Liontips
Toronto vs. Winnipeg: NHL Match Prediction
Toronto will host a home game against Winnipeg on December 23. We are likely to see an interesting confrontation, in which it is incredibly difficult to single out a clear favorite. Meetings between these Canadian clubs are usually held in equal struggle, but the last matches have regularly ended in favor of the Leafs. But will the Leafs be able to please the home stands this time? What is the best bet on this event? Find the answers in our forecast
Command Analysis
Toronto Maple Leafs
CanadaCurrent form
Toronto is in fourth place in the Eastern Conference and has earned 44 points in total. The team may well improve its position in the standings in the near future if it continues to show similar results. Note that the Leafs have just come off a long winning streak of three games. Before that, they beat Buffalo at home (5:3), and away they dealt with Dallas (5:3) and the same Blades (6:3), but in the last home match with the Islanders, they unexpectedly for many lost with a score of 3:6.
Oddly enough, Craig Berube team has returned to hockey on opposite courses, which is why they have, of course, begun to show better results, but in response they have also begun to concede much more than before. But the season continues to be as successful as possible for William Nylander and Mitchell Marner, who are the main scorers on the team and have already earned 38 and 45 points in the goal + assist system, respectively.
It is worth mentioning that the Leafs are most powerful in the second twenty minutes, in which they have a ratio of 46:28 in goals scored and goals conceded. The club also continues to actively work on its power play and already ranks 18th in the league in this indicator, with exactly 20% of the power play being realized, although not so long ago the Leafs were doing much worse in this aspect.
Disqualifications and injuries
Hakanpaa, Klingberg, Jarnkrok, Stollars and Matthews will be out with injuries.
Interesting trends for betting
- Toronto is getting 8.26 penalty minutes per game.
On average, the "leaves" are removed at least four times per game.
- Toronto has an 83% power play neutralization rate
The Leafs are seventh in the league in this indicator.
Winnipeg Jets
CanadaCurrent form
Winnipeg is looking pretty good this season. The team recently regained its lead in the West and is now five points ahead of its closest rival. Not long ago, it faced an unpleasant period during which it was not playing well at all, but now things have gotten much better. Let us recall that the Jets celebrated success in three of the previous four games and achieved victory in regulation time. Thus, they dealt with Montreal (4:2) and San Jose (4:3), and after an unsuccessful match against Anaheim (2:3), they literally crushed Minnesota on their home court with a score of 5:0.
At the same time, in the final confrontation, the "air army" remained without missed pucks, which had not happened for a month and a half. It is impossible not to note the actions of Connor Hellebuyck, who, although he did not have much work, coped with it excellently and parried a total of 19 shots.
It should also be noted that Scott Arniel team is great in the attack zone and is currently the most productive club in the Western Conference. Winnipeg scores most in the third period, where it currently has a 50:35 ratio of goals scored and goals conceded. The team leading scorer, Kyle Connor, has already surpassed the 40-point mark in the goal+pass system and continues to demonstrate very high-level hockey.
Disqualifications and injuries
Logan Stanley will not be able to take part in the upcoming fight due to injury.
Interesting trends for betting
- Winnipeg averages 3.65 goals per game
The club remains one of the most productive in the league at the moment
- The Jets have a 30% power play percentage.
Thanks to their excellent attacking play, the team consistently punishes opponents for breaking the rules
Trends
Bet 1st period: total over 1.5 goals
In three out of four matches involving the home team, the first period was productive
1.82Bet 3rd period: Winnipeg to score
In the last five matches, the visitors have scored goals in the third period
1.50Tip and bets
In our opinion, Winnipeg cannot be considered an underdog in this matchup. The Jets have looked great lately and have won most of the games. Moreover, Toronto is currently having some problems with its roster, as Auston Matthews was recently injured and will most likely miss the upcoming game. In general, Scott Arniel team has demonstrated better hockey in previous games and, unlike their counterpart, acted more systematically. We think that due to this, they will be able to earn two points.
Prediction - Winnipeg win with handicap (0) for 2.15
Bet on individual total
Winnipeg makes great use of its chances and is not accidentally the most productive club in the Western Conference at the moment. Even on the road, the team scores at least three goals on average. Toronto has often played on opposite courses lately and even conceded six times in the confrontation with the Islanders. In the last match against the Leafs, the Jets also scored four times, so it makes sense to bet on their total.
We take Winnipeg individual total over 2.5 goals for 1.75
Total Bet
Previous matches involving the "air army" were not particularly productive and usually ended with fewer than seven goals scored. Matches between Canadian clubs, in general, are not often "rich" in goals. Thus, the last four out of five meetings between Toronto and Winnipeg ended with a total under. If the visitors again act more defensively, then this time the match will also end up "low-scoring".
We bet on a total of less than 6.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.52
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