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Sabalenka vs. Polina Kudermetova: WTA Brisbane Match Prediction
The title of the tennis tournament in Brisbane on January 5 will be played between Arina Sabalenka and Polina Kudermetova. The Russian tennis player sensationally made it from the qualification to the final, is there any strength left to put up a worthy resistance to the world number one? - the answer is in our forecast. What bets should you choose for the game?
Command Analysis
Aryna Sabalenka
BelarusCurrent form
For the second year in a row, Sabalenka has reached the final in Brisbane. Last season, Elena Rybakina prevented her from winning the main trophy, but this time her opponent in the decisive match is clearly easier. Arina finished all four games at the tournament with an exact score of 2-0 in sets in her favor. The most difficult part was created by the unyielding Putintseva in the second round, where she had to play a tie-break (7-6, 6-4). In the matches against Sarasua, Buzkova and Mirra Andreeva, everything went much easier, the world number one did not lose more than seven games to these opponents.
Professional qualities
Arina usually plays in an aggressive manner, always trying to attack at the first opportunity. For this, she has a powerful forehand and a strong first serve in her arsenal. This type of tennis brings her the greatest success on hard, and in general on fast surfaces.
Current indicators in the tour
Arina entered the new season as the world number one tennis player and immediately demonstrated her intentions to retain this title in 2025. It should be noted that Sabalenka won four titles last season, all of them on hard. On this surface, she won 38 out of 45 matches in 2024.
Interesting facts for betting
- Sabalenka won all of her victories in Brisbane on her way to the final with a precise score of 2-0 in sets
- In the last two matches of the tournament, Arina played less than nine games in the first set
Polina Kudermetova
Russian FederationCurrent form
Polina Kudermetova is playing the best tournament of her career. Last season, she showed noticeable progress in her game and results, but hardly anyone could have expected that in Brisbane she would make it from the qualification to the final. The Russian tennis player has seven victories under her belt, and in five matches she did not give up sets. In two matches, Polina overcame the resistance of her compatriots Samsonova (6-7, 6-3, 6-2) and Kasatkina (1-6, 6-2, 7-5). In the semi-finals, Kudermetova confidently dealt with Kalinina (6-4, 6-3).
Professional qualities
Polina tries to play first number, is not afraid to take the initiative into her own hands in rallies. She has good speed, can hold a decent position in rallies, although, of course, she has no experience of matches with opponents of Sabalenka level.
Current indicators in the tour
Kudermetova finished last season on the threshold of the top 100 at 107th place. After her success in Brisbane, Polina will debut in the top 100. On open hard courts, she had 28 wins and 13 losses in 2024.
Interesting facts for betting
- In five of the seven matches played in Brisbane, Kudermetova did not give up sets to her opponents
- Two of Polina previous four matches involved tie-breaks
Trends
Total under 2.5 sets bet
Sabalenka won all four of her Brisbane victories on her way to the final with a precise 2-0 score in sets
1.27Rate Set Result: 1>2
This scenario played out in three of Kudermetova last four matches at the tournament in Brisbane.
2.25Tip and bets
Despite the excellent progress in the tournament grid today, Kudermetova has little chance of winning. Still, Polina spent a lot of energy on the way to the final, as she has already played seven matches. The Russian tennis player has no experience playing with opponents of Sabalenka level. Arina has warmed up, can offer Kudermetova an unbearable pace when exchanging blows, and in general, due to her aggressive tennis, the world number one racket will clearly baffle her opponent.
Our prediction is a victory for Sabalenka with a handicap of (-6.5) games with a coefficient of 1.82
Bet on total
In the semi-final against Mirra Andreeva, the Belarusian tennis player lost only five games. It is unlikely that Polina can count on anything more today, after all, her serve is not so strong as to create problems for the leader of women tennis.
The second bet is total under 17.5 games for 1.99
Bet on the second set
Sabalenka knows how to improve during matches and "squeeze" her opponents. Thus, in the second set, she did not give up a single game in the game with Sarasua, Andreeva took only two games from her in this segment. We expect that today there will be no particular intrigue in the second set.
Forecast - total games in the second set under 8.5 with odds of 2.16
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