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Severstal vs. Avtomobilist: KHL Match Prediction
On December 22, Avtomobilist will continue its away series in central Russia. After the victory in Yaroslavl, the Machinists will play in the neighboring Vologda Region and will try to succeed in the match against Severstal. The Steelworkers beat Sochi twice on their home court, but this can hardly be called a strong result. Do both teams really need points and are fighting for the highest positions in their conferences? Read our forecast
Command Analysis
Severstal Cherepovets
Russian FederationCurrent form
Severstal played poorly in the second half of November and were in terrible shape. Now the hosts are doing a little better and have returned to sixth place in the West, with 44 points after 36 starts. Andrey Kozyrev team played great home games before the break and easily split with Barys (5:3) and Traktor (2:1). After the international break, the club from the Vologda Region easily dealt with the Sochi team twice (4:2 and 2:1). In both games, the hosts quickly secured an advantage and calmly brought the matter to the necessary result.
The Cherepovets team has improved its attack and has scored 13 accurate shots in the last five matches. Kirill Pilipenko has returned to the top ten scorers in the league and is still the leader of the "steelworkers" attack. The forward has gained excellent form and has distinguished himself in the last three matches. He currently has 32 points (17+15).
In six games in December, the Black and Yellows have only once conceded more than twice in a match. Konstantin Shostak wasn't very good at the last line, but the defenders did a lot of the work. The Belarusian goalie has blocked a modest 90.28% of shots this season.
Disqualifications and injuries
The hosts will play with their full squad.
Interesting trends for betting
- Severstal gets five minutes of penalty time per match
The team is currently the most disciplined in the league
- Severstal has 84.8% neutralization of the opponent power play
Cherepovets players are in fourth place in the championship in terms of playing in the minority
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
Russian FederationCurrent form
Avtomobilist has hardly scored any points for a long time and has dropped to fourth place in the Eastern Conference table. The team from Yekaterinburg has 44 points after 35 starts. Nikolai Zavarukhin charges have finally broken the terrible losing streak that has lasted since November 30. The Urals team failed to win in Magnitogorsk after the international break (2:4), and then sensationally beat Lokomotiv in Yaroslavl (3:1). The visitors managed to score a quick goal against the Railwaymen and score again in the final 20 minutes, which was decisive.
"Avto" played rather weakly in defense in December and conceded 16 times in the last five matches. The team from the Urals is very dependent on the play of its goalies, which we saw in the capital of the Golden Ring. Vladislav Galkin reflected 97.10% of shots on his goal and helped his partners win. It is likely that he will be on the ice in the next matches.
The visitors have big problems in terms of converting their chances. This winter they have scored only 12 goals, which is slightly more than twice per game. Stephane Da Costa still holds the lead in the league scorers list. The Frenchman has scored 36 points (8+28) in the goal+pass system.
Disqualifications and injuries
Nick Ebert will not play in Cherepovets.
Interesting trends for betting
- Avtomobilist has 18.9% of the majority sales
On average, the "machinists" realize every fifth or sixth attempt of the majority
- "Auto" gets eight minutes of penalty time
Guests are usually sent off at least four times per match
Trends
Bet 2nd period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches involving Severstal, the second period was productive
1.73Bet 3rd period: Avtomobilist will score
"Auto" has scored in the third period for three games in a row
1.62Tip and bets
Severstal has won four games in a row, but the hosts can only put the victory over Traktor in their assets. The Cherepovets team still looks rather dull in the lead, which could play a big role in the match against Avtomobilist. The Urals team is very dependent on the play of their goalies, but in the last match Vladislav Galkin was very good and helped his partners win. It time for the Machinists to get out of the hole they got into at the end of November. We believe that the visitors will win in regulation time. We offer a bet on the victory of the second team with a zero handicap.
Forecast - Avtomobilist win with Asian handicap (0) for 2.17
Bet on individual total
Severstal often opens up and allows a lot to their opponents in their zone. The Cherepovets team played well in defense in December, but they conceded three goals even from Barys. Avtomobilist leaders have returned to action and the visitors have started to act better in front. Stefan Da Costa is in excellent shape and should help his teammates score at least twice.
We bet on the individual total of Avtomobilist more than two goals with a coefficient of 1.50
Total Bet
Meetings involving teams are usually not very productive. Severstal has slowed down in terms of realizing moments, but has improved its defense. Avtomobilist plays closed hockey and relies on the actions of the team goalies. We think that the game will not be bright and will not please the stands with a large number of accurate shots. Let play a bet on the total under.
We take the total over 5.5 pucks for 1.87
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