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Opelka vs Mpeshi. ATP Brisbane Match Prediction
Opelka and Mpeshi will meet in the semi-finals of the tournament in Brisbane on January 4. Bookmakers fairly estimate the chances of the opponents as approximately equal, which only fuels interest in this match. There is a high probability that the outcome of the sets will be decided in tense tie-breaks. Note that in the previous matches, the tennis players served 35 aces between them. What bets will play in this confrontation? - find out in our forecast.
Command Analysis
Reilly Opelka
USACurrent form
Opelka beat Novak Djokovic (7-6, 6-3) in the quarterfinals of the competition in Brisbane. Reilly served 16 aces, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve in the match against the former world number one. Earlier, the American had beaten Matteo Arnaldi and Federico Gomez in the tournament grid.
Professional qualities
Opelka continues to embody the classic American tennis school, where a powerful serve and aggressive play on fast surfaces play a key role. At 211 cm tall, Reilly manages to dominate his serve without wasting extra effort on high tossing the ball. In recent months, he has significantly improved his game at the net, including his half-volley, which makes him especially dangerous on hard courts. His forehand down the line and ability to quickly finish rallies are also noticeable advantages in the American’s game.
Current indicators in the tour
Opelka continues his return to the elite of world tennis after a hand injury. The American is currently in 293rd place, although he was once 17th. Last season, the American has only one semi-final to his credit - he reached this one at the grass tournament in Newport. The last time Reilly won a title was in 2022 - then he won the competition in Houston.
Interesting facts for betting
Opelka did not lose a single set on his way to the semi-finals in Brisbane.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
FranceCurrent form
Mpeshi was stronger than Jakub Menshik (7-5, 7-6) in the quarterfinals of the tournament in Brisbane. Giovanni served 19 aces during the match against the Czech, converted one break point and did not lose a single game on his serve. Earlier in the tournament, the Frenchman beat Francis Tiafoe and Nick Kyrgios.
Professional qualities
Mpeshi has started to look more confident after a productive pre-season. The Frenchman has noticeably improved his mental stability, especially on break balls, where he used to make frequent mistakes. His style of play is focused on aggression: Giovanni prefers to finish rallies in 1-3 hits, without dragging out exchanges on the baseline. However, his backhand remains his weak point. However, opponents do not always manage to use this to their advantage, as the Frenchman actively moves around the court and tries to avoid playing from the left.
Current indicators in the tour
Mpeshi, thanks to his successful performance last season, reached 31st place in the world ranking. He will improve his position following the competition in Brisbane. Last year, we recall, Giovanni won five trophies, including two ATP category ones. He won the clay tournament in Lyon and won indoors in Basel.
Interesting facts for betting
Mpeshi did not miss a single serve in the three matches he played in Brisbane.
Trends
Rate Set Result: 2>1
In 3 of Opelka last 5 matches, events on the court have unfolded according to this scenario
2.22Bet Tie-break in the match - yes
This bet has played in Mpeshi five previous matches
1.07Tip and bets
Opelka beat Djokovic in the quarterfinals. Such a victory will certainly give the American additional confidence. The chances of winning the upcoming match, as it seems to us, are equal. So we suggest betting on Reilly in this pair, who for some reason the bookmakers made the underdog of the match.
Our prediction is Opelka victory with odds of 2.18
Bet on total
In the last matches, the tennis players have served 35 aces between them. Both Opelka and Mpeshi games are built around a powerful serve. We believe that in the upcoming match we will see many games played.
The second forecast is total over 26 games for odds of 1.89
Bet on the first set
Three of Mpeshi J. last five matches have seen the first set go to fewer than 9.5 games. It likely that the upcoming match against Opelka will also start with a low first set.
Forecast - total under 9.5 games in the first set for odds of 2.69
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