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Sabalenka vs. Sarasua. WTA Brisbane Match Prediction
Sabalenka and Sarazua will meet in the second round of the tournament in Brisbane on December 31. Sabalenka is a machine for destroying opponents on hard. Sarazua, despite her progress, is not yet ready for this level of resistance. What bets should you pay attention to in this confrontation? - find out in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
Sabalenka had 38 wins on open hard courts last season, but suffered seven losses. At the end of 2024, Aryna won the tournament in Wuhan, but lost to Coco Gauff in the semifinals of the Finals.
Professional qualities
Sabalenka shifted her focus from a powerful first serve to consistency last season. Although the number of aces has decreased, double faults have practically disappeared. Her forehand remains lethal, and her backhand is no less dangerous. The Belarusian has significantly improved her technical skills: she comes to the net more often, uses short shots.
Current indicators in the tour
Sabalenka is the world number one. The past season brought Arina four trophies - she won the Australian Open and the US Open. In addition to the competition in Wuhan, she also won the tournament in Cincinnati. Now the representative of Belarus has 23 trophies won in her career.
Interesting facts for betting
Sabalenka defends last year final in Brisbane.
Renata Zarazua
MexicoCurrent form
Zarazua started the tournament in Brisbane with a victory over Viktoria Tomova (6-0, 6-3). During the match against the Bulgarian tennis player, Renata converted six break points and lost one game on her serve.
Professional qualities
Sarasua is at her best on clay, but her results on hard are also noteworthy. She has great stamina and can withstand great physical exertion. Her backhand is her trump card in her arsenal. However, a weak first serve often becomes her vulnerability, which her opponents do not miss the opportunity to take advantage of.
Current indicators in the tour
Zarazua is ranked 75th in the world. Renata highest position was 51st. Last season, she won three trophies, two of which were on outdoor hard courts. The Mexican has won eight titles in her career.
Interesting facts for betting
Zarazua winning streak is now eight games.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Sabalenka last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.09Bet Tie-break in the match - no
This bet has played in 4 of Zarazua 5 previous matches
1.06Tip and bets
It seems to us that bookmakers are giving too big a handicap to Zarazua in the upcoming match. The Mexican can easily hold a seven-game handicap. Especially considering her current form - Renata winning streak since last season is eight matches.
Our prediction is a victory for Zarazua with a handicap of (+7) games at odds of 1.98
Bet on total
Sabalenka is the clear favorite in this pair, but you shouldn't underestimate Zarazua. The Mexican knows how to play on hard and therefore is capable of causing problems for the Belarusian in the upcoming match.
The second forecast is total over 17 games for odds of 1.83
Bet on the first set
Three of Zarazua last five matches have seen more than 8.5 games played in the first set, and it likely that her upcoming match against Sabalenka will also start with a top-heavy first set.
Forecast - total over 8.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.02
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