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Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Prediction and Betting Odds 4.80
After 16 rounds, Aston Villa and Manchester City are not in the top 4 in the Premier League and are not showing a stable game at the moment. The Birmingham team has not lost to the Citizens in the last two head-to-head matches on their home field. Will they be able to play successfully against the current champion again on December 21? – the answer is in our forecast. The site’s star expert Roman Pavlyuchenko also shares his bet on the game
Command Analysis
Aston Villa
EnglandCurrent form
At the beginning of December, Aston Villa played two successful home matches in the Premier League against Brentford (3:1) and Southampton (1:0). However, they failed to build on their success. In the last round, the Birmingham team lost 1:2 away to Nottingham Forest. Then, Unai Emery charges scored the first goal in the 63rd minute, but played poorly at the end, conceding two goals in six minutes. It was noticeable that the players lacked strength after a difficult away match with Leipzig in the Champions League.
In the league table, the Villans are in seventh place with 25 points. Given the high density of results, in general, everything is not so bad, since the gap from Nottingham Forest, which is in fourth place, is only three points. It should be noted that the Birmingham team usually performs successfully on its home field - 15 points scored and only one defeat since the beginning of the season. At Villa Park, the team demonstrates productive football, having scored 13 goals in eight matches played.
https://www.avfc.co.uk target=_blank rel=noopener>Aston Villa are doing well in the Champions League. The team went into the break in fifth place in the table with 13 points. They managed to get an important victory in the last round over Leipzig away with a score of 3:2.
Disqualifications and injuries
Ramsey is out today due to injury, while Bailey is a doubt.
Interesting trends for betting
- Aston Villa have not lost in the first half in their last four matches
- Aston Villa have failed to win in six of their last eight Premier League games
- Goals have been exchanged in nine of Birmingham last 12 home Premier League games
Probable line-up: Martinez - Konsa, Carlos, Mings, Digne - Tielemans, Onana - Cash, Rodgers, McGinn - Watkins.
Manchester City
EnglandCurrent form
Manchester City have not won away for two months – six defeats in their last seven away games and only one draw in that period. In principle, their results at home are no better, as they only managed to beat Nottingham Forest (3:0). That victory in early December was not a breakthrough for the Citizens, who are still in a serious decline, or rather, are even in crisis.
The day before, Manchester City lost in the derby to Manchester United (1:2). Everything started very well in that match, Guardiol opened the scoring in the first half. However, the opponent took the initiative, once again the Citizens failed at the end, conceding two goals. The defeat was the fifth in the last seven matches in the Premier League. The result of the failure was that Josep Guardiola charges left the top-4 and approach the start of the 17th round in fifth position in the table with 27 points, one point behind Nottingham Forest in fourth place.
In the Champions League, Manchester City have not won a single game in the previous three rounds and are heading into the winter break in a modest 22nd place in the table. There is a risk of missing out on the playoffs altogether, and there is no longer any talk of the top 8. In the last round, the Citizens lost to Juventus away from home with a score of 0:2, and both goals were conceded in the second 45 minutes.
Disqualifications and injuries
Rodri, Bobb, Ake and Akanji are all out of Birmingham today due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Manchester City have not lost in the first half in their last four matches
- The Citizens have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven Premier League games
- At least three goals have been scored in six of Manchester City previous seven Premier League meetings
- The goal swap bet has been successful in six of Manchester City last seven away league games
Probable line-up: Ederson - Walker, Dias, Guardiol - Lewis, Kovacic - Silva, De Bruyne, Foden, Doku - Haaland.
Trends
Bet: Manchester City to win on corners
Manchester City have won 14 of their last 15 matches on corners
1.80Manchester City not to lose on yellow cards bet
In five of the last six matches of the "citizens" this bet was successful
1.68Bet Exact score 2:1
Manchester City last three defeats have come by conceding two goals each
10.50Bet Goals in both halves – yes
The bet was successful in three of the five previous head-to-head matches
1.51Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
In three of the last five head-to-head matches, more than one goal was not scored in the opening 45 minutes
1.59Tip and bets
Manchester City losing streak has dragged on, the Citizens regularly fail at the end of matches, there is still no breakthrough, you can only see some good stretches of play. Nevertheless, bookmakers continue to list Guardiola team as favorites even in away games, where they have not won since October 20, taking into account all tournaments. Of course, Aston Villa is also not demonstrating a stable game now, but today the Birmingham team will play on their home field, they had a week to prepare, in the last two face-to-face matches at the home arena the team did not lose to the Citizens. We believe that given the odds posted, it is worth betting on the hosts, who, moreover, have suffered only one defeat in the Premier League at Villa Park this season.
Our prediction is Aston Villa to win with Asian handicap (0) at odds of 2.55
Bet on total
Manchester City defence has been prone to breakdowns, with odd lapses particularly common at the end of the game. The Citizens have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven Premier League games. It unlikely that they'll be able to stabilise their defence straight away.
The second bet is Aston Villa individual total goals over one with odds of 1.60
Combined rate
Based on all the pre-match odds and our expectations, it would be logical to play a combined bet on the hosts winning and the opponents scoring more than two goals between them. Aston Villa have achieved two of their last three wins in this format.
Prediction - Aston Villa win and total over 2.5 goals with odds of 4.80
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