Valencia vs. Alaves: Spanish Championship Match Prediction

Spain

Valencia

Spain

LaLiga

mestalja

22 December 05:00 UTC

Deportivo Alaves

Spain

Valencia will play a home match of the 18th round of La Liga at the Mestalla stadium. Will the host team, known for its unforgivable play on the home field, be able to cope with the challenge presented by Alaves, which is in good shape? Our experts assessed the teams' chances and chose the most attractive bets for the upcoming match. Who will be stronger in this duel? The answers are in our forecast

Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction and Betting Tips (22.12.2024)

Command Analysis

Valencia

Spain

Current form

Valencia are going through a tough time in La Liga, extending their winless run to four games after a 2-2 draw with Athletic Bilbao last round. Despite this, the team is showing fighting spirit, especially at their home stadium, Mestalla, where they traditionally perform better. This season, the “bats” have collected more points at home than in away matches, which gives hope for a positive result in the upcoming meeting.

The coaching staff is working hard to improve their defensive performance, as the team has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five games. In attack, Valencia rely on Hugo Duro, who has scored three goals in his last two home games, confirming his key role in the attack.

Disqualifications and injuries

Valencia will face personnel problems in the upcoming match: Jose Gaia (muscle injury), Mouctar Diakhaby (knee injury), Roman Yaremchuk (injury) and Giorgi Mamardashvili (disqualification after red card).

Interesting trends for betting

In eight of the last ten head-to-head meetings between Valencia and Alaves, both teams have scored
Valencia are unbeaten at Mestalla in their last three games against Alaves, including two wins
Striker Hugo Duro has scored three goals in his last two home games

Probable line-up: Cristian Rivero - Thierry Correia, Gabriel Paulista, Mossa Diakhaby, Dimitri Foulquier - Yunus Musa, Hugo Guillamon, Andre Almeida - Samu Castillejo, Hugo Duro, Fran Perez.

Deportivo Alaves

Spain

Current form

Alaves enter this round teetering on the brink of relegation. A 1-1 draw against Athletic last time out means the Blues have won just one of their last 11 league games, leaving them just one point above the danger zone. Relegation battles are nothing new for the club, who have finished 16th or lower in three of the last four completed La Liga seasons.

Eduardo Coudet has been called up to try and extend his two-year stay in the division and he will be confident of extending his unbeaten start against a side the Glorious have beaten in three consecutive head-to-head encounters.

Disqualifications and injuries

Tenaglia will not be able to take to the football field today (card intake).

Interesting trends for betting

Seven of Alaves' nine away games this season have seen more than three goals scored
Alaves' attacking wing could be Carlos Vicente, whose last five goals have been first or last of the game, but only one of them has been away from home
Alaves have won just one of their last 11 league matches

Probable lineup: Sivera - Ortiz, Villaribre, Pica, Jay - Guevara, Blanco, Benavides, Romero, Rioja - Garcia

Trends

Bet Goals in both halves – yes

In the last three head-to-head matches, goals were scored in each half

1.76

Bet Exact score 2:1

Two of the last ten head-to-head matches ended with this score

12.55

Bet Corners: total over 9.5

This betting option has taken place in 2 of Alaves' last 4 matches

1.99

Penalty Bet - No

In four of the last six head-to-head matches, no penalties were awarded

1.25

Tip and bets

2.55total over 2.5 goals

In this match we expect active football from both teams, given their position in the tournament and the need to gain points. Valencia, playing at home at Mestalla, is trying to rehabilitate itself in front of the fans, which means attacking tactics. Alaves has no other task than to try to take away any tournament points.

Historically, head-to-head encounters between these teams have been productive – four of the last ten matches have seen three or more goals scored. Also, the defensive lines of both teams do not look impenetrable: Valencia often concede when playing first number, and the “glorious ones” fail to keep a clean sheet in away matches.

Our prediction is total over 2.5 goals. We bet on it with odds of 2.55

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3.75Valencia win by one goal

Bet on the outcome

Given the difficult tournament situation for Valencia, the hosts are obliged to demonstrate a productive game in front of their fans. The team has had enough time to work on their mistakes, and the emotional upsurge associated with returning to the home stadium can be a decisive factor. In addition, Alaves has difficulties in defense on the road, which makes the probability of a confident victory for the "orange" more realistic.

Our prediction is a one-goal victory for Valencia. We bet on it with odds of 3.75

Bet on corners

Both sides are expected to be attacking, which will likely lead to a large number of set pieces. Valencia will look to take control of the game on their own field, creating chances through the flanks, while their opponents will show a desire for quick counter-attacks. This dynamic increases the likelihood of many corner kicks.

Forecast - total corners over 10. This option can be found for 2.00

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