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Severstal vs. Sochi: KHL Match Prediction
Severstal and Sochi will play their second match in Cherepovets on December 20. In the first game, Andrey Kozyrev team achieved a confident victory, although the southerners tried to cling to points. The hosts lost a lot of points at the end of autumn and must gain form if they want to reach the playoffs and start the first round at home. Will the Tigers allow themselves to be beaten again? Find the answer in our forecast for the meeting
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal played poorly in the second half of November and were in terrible shape. Now the hosts are doing a little better and have returned to sixth place in the West, with 42 points after 35 starts. Andrey Kozyrev team played well at home before the break and easily split with Barys (5:3) and Traktor (2:1). After the international break, the club from the Vologda Region easily dealt with the Sochi team (4:2). Adam Liszka team scored three times by the middle of the match and calmly held on to the positive result.
The Cherepovets team has improved its attack and has scored 15 accurate shots in the last five matches. Kirill Pilipenko has returned to the top ten scorers in the league and is still the leader of the "steelworkers" attack. The forward has gained excellent form and has distinguished himself in the last three matches. He currently has 31 points (16+15).
In five games in December, the Black and Yellows have only once conceded more than twice in a match. Konstantin Shostak wasn't very good at the last line, but the defenders did a lot of the work. The Belarusian goalie has blocked a modest 89.94% of shots this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
The hosts will play with their full squad.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal gets 4.80 minutes of penalty time per match
The team is currently the most disciplined in the league
- Severstal has 84.9% neutralization of the opponent power play
Cherepovets players are in fourth place in the championship in terms of playing in the minority
HC Sochi
Russian FederationCurrent form
Sochi is still in the last place in the conference table and has only 25 points in 34 games. Sergei Zubov team is performing worse than other teams this season and is six points behind even Kunlun, which is higher. The visitors have now lost six games in a row, five of which were in regulation time. The Tigers have yet to earn a single point this winter and have lost to Admiral (3:4), Amur (1:2), Avangard (0:6), Kunlun (3:4) and Severstal (2:4) in turn on this away tour. The Southerners failed at the start of the first game in Cherepovets and were only able to sweeten the pill with two accurate shots during the third period.
Sochi remains the worst team in the conference in terms of scoring. In the five previous games, they have scored only nine goals, which is less than two goals per game on average. Artur Tyanulin is essentially trying to carry his teammates on his own. The forward has scored 27 points in this regular season, but this is not enough for good results.
Sergei Ivanov often misses in large numbers, so Evgeni Volokhin, who previously played at the VHL level, was recently called up to the team. The young goalie is also not very reliable. In six starts, he has reflected only 87.18% of shots.
Disqualifications and injuries
Daniil Serukh will not play in Cherepovets.
Interesting trends for betting
- Sochi has a 17.9% power play percentage
The Leopards are averaging one in five or six power play attempts
- Sochi gets 7.47 minutes of penalty time
Typically, the Leopards are sent off at least four times per match
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five matches involving Sochi, the second period was productive
1.58Bet 1st period: Severstal win
Cherepovets residents won the first period in three previous starts
1.95Tip and bets
The recent match between the teams was dictated by the hosts, who decided all the questions regarding the winner of the meeting by the middle of the game. The Sochi team is trying, but the class of the southerners' hockey players is significantly inferior to their opponents. Severstal cannot lose points in matches against the championship outsiders and needs to solve its problems. Now Andrey Kozyrev charges are in great shape and may well return to the top five of the conference table. We think that on December 20, the "steelworkers" will beat the guests again in regular time.
Forecast - Severstal win for 1.55
Bet on individual total
Severstal plays in an attacking style and after a long decline, they are scoring in large quantities again. Sochi is one of the weakest teams in the league in terms of reliability, and the young goalies of the Tigers cannot cope with the huge amount of work in each game. In our opinion, the hosts will score at least four goals in the second match between the rivals.
We bet on Severstal individual total over 3.5 goals with odds of 1.90
Total Bet
A couple of days ago, the teams played a productive match, which pleased the stands with six goals. Severstal plays open hockey and allows opponents to attack their possessions. Sochi has already lost motivation for the season and should try to prove itself, because there are many young and ambitious players in the team. We think that the meeting will be bright. We will play the total over goals.
We take the total over 5.5 pucks for 1.87
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