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Southampton vs Liverpool: Prediction and Betting Odds 2.60
After a crushing 0:5 defeat to Tottenham in the Premier League, Southampton sacked Russell Martin. No new coach was appointed. How will this circumstance affect the Saints' game on December 18 in the quarter-final of the League Cup against Liverpool? We recommend that you read our forecast and choose the exact bets. Also, the site star experts Roman Pavlyuchenko and Dmitry Gradilenko share their opinions on the game
Command Analysis
Southampton
EnglandCurrent form
In the 16th round of the Premier League, Southampton suffered a crushing 0:5 defeat at home to Tottenham, which was the third in a row in the championship. After this, the decision was made to resign Russell Martin. A replacement for him has not yet been found, Simon Rusk has been appointed acting manager for now.
The Saints' Premier League position is not easy - they have five points, are in last place in the table, and are nine points behind the saving 17th position. The team obvious problems are in attack - only 11 goals scored, which is the worst result among all participants.
So far, they have only managed to please their fans in the League Cup. The Saints have three stages of this tournament under their belt. At the start, there was an away victory 5:3 over Cardiff, then only in a penalty shootout did they manage to beat Everton. In the 1/8 finals, https://www.southamptonfc.com/en target=_blank rel=noopener>Southampton won 3:2 at home against Stoke City. A difficult test lies ahead – a match against Liverpool. It should be noted that in November, the rivals played each other in the EPL, then the Saints put up serious resistance, scored twice against the Merseysiders, but still lost (2:3).
Disqualifications and injuries
Stevens is suspended for today, while Stewart, Smallbone, Ramsdale, Bazunu and Sulemana are all injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- Southampton have lost in the first half in their last four matches
- Both teams to score have played in the Saints' previous five League Cup matches
- Eight of Southampton last 11 League Cup games have seen three or fewer goals scored
Probable line-up: McCarthy - Sugawara, Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Manning - Aribo, Downes, Fernandes - Dibling, Archer, Armstrong.
Liverpool
EnglandCurrent form
Liverpool have clearly made their fans worry, as they have failed to win in the last two rounds of the Premier League. The Merseysiders have drawn away to Newcastle (3:3) and Fulham (2:2). The defense has started to fail, plus they had to play with ten men from the 16th minute against the Cottagers after Robertson was sent off. After dropping points, Chelsea have closed the gap to two points in the table, but Liverpool still have a game in hand.
In the Champions League, Arne Sloth team has not lost a single point in six rounds played and is the sole leader. In the last two rounds, they managed to defeat Real Madrid (2:0) and Girona (1:0).
Liverpool are the current English League Cup winners and would certainly not mind defending their title. They had to play Premier League representatives in the opening two rounds. First, the Merseysiders thrashed West Ham 5-1, and then, in a tough encounter, broke the resistance of Brighton (3-2).
Disqualifications and injuries
Robertson will miss the meeting due to suspension. Bradley, Konate and Tsimikas are injured.
Interesting trends for betting
- Liverpool have not won in the first half in their last three matches
- Liverpool have conceded in eight of their last nine League Cup matches
- There have been no goals scored in three of the Merseysiders' previous five matches
Tentative line-up: Kelleher - Alexander-Arnold, Quansa, van Dijk, Gomez - Endo, McAllister - Salah, Elliott, Gakpo - Nunez.
Trends
Southampton Total Corners Under 3.5 Bet
Southampton have not had more than three corners in nine of their last 11 home meetings
1.70Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
The bet has played in the last five meetings involving Liverpool
1.78Bet Exact score 1:3
Three of Liverpool last five wins have come by a two-goal margin
10.00Bet Goals in both halves – yes
In four of the last five head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half
1.41Bet 2nd half: Liverpool win
In the previous two head-to-head matches, Liverpool won in the second half
1.60Tip and bets
In the last three matches, Southampton have conceded five goals each from Chelsea and Tottenham, and there is no point in counting on their attack, as the Saints play too straightforwardly in attack. It is unlikely that Russell Martin resignation will have an immediate positive effect, given the level of the opponent they will play against today. Plus, the hosts do not have many opportunities to rotate their squad. We expect Liverpool to deal with their inferior opponent without any problems.
Our prediction is a Liverpool win with an Asian handicap (-1.5) at odds of 2.07
Bet on total
In a recent head-to-head match in the Premier League, Southampton conceded three goals from Liverpool. After that, the Saints conceded five goals from Chelsea and Tottenham. It is obvious that the team has significant problems in defense and is unlikely to withstand the pressure of the Merseysiders.
The second bet is Liverpool individual total goals over two with odds of 1.60
Combined rate
Given Southampton defensive problems, there is a high probability that the upcoming meeting will be productive. It is unlikely that the visitors will limit themselves to just one or two goals scored, and Liverpool itself has recently allowed itself to make frequent mistakes in defense.
Prediction - Liverpool win and total over 3.5 goals with odds of 2.60
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