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Lada vs. Avangard: KHL Match Prediction
On December 21, Lada will play Avangard on its home ice. The team from Tolyatti left the playoff zone and is now only in ninth place in the Eastern Conference standings. The Hawks played well in their last games in December and won the previous four meetings. After the appointment of Guy Boucher as head coach, the visitors began to demonstrate hockey at a much higher level. Will there be a fifth victory for the Omsk team? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
Lada Togliatti
Russian FederationCurrent form
Lada left the top eight in the East and currently occupies the ninth line in the conference table. The Togliatti team earned only 31 points in 33 starts and is gradually falling behind the leaders. The hosts have three games in hand, but Neftekhimik, which is in eighth place, has five points more than the Samara club. After a good end to the autumn, Pavel Zubov team suffered a crushing defeat to Metallurg on their home ice (0:4), and two days later they could not cope with the onslaught of Torpedo in Nizhny Novgorod (2:3). In the first period, the Nizhny Novgorod team scored three goals and Mikhail Fisenko team was only able to reduce the gap in the third 20-minute period.
The hosts have lost their reliability and have conceded seven goals in the previous two games. Now they will play even worse, because they had to give their main goalkeeper to Moscow Dynamo for monetary compensation. Aleksandr Trushkov will take the place of Vladislav Pod'yapolsky and will now be the first goalkeeper for Lada. The goalkeeper has played seven games this season and has blocked 92.05% of shots.
The Filiny score little and are only surpassed by Barys in this indicator. The Togliatti team scores only 2.06 goals per match on average, and the best scorer of the club from the Samara region is Nikita Popugaev, who scored only 13 points (9+4) according to the goal+pass system.
Disqualifications and injuries
Vladislav Chervonenko and Nikita Popugaev will not be able to help their team in the game against Avangard.
Interesting trends for betting
- Lada takes 27 shots on goal per game
The hosts don't shoot much, trying to concede as few goals as possible, so their attacking performance is quite modest.
- Togliatti earns 7.33 penalty minutes per match on average
The "Owls" are often sent off, but neutralize 82.7% of their opponents' attempts to convert the extra man.
Avangard Omsk
Russian FederationCurrent form
Avangard is gradually gaining momentum and has already secured a good position among the eight best teams in the East. The club from Omsk Oblast has 36 points after 35 games. After the change of coach to Guy Boucher and the dismissal of Sergei Zvyagin, the visitors' results have become much better. The Hawks have won four games in a row and have seriously improved their position in the conference table. After victories over Sochi (6:0) and Avtomobilist (4:2) at home, Damir Sharipzyanov team took points in Novosibirsk (5:3) and Nizhnekamsk (4:3, OT). The Omsk team was down two goals at the start of the second period, but turned the tide of the game and achieved success in overtime.
The Siberians have improved in terms of realizing their chances and have scored 18 goals in the previous four matches. Damir Sharipzyanova is the guest team leader in terms of points (4+22). He is two points ahead of Reed Boucher, who finishes the Omsk club attacks more often than others (14+10).
In the previous five games, Avangard has conceded 12 times, which is not a very weak result. The Hawks recently signed Nikita Serebryakov, who has fit in well with the new team. The goalie has blocked 92.12% of shots in his possession, but has not yet had a single shutout.
Disqualifications and injuries
Sergey Boykov, Alex Grant and Daniil Stepanov will not come to Tolyatti.
Interesting trends for betting
- Avangard shoots 27 times per game on average
The visitors are not very active in attack and do not make many shots at the opponents' goal.
- Omsk wins 50.5% of faceoffs
Siberian centers have won more than half of their faceoffs this season.
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In four out of five games involving Avangard, the second period was productive
1.88Bet 1st period: Avangard will score
Lada has conceded in the first period in the last two games
1.60Tip and bets
Lada is experiencing financial difficulties and is gradually dropping out of the playoff race. The hosts have given away their best player, who essentially carried the Eagle Owls up on his shoulders. Without Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy, it will be very difficult for the Togliatti team to win. Avangard has picked up great momentum and is playing well in December. Damir Sharipzyanov team has already risen to seventh place in the conference and will now quickly approach the conference leaders. We believe that the visitors will win in regulation time.
Our prediction is Avangard victory at 1.87
Bet on individual total
"Lada" will miss much more without Vladislav Pod'yapolkiy. It was he who did a lot of the dirty work and often dragged his team to victory. "Avangard" has been consistently scoring a lot in recent games and is unlikely to stumble in a duel against the rather weak "owls" in defense. We believe in at least three accurate shots from the club from Omsk.
Forecast - Avangard individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.75
Bet on total
Matches involving Lada are often extremely dry and rarely entertaining. Now they will have to open up more, because they will concede more. Avangard is moving forward and trying to score a lot, but the guests are let down by their play on their half of the court. We believe in at least five goals from the teams for both. Let play a bet on the total over.
Forecast - total over 4.5 goals for 1.90
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