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Brighton vs Arsenal: Prediction and Betting Odds 3.60
Brighton nasty seven-game winless streak in the Premier League has left them in tenth place heading into the 20th round. Arsenal have picked up impressive momentum and have won three games in a row. Will the visitors be able to build on their winning streak on January 4 and what bets should they place on the upcoming match? The answer is in our forecast. The website also features a forecast for the game from star expert Roman Pavlyuchenko
Command Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion
EnglandCurrent form
Brighton last win in the Premier League was on November 23, when they managed to beat Bournemouth 2-1 away. The Seagulls have not been able to win for over a month, playing seven matches, drawing five times with their opponents and losing twice. Their chances of fighting for a place in the European Cup zone are getting smaller with each round, considering that after 19 rounds the gap from Manchester City, which is in sixth place, is four points. Brighton itself occupies a modest tenth place in the table with 27 points.
In the previous round, Fabian Hürzeler team played away against Aston Villa. The tense and largely equal match ended in a peaceful outcome (2:2). This draw was the third in a row for the Seagulls.
It is difficult to single out the cause of the protracted decline. There are numerous injuries and constant failures in defense. We should also note https://www.brightonandhovealbion.com/pages/en/home target=_blank rel=noopener>Brighton inability to play successfully in matches against inferior or comparable opponents. Throughout the entire unsuccessful series, the "seagulls" did not have a single truly top opponent. Let add to this that the home field factor and the support of the stands have not helped the club much this season - only three victories at home in nine matches played.
Disqualifications and injuries
Brighton injury list includes Welbeck, Milner, Kadioglu, Hinshelwood and Webster, with Estupiñan, Viffer and Ferguson all questionable.
Interesting trends for betting
- Brighton have drawn their last three games in the first half
- Brighton have drawn five of their last seven Premier League games
- Both teams have scored in 10 of Brighton last 11 Premier League games
- In the last eight matches in the championship, the Seagulls have not won in the second half (five draws and three defeats)
Tentative line-up: Verbruggen - Lamptey, van Hecke, Dank, Julio - Baleba, O'Reilly - Minthe, Rutter, Adingra - Pedro.
Arsenal
EnglandCurrent form
Arsenal took advantage of Chelsea slip-ups and secured second place in the table with 39 points after 19 rounds. They are six points behind Liverpool, which will be difficult to overcome, given that the Merseysiders also have a game in hand. Nottingham Forest are two points behind.
In the last three rounds, the Gunners did not allow themselves a single misfire. They managed to achieve victories in different ways. There were no particular difficulties with Crystal Palace (5:1) and Brentford (3:1), while at home they only won modest Ipswich with a minimal score of 1:0. In general, we note that Arsenal has been performing solidly on the road this season, winning five out of ten matches played, and scoring 20 goals, only Liverpool and Chelsea have scored more away in the championship.
Unlike many other clubs, Arsenal are not planning any major transfers during the winter window. In any case, Mikel Arteta noted in an interview that he is fully counting on the players he has in the squad. Saka is currently injured, but the Londoners have achieved victories in the last two matches even without him, albeit different in style and number of goals. This largely underlines the fact that the squad has decent potential.
Disqualifications and injuries
Timber will serve a suspension. Saka, White, Tomiyasu and Sterling are all out with injuries. Havertz is in doubt for the upcoming game.
Interesting trends for betting
- Arsenal have not lost in the first half in four of their last five matches
- Arsenal have committed fewer fouls than their opponents in four of their last five games
- The Gunners have not conceded in the second 45 minutes in eight consecutive Premier League games
- Both teams have scored in Arsenal last five away games
Probable line-up: Raya - Partey, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori - Odegaard, Merino, Rice - Martinelli, Jesus, Trossard.
Trends
Bet Arsenal to win on offsides
Brighton have lost four of their last five matches due to offsides
1.37Arsenal to score in first half
In the last three matches, the Gunners have scored goals in the opening 45 minutes
1.71Bet Exact score 1:3
Arsenal have scored three goals in two of their last four wins
13.50Brighton Total Corners Over 4.5 Bet
Brighton have had at least five corners in six of their last seven home Premier League meetings
2.25Bet 1st half: total under 1.5 goals
In the four previous personal meetings, this bet paid off
1.51Tip and bets
Brighton are currently on a seven-game losing streak. Their defensive problems haven't gone away, as was evident in the game against Aston Villa, and personnel losses are also present and are preventing Fabian Hürzeler from fully utilising his tactical ideas. Arsenal have had a three-game winning streak, and they've been creating plenty of dangerous moments in attack, even with Saka injured, although their finishing was disappointing against Ipswich. Overall, the Gunners are on a roll, having beaten the Seagulls in two of their last three head-to-head encounters, which we expect to see today.
Our prediction is Arsenal to win at odds of 1.84
Bet on total
Despite a seven-game winless streak, Brighton rarely leave the field of play without a goal. The Seagulls have scored in nine of their last ten games, and they are clearly capable of breaking down the Londoners' defence at least once at home. At the same time, we don't expect Arsenal, who have a strong selection of attacking players, to be left without their ball.
Second bet - both teams to score with odds of 1.74
Bet on the exact difference in the score
When choosing bets, we will pay attention to the fact that in the last four victorious matches in personal duels, Arsenal won with an advantage of two or three goals. We expect that today the Gunners will also succeed with a comfortable score, especially since Brighton defense is not particularly reliable at the moment.
Prediction: Arsenal win by two to three goals with odds of 3.60
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