gained excellent form and lost only five points in November. Before the break, the "white-blues" played a good series of away games and earned four points out of a possible six. Nikita Gusev team lost in Kazan (4:5), but quite confidently dealt with Kunlun in Mytishchi (5:4, OT) and SKA in St. Petersburg (4:2). In the last match, the "Dynamo" were stronger than Metallurg (3:2) in Moscow, snatching victory in regulation time literally a few minutes before the siren.
Maxim Motorygin remains Dynamo starting goalie, especially given Hunter Miskey failure in Kazan. The Russian has blocked 92.76% of shots in his possession and made three shutouts in 22 games. The capital club defense has slowed down a bit in defense and has conceded 14 times in the last six games. Overall, the hosts have improved significantly in terms of reliability after an unsuccessful start to the regular season.
Nikita Gusev still holds the top spot in the league scoring list, sharing the lead with Avtomobilist forward Stefan Da Costa. Both forwards have 34 points, but the Russian has twice as many goals (14+20).
Disqualifications and injuries
Cedric Paquette will not play in the first match after the break.
Interesting trends for betting
- Dynamo averages more than 31 shots per game
Almost 10% of the hosts' attacks reach the desired target, so they try to throw as many as possible.
- According to statistics, Muscovites win 50.8% of faceoffs
Dynamo players take the majority of face-offs.
Barys Nur-Sultan
KazakhstanCurrent form
Barys barely escaped from the last place in the East and now occupies 11th place in the conference, having only 21 points after 36 starts. The team from Astana remains one of the weakest in the KHL and lost eight games in a row before the international break. The away tour of Galym Mambetaliyev charges continues in the second half of December. The Barsy lost to the local Severstal in Cherepovets (3:5), and right before the break they were unable to cope with the SKA defense in St. Petersburg (0:1). The visitors made only 20 shots at Pavel Moiseevich goal, but did not score any goals.
The Kazakhs remain the lowest scoring team in the league. On average, Barys scores only 1.33 times per game, while in the previous five matches it scored only six goals. The club top scorer remains Alikhan Omirbekov, who has only 14 effective actions (6+8). Not a single Cats player is even among the league top hundred attacking players.
The club from Kazakhstan hasn't been doing too badly on its own half of the ice lately. In the last five games, it has conceded only 15 times, and has rarely lost by a landslide. Nikita Boyarkin is still the number one goalie for his team. The goalie has stopped 93.51% of shots on goal and made two shutouts in 23 starts.
Disqualifications and injuries
Viktor Antipin, Roman Starchenko and Damir Zhafyarov will not come to Moscow.
Interesting trends for betting
- Barys has a 48.3% win rate on faceoffs
The Barça are rather mediocre in the penalty area and do not have any centre forwards with good statistics in this area.
- On average, the "cats" allow 34 shots on their goal
Roman Starchenko team spends little time on the attack and often plays in its own zone.
Trends
Bet 3rd period: total under 1.5 goals
In three out of four games between the teams, no more than one goal was scored in the third period.
1.95Bet 2nd period: Barys will not lose
Astana did not lose to Muscovites in the second period in two matches out of three
1.95Tip and bets
We think that after the break both teams will be out of shape and will try to play as reliably as possible. Dynamo stopped attacking after an unsuccessful start to the season and borrowed a defensive style of play from Lokomotiv. Barys scores very little and rarely pleases with a productive game. Galym Mambetaliyev charges began to act better on their half of the court, and the main goalkeeper Nikita Boyarkin often saves his partners. We believe that the visitors will not be routed in Moscow in the first match after the break. We offer a bet on a positive handicap.
Forecast - Barys win with Asian handicap (+2) for 1.68
Bet on individual total
Dynamo has begun to pay much more attention to defense, which has seriously affected the Muscovites' performance. The "white-blues" score only three goals per match on average and rarely crush their opponents. Barys is capable of playing well and holding off the Muscovites' attack. Galym Mambetaliyev team conceded three goals in Astana in September and should not fail now.
We bet on Dynamo individual total under 3.5 goals for 1.65
Total Bet
The meeting between the teams in Astana in the fall was not bright and pleased the stands with only four accurate throws. Games with the participation of Barys often turn out to be ineffective, because the guests score very little, but have good goalkeepers in their team. We do not think that the opponents will be able to score more than four times. Let play a bet on the total under.
We take the total under five goals with a coefficient of 1.65
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