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Getafe vs. Mallorca: Spanish Championship Match Prediction
Getafe will play in the 18th round of La Liga at their home Coliseum. The hosts started uncertainly, but will the capital be able to keep their place in the elite championship? What to expect from the match on December 21 against Mallorca? Our experts assessed the teams' chances and prepared the best bets for the game. All the answers are in this forecast.
Command Analysis
Getafe
SpainCurrent form
Getafe have played all three of their league games in their home city of Madrid in December and will wrap up their fixtures in the capital again on Saturday when they host Mallorca. The Blues have already lost 2-0 at the Santiago Bernabeu and 1-0 at the Metropolitano this month but return to the Coliseum having conceded just four goals in La Liga this season, the best home record of any team. With such a defensive record, it is no surprise that José Bordalás’ side have only lost once at home this campaign and they will be aiming for a third successive clean sheet in front of their home fans in this game.
Disqualifications and injuries
Out of action are Mayor (muscle injury) and Alderete (injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- David Soria has kept a clean sheet in four of his eight home games against Mallorca and is aiming for his third straight clean sheet at home in this fixture
- The capital team has not lost in head-to-head matches on this field from 2012/13 to 2022/23
Estimated line-up: Soria – Terejo, El Hilili, Gomez, Carbero, Romero – Milla, Graguera, Lozano – Puado, Roca.
Mallorca
SpainCurrent form
Mallorca won on the final weekend of the season, a surprise win for the team as it was only their second away win in the league this year. They are now much stronger on the road, having already won four of their eight away games. Overall, it has been a solid first half of the season for the Pirates, who finished 15th last May but start this round of matches in a European place. Mallorca last played in Europe in 2004 and more performances like last Saturday, when they played with ten men for almost an hour and still beat Girona 2-1, will only increase their chances of a comeback two decades on.
Disqualifications and injuries
Mallorca will be without several key players ahead of the game against Girona: Asano (thigh injury), Larin (knee injury), Maffeo (muscle injury) and Muriqui (muscle injury).
Interesting trends for betting
- Mallorca have conceded first in six of their last seven games
- Dani Rodriguez has scored three goals this season, all away, but has yet to find the net at the Coliseum in four visits
Estimated lineup: Greif - Mojica, Copete, Raillo, Morey - Pichu, Darder, Samu, Morlanes, Gomez - Prats
Trends
Bet Exact score 1:2
The teams finished two of their last eight head-to-head championship matches with this score.
9.55Bet Goals in both halves - no
In 2 of the last 4 matches of the guests this type of bet took place
2.15Bet Corners: Total Under 9.5
This betting option has taken place in 3 of Getafe last 5 matches
1.69Penalty bet - yes
Penalties have been awarded in two of the hosts' last six matches
2.55Tip and bets
Both teams are approaching the match in a fighting mood, trying to consolidate their positions in the standings. Getafe, traditionally strong at home, will try to impose a fight, but Mallorca is capable of using its chances on counterattacks. Despite the general pragmatism of both teams, statistics show that goals happen regularly in head-to-head meetings. In three of the last five matches, both teams scored, which makes this option an attractive bet.
Our prediction is both will score and we are betting on it with odds of 2.63
Bet on the outcome
Mallorca has a fairly organized defense and knows how to use its chances in attack, which has repeatedly helped them play successfully against opponents of the level of Getafe. An important point is the away form of the islanders, who, despite difficult conditions, are able to impose their style of play. Considering the instability of the hosts and their problems in creation, a bet on Mallorca with a handicap (0) looks justified, especially given the high odds.
Forecast - Asian handicap (0) on Mallorca and we bet on it for 2.50
Bet on total goals
Both teams are known for their pragmatic style of play, which often leads to low scoring. In the last head-to-head meetings between Getafe and Mallorca, rarely more than two goals were scored. Expectations for the upcoming game are similar: a tough fight, tight defense and a minimum of scoring chances. Given the importance of the result, it is highly likely that the match will be held in a closed style.
Forecast - total under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.60
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